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CNN Iowa Poll (1/21/2016): Trump 37%, Cruz 26%
CNN ^ | 1/21/2016 | CNN

Posted on 01/21/2016 1:26:51 PM PST by imchris

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To: All

Oh my goodness. Trump is way up in all polls. A beautiful thing!


21 posted on 01/21/2016 1:39:15 PM PST by LuvFreeRepublic
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To: imchris

Yeah I think they are much closer than this this poll doesn’t sound realistic to me.


22 posted on 01/21/2016 1:39:38 PM PST by Sarah Barracuda
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To: Yashcheritsiy

Trend is clear. Trump is up. Cruz is down. I see Rubio is shredding Cruz in NH today. Cruz is not finished going down, IMO. Cruz was hurt hiding out for 5 days in NH while the Trump Train got rolling through Iowa.


23 posted on 01/21/2016 1:40:22 PM PST by lodi90 (TRUMP Force 1 lifting off)
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To: RitaOK

Really, let it play out. Huckabee and Howard Dean come to mind.


24 posted on 01/21/2016 1:41:42 PM PST by jonsie
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To: imchris

Emmerson College numbers back this poll up. Also this is post-debate/New York Values, and pre-Palin, Pre-Bandstad.

There is some good news for Cruz here. Among people who caucused in 2012: Cruz 30%/Trump 28%/Rubio 16%.

If Trump’s new supporters don’t show Cruz could still win a tight race.

With that said It’s been a BAD week for Ted. He needs to change the narrative FAST, and after reading about Jeff Roe I assume he’s going to start throwing some DIRTY bombs Trump’s way.


25 posted on 01/21/2016 1:42:38 PM PST by SteveSCH
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To: VanDeKoik

Yeah...but I’m more honest than a lot of the Cruzers are, too.


26 posted on 01/21/2016 1:42:53 PM PST by Yashcheritsiy (You can't have a constitution without a country to go with it)
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To: Deo volente

Nominate Bernie and it’s 1972; nominate Joe Biden and it’s 1968.


27 posted on 01/21/2016 1:44:36 PM PST by MUDDOG
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To: imchris

“The sampling is key for both leaders: Only including voters who previously caucused in their party’s most recent competitive caucus, Cruz is neck-and-neck with Trump, with 30% for Cruz to 28% for Trump. Rubio is steady at 16% in that sample.”

“CNN/ORC surveyed 2,002 Iowa adults by telephone Jan. 15 to Jan. 20, including 266 likely Republican presidential caucus-goers and 280 likely Democratic presidential caucus-goers. Both party samples have a margin of error of plus or minus six percentage points.”

Outlier?

Poll designed to create an outcome/narrative vs. reporting on one?


28 posted on 01/21/2016 1:44:43 PM PST by TBBT
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To: imchris
Emerson poll just said about the same, Trump 10 points over 2nd place.

If this is even close, Trump will takes Iowa.

Trump rally on the USS IOWA.

29 posted on 01/21/2016 1:45:14 PM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: Sarah Barracuda

a lot of times in close primary races one candidate starts pulling away in the last 10 days..


30 posted on 01/21/2016 1:46:08 PM PST by Lib-Lickers 2
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To: Lib-Lickers 2

short one!


31 posted on 01/21/2016 1:47:03 PM PST by nikos1121 (December 25, 2016 will be the merriest Christmas of all for me.)
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To: DoughtyOne

This is the third poll with Trump over 34% in IA the OANN poll included. If include the straw poll it’s the fourth.


32 posted on 01/21/2016 1:47:46 PM PST by GonzoII ("If the new crime be, to believe in God, let us all be criminals" -Sheen)
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To: imchris

Doh, you literally posted this while I was posting mine, cause I searched first.


33 posted on 01/21/2016 1:48:13 PM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LuvFreeRepublic

I had to laugh at Michael Medved (RINO) today. He is convinced that the convention will be deadlocked because Trump will not have nearly enough delegates. Completely out of touch with reality.

This is shaping up to be a Trump steamroller.


34 posted on 01/21/2016 1:48:18 PM PST by Deo volente (God willing, America shall survive this Obamanation.)
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To: Deo volente

From the near future: Trump wins 50 states!


35 posted on 01/21/2016 1:54:17 PM PST by DannyTN
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To: Deo volente
At the beginning of this cycle, I had this figured in a completely different way.

I thought Hillary would nail the nomination quickly, running virtually unopposed and the DNC completely in the tank for her. She'd run around the country for a couple of months trashing Republicans endlessly while they were locked in a tough primary season.

Instead, Trump could seal the deal in a matter of weeks and turn this scenario completely on its head. He could be roving the country hosting massive rallies, hammering Hillary nonstop, while she desperately tries to fend off Bernie.

The political class simply has no idea what is happening.

36 posted on 01/21/2016 1:57:11 PM PST by TontoKowalski (Satisfied Customer #291)
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To: GonzoII

Thank you for bringing that to my attention.

I’m not sure how many folks caught it, but I predicted ‘a possible’ consolidation of polling for Trump, because I thought they were gaming it down before. Before an election they have to return to some sort of sanity or lose face when they are way way off.

This wasn’t my idea. Another Freeper raised the issue, and he was right. That made sense.

We may be seeing that shift back towards reality.

And you know folks, if they did it in Iowa, they did it everywhere. Trump may be just butchering the competition nationally.


37 posted on 01/21/2016 1:57:13 PM PST by DoughtyOne (Free Republic Caucus: vote daily / watch for the thread / Starts 01/20 midnight to midnight EDST)
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To: GonzoII

At the end of the day, the one hurdle Cruz hurdle that may have been too high to leap, was that he currently sits in the Senate of the United States.

People are that sick of Washington.


38 posted on 01/21/2016 1:58:56 PM PST by DoughtyOne (Free Republic Caucus: vote daily / watch for the thread / Starts 01/20 midnight to midnight EDST)
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To: BigEdLB

Cruz is surging!!!

Just wait ‘til Glenn Beck campaigns with Raphael - then the real surge begins!


39 posted on 01/21/2016 2:00:15 PM PST by newfreep (TRUMP & <S>Cruz</S> 2016 - "Evil succeeds when good men do nothing" - Edmund Burke)
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To: DoughtyOne

This is CNN TV’s lead story at the top of the hour.


40 posted on 01/21/2016 2:00:19 PM PST by McGruff
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