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To: Guenevere

Respected Pollster Nate Silver says that the CNN poll is based on a methodology that presumes a turnout more than double the turnout at the 2012 Caucuses. I think everyone knows that Trump wins if turnout more than doubles but I don’t think anyone realistically expects it to be up that much. So, this poll is pretty much garbage.

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/690282714709278720


17 posted on 01/21/2016 3:31:40 PM PST by dschapin
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To: dschapin

As I know you’re in the Cruz camp, I will take your info with a grain of salt.


50 posted on 01/21/2016 3:48:06 PM PST by Guenevere (If.the foundations are destroyed, what can the righteous do....)
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To: dschapin

Wrong! The CNN poll is based includes those who have attended before AND those who have never attended before.

Of course Nate Silver does not want Trump to win. He is a democrat, and wants nominee Cruz against Hillary.


134 posted on 01/21/2016 5:31:29 PM PST by entropy12 (Abdul Mohammed born in Saudi Arabia, to a Saudi father and American mother is Natural Born Citizen?)
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