Thanks, I’ve thought long and hard over this. Earlier this year, even before Trump, I was posting how the path to victory is the WHITE VOTE, as opposed to trying to pander to enough minorities to put together some kind of coalition to win. It’s still on my “About” page.
The 2014 elections in Texas convinced me of that. The Republicans here did not give a crap about pandering to minorities. Our now Lt. Governor, Dan Patrick, ran ads in the Primary calling Illegal Immigration an invasion, and (unlike Romney with his ‘self-deportation’ plan) STOOD BY IT against the Democrats.
The results: Republicans won 75% of the White vote and still 40-45% of the Hispanic vote (seems that they weren’t too hot on this invasion either). That gave Republicans 20 POINT VICTORIES, all of them, in the year that the Democrats had PROMISED that Texas would turn purple. Same with every other state in the South.
Get anywhere near those percentages of White votes in states that do have a huge Hispanic populations and it is GAME OVER for the Democrats. I’m convinced they know that too...which is why they are desperately trying to stop Trump...even going as far as not attacking Cruz, for the time being, until Trump is dispatched.
What I like about Trump is he appeals to blacks. Not just a few lonely outcasts, but the average working stiff who is tired of Mexicans getting all the jobs. To them, Trump is NY, cool, brash and they like him. The Republican politicians, even Cruz, seem to them as pasty, stuffy white folks. They don’t warm to them. Carson, of course, could pick up some black votes, but even he might get hit with the Uncle Tom label and not do as well as you would think. Trump, people like him, blacks, hispanics and blue collar whites. Only the Moslems hate him. Which is good. Anyone who they like (Bush, Kasich) is not going to be a good candidate.
If the GOP wins 75% of the white vote, the Dems are finished up and down the ballot. Even in solidly blue states like NY and CA.