Posted on 01/21/2016 8:12:00 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
With less than two weeks till the Iowa Caucus, the shape of the Republican race could hardly be more frightening for the Republican establishment. Both of the two leading candidates, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz, carry baggage that would make winning the general election a tough slog. But while some establishment types still hold out hope that one of their preferred candidates--Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, or even Chris Christie--can pull off a surprise resurgence, there is a growing acceptance of the reality of having to chose between Cruz and Trump. And the surprise is that all signs are pointing to Trump being the establishment's favored candidate--or, more accurately, the lesser of two evils.
In an interview with the New York Times yesterday, Bob Dole, the Republican presidential nominee in 1996 and the very epitome of the party establishment, said that picking Cruz as the presidential nominee would be "cataclysmic," and the party would have better success with Trump. And it's not just on the electability issue that Dole prefers Trump. Dole denounced Cruz as an "extremist," but said that Trump has the type of deal-making personality that would allow him to work with Congress if elected. Cruz, he said, would not. "I don't know how he's going to deal with Congress," Dole told the Times. "Nobody likes him."
Dole is far from alone in making a move toward Trump's camp. According to a report in the Washington Post, the GOP donor class is increasingly seeing Trump as a better bet than Cruz. "A lot of donors are trying to figure their way into Trump's orbit," said Spencer Zwick, who ran the finances for Mitt Romney's 2012 bid.
On the face of it, preferring Trump to Cruz seems bizarre. After all, Cruz is a more conventional politician. He sits in the Senate, and he has longstanding ties to the conservative movement and speaks their language. Why spurn him and hook up with a wild card like Trump, who has no political experience--and a record of making reckless racist and sexist comments that will damage the Republican brand?
But it's possible that it is precisely because Trump is such an unusual figure that he might be more attractive to establishment Republicans. Cruz is the leader of a faction; Trump is a one-man band. This means Cruz has the potential to do much more damage to the Republican Party in the long run. "If Trump loses, we wash our hands of him," a leading GOP strategist told CNN. "Cruz will think we need to be more crazy and be a long-term nightmare."
If Cruz wins the nomination, that extreme-right faction will dominate the Republican Party not just in the presidential run but for the foreseeable future--even if Cruz loses. Just as the followers of Barry Goldwater held key positions in the party long after 1964, Cruz's followers will be lodged tight and will be in a stronger position to combat the RINOs.
"If Cruz wins, the Loony Bird takeover of the GOP is complete," Ian Millhiser, Senior Fellow with the Center for American Progress Action Fund, told me by email, sketching out the establishment's nightmare scenario: "GOP candidates view Cruz's election as vindication of Cruz's tactics, and they rush to emulate him. Rank-and-file voters embrace Cruz's message that the best candidates are belligerent conservatives. And interest groups decide that they no longer need to back the proverbial most conservative candidate who can win, because the very most conservative candidate has just won the presidency. So they use their money to back Cruz clones in primaries.
"Mitch McConnell and possibly even Paul Ryan's relevance disappears overnight, as does quite possibly their career in politics. And because all of the sitting Republican lawmakers are Cruz clones who view them as traitorous RINOs, the deposed establishment cannot even cash in as lobbyists."
Trump, on the other hand, is so anomalous a figure that the GOP establishment can console themselves with the knowledge that he leads no faction. Even if he wins the nomination, Trump can be safely relegated to the category of a one-off, a freak mutation, never to be repeated. Trump would be like the character The Mule, in Isaac Asimov's Foundation novels. In the schema of Asimov's far future science-fiction series, The Mule is a galactic conquerer who throws history off the course that it was expected to take, but the changes he introduces are ultimately minor because he has no successor.
From the point of view of the Republican elite, it's easy to see Trump as The Mule: He's unexpected, he disrupted their plans to coronate Jeb Bush, but he's also someone who can't leave a lasting legacy because the traits that made him who he is are not replicable. There are not that many billionaire reality-show stars who are interested in taking over a political party.
Further, because Trump is much more pragmatic than Cruz, it's easier to imagine him being tamed if he won the presidency. Already, on the issue of tax cuts for the rich, Trump has reverted to GOP orthodoxy. Unlike Cruz, Trump has no army of ideological loyalists working with him. President Trump would need advisers and policymakers, which the Republican Party could happily provide him.
If this is the gamble the GOP is taking, though, it is not necessarily the right one. Trump is an unstable and unpredictable figure, governed by personal piques that take him in strange directions--like his recent, bizarre twitter feud with the actor Samuel L. Jackson over cheating at golf. As a presidential nominee, Trump would likely continue to be flighty and capricious. If Hillary Clinton is his rival for the White House, it's a near-certainty that Trump will make sexist tirades that will damage the GOP's reputation, as he already has with comments on Megyn Kelly and Carly Fiorina. Moreover, unlike Cruz or the other, more polished candidates, Trump does not know how to disguise his racism with dog-whistles. This may not hurt Trump with GOP primary voters, but it would be toxic on the national stage.
The fact that the GOP elite is sidling up to Trump is remarkable--and perhaps the ultimate reflection on Ted Cruz as a man and politician. After all, how wretched must he be that there are people who prefer to stake their money and reputations on Donald Trump?
Many in the GOP establishment prefer Trump.
Right...that’s why they’ve written a manifesto titled “Against Trump”.
This is the establishment’s last gasp at Trump .. nice of you to carry their water for them
Thin-skinned, they name is Trumpet.
Meanwhile...
TRUMP: Vladimir Putin's praise is 'a great honor'
Business Insider ^ | December 17, 2015 | By Maxwell Tani
Republican US presidential front-runner Donald Trump is apparently "honored" that Russian President Vladimir Putin considers the real-estate magnate a "flamboyant" and "very talented" man.
"It is always a great honor to be so nicely complimented by a man so highly respected within his own country and beyond," Trump said in a statement, according to Politico.
He continued: "I have always felt that Russia and the United States should be able to work well with each other towards defeating terrorism and restoring world peace, not to mention trade and all of the other benefits derived from mutual respect."
(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...
________________________________________
"I think that I would probably get along with him [Putin] very well."
--Donald Trump, CBS' Face The Nation, Oct 2015
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RIO DE JANEIRO, Brazil -- Russia's push into Ukraine has put many on edge. But less known is that Russia is also strengthening its military links south of the Rio Grande and re-establishing itself as a power in the region.
Vladimir Putin has been strengthening military links here, and Russia is now the largest arms dealer to governments in Latin America, surpassing the United States.
Russia has even floated the possibility of building new military bases in Cuba, Venezuela and Nicaragua, and putting its warships permanently in the Caribbean.
In the midst of the Ukraine crisis, Russia's top diplomat Sergei Lavrov recently visited Cuba, Peru, Chile, and Nicaragua, where he announced that Russia would also pour money into the new Central American canal project. ..."
http://www.globalpost.com/dispatch/news/regions/americas/140508/russian-arms-military-trade-latin-america
_______________________________________________________________________
BY: Bill Gertz
February 20, 2015
Russia agreed to provide military training for three leftist regimes in Latin America and increase military visits and exercises following a visit last week to the region by Moscow's Defense Minister Sergei Shoygu, Pentagon officials said.
Shoygu met with defense and military leaders in Cuba, Venezuela, and Nicaragua and signed several agreements on warship visits and military training during the visit, which ran from Feb. 11 to 14. It is not clear whether any new arms deals were completed during the visit.
Defense officials said the Russian leader is seeking bases in the region for strategic bomber flights that Shoygu recently promised would include flights over the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean.
http://freebeacon.com/national-security/russia-boosts-arms-training-for-leftist-latin-militaries/
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"Trump's relationship with Russia goes far back. In 1987, before the collapse of the Soviet Union, he was meeting with Soviet officials and negotiating the building of "luxury hotels" in Moscow and Leningrad .
A story at the time said Trump had met Soviet Ambassador Yuri Dubinin, who mentioned how much his daughter had admired the "opulent" Trump Tower in New York City. This led to an invitation to Trump to visit the USSR. The story said Dubinin wrote a letter to Trump, who hosted a meeting with Soviet officials in New York.
The invitation to Moscow was issued by Intourist, the giant Soviet in-country travel organization which operated all the hotels for foreigners in the Soviet Union.
Intourist was created in 1929 by Joseph Stalin and run by KGB officials. Intourist hotels were designed for wealthy foreigners, and virtually all the Intourist guides were KGB informers. In fact, one aspect of their jobs was the recruitment of foreigners. ..."
"...we are left thinking [whether] Trump understands the aggressive intentions of Vladimir Putin.
"...when Trump was asked about the nuclear balance with Russia during the most recent Republican presidential debate, he displayed ignorance of the decaying nature of the U.S. nuclear triad, which constitutes our ability to deter and survive a Russian nuclear first strike.
"Putin has just presided over a ceremony honoring the KGB's successor agencies, and the Russia Today (RT) propaganda channel has announced the grand opening of a "cultural center" dedicated to mass murderer Joseph Stalin.
It looks like Putin has outmaneuvered Obama and Trump. It is an opening for Trump's opponents, especially Senators Ted Cruz (R-TX) and Marco Rubio (R-FL). But do they have the courage to "follow the money" and hold Trump accountable for doing business with a criminal regime that threatens the survival of the United States? At the end of this money trail, they may find an explanation of why Trump is so reluctant to hold Putin responsible for his crimes.
Follow Trump's Money to Moscow
Renew America ^ | December 25, 2015 | Cliff Kincaid
http://www.renewamerica.com/columns/kincaid/151225
(how wretched must he be that there are people who prefer to stake their money and reputations on Donald Trump?)
Change the word “wretched” to conservative, and you got the real truth.
You Cruzers better look at Drudge’s poll.
The bern is gonna beat ya!
It ok .. Trump will win and Cruz will lose
And that would be a tragedy.
You do realize you are polluting FR with the New Republic ?
Water carrier ..
If Cruz wins the nomination, that extreme-right faction will dominate the Republican Party not just in the presidential run but for the foreseeable future--even if Cruz loses.
They know that us, the extreme-right faction are in it for the long haul. Every election we pick up more seats. Every Republican platform becomes even more conservative.
Why ? You want open borders and more rotten trade deals ?
If Putin calls you flamboyant and very talented, you are probably not being complimented.
Trump supporters are confusing showbiz with real life. Just because Tom Cruise plays an action hero doesn't mean I believe he's an action hero. His day-to-day life as an actor belies his action hero image. Similarly, just because Trump says he's a conservative doesn't mean I believe he's a conservative. His day-to-day life as a Bloomberg liberal, including his attendance at gay weddings, support for abortion and enthusiastic backing of Kelo-style eminent domain for commercial deelopment, belies his newly-minted conservative image.
How much per word do you make?
How much per word do you make?
Trump is one of them. They know they can deal with him.
This is so funny. The GOPe don’t prefer Trump. They fear Trump. He’s dominating the race 3 to 1 in nearly every state. That’s why they are moderating toward him.
OTOH, nobody but Cruz’s true believers still see a path to 270 EV for him. It’s over. So naturally it’s pay back time for all his in your face antics in the Senate.
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