Could The ‘Gender Gap’ Carry Republicans To Victory In 2016?

The Daily Caller ^ | December 30, 2015 | Stewart Lawrence

[presidio9]

For years Democrats have claimed a "gender gap" advantage over the GOP because women tend to support their party's candidates in disproportionately high numbers. The last two presidential elections clearly illustrate this pattern. In 2008, Obama ran nearly even with John McCain among men but captured female voters by a whopping 14 point margin. And in 2012, while losing male voters to Mitt Romney by 8 points, Obama's 12-point margin with women guaranteed his re-election.

But it turns out that Republicans have their own version of the gender gap. The basic idea is to substantially out-perform the Democrats among men while reducing the Democrats' lead among women to single digits. And they're attempting this feat against Hillary Clinton, whom Democrats hoped would galvanize female voter support to unprecedented heights. Instead, polls reveal that Clinton is substantially under-performing with men and women alike, a trend that could well deliver the White House to the GOP.

How do we know that the gender gap is shifting? Consider the results of recent head-to-head polls between Clinton and her GOP opponents. These are not actual election results; they are snapshots of ongoing trends. The numbers may not be precise, given the margin of error, but their general magnitude and broad direction are still highly suggestive. What do these polls show?

Using the last four national polls as a statistical benchmark, and averaging the results, the following gender breakdowns were recorded for each GOP candidate in a hypothetical head-to-head contest with Clinton:

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[presidio9]

Combine this reasoning with today's Quinnapiac poll that shows Sanders winning the male vote in Iowa by a two to one margin over Clinton in the state, and this is something that everyone should be looking at more closely.

Clearly conservative men are not the only ones who have a problem with Clinton.

[donna]

If conservative men want to win the balance of power, they need to stop making babies with liberal women.

[Vince Ferrer]

Hillary should be tied to Merkel. Merkel and Hillary are the same thing, just that Merkel is a few years ahead of Hillary.

[Dilbert San Diego]

I’ve heard tho that in the past few cycles, married women have voted for Republican candidates. Romney won close to 60% of the vote of married women. Its single females who vote heavily Democrat.

[lepton]

Typically, the “gender gap” has been primarily the unwed mothers, especially unwed minority mothers. Women who are married and have children who live with them are pronouncedly Republican.

[lepton]

Heh. Posted before I got to it.

[RKBA Democrat]

Sounds like a good if crass bumper sticker.

[Sonicandtails]

Lol true

[SaxxonWoods]

There’s another gap no one is talking about. Black and Latino men will not vote for a woman as President.

[RipSawyer]

I have been saying for years that women do NOT want a woman in the white house, they are the majority of registered voters and if they wanted president Hillary Clinton we would be preparing to enter the last of her eight years right now.

Many have told me that “ALL” the female vote will go to Hillary but it ain’t so.

[donna]

Women bosses are horrible to other women. Those bosses turn the workplace into their family and the work into their babies. All the women reporting to them are competitors for the love of those babies. It gets so weird - everyone loses track of the real goal.