Posted on 01/08/2016 4:11:12 PM PST by VinL
I think it will be close to a statistical dead heat. Just my opinion. Cruz inherited Carson’s IOWA support to a large degree.
But, it is true what they say about Iowa...it’s the ground game, because they have to get these people out for a number of hours. It’s not as easy as going to vote.
They have 23 days remaining to motivate their support. Santorum is proof that ground game is very important.
Party rules have changed slightly this cycle. The top vote getters in Iowa will be guaranteed at least some delegate votes this time.
A lot of people don’t understand that the Iowa caucuses were always just neighborhood meetings for mundane party business; electing officers and offering platform planks and ideas for raising money. The informal presidential preference poll was just to add interest to the boredom.
Obviously, the MSM and political junkies going full retard have made it much different than was intended.
Sadly, it seems we need either Trump or Cruz to have a commanding lead in delegates in order to avoid RNC convention nonsense.
And I wouldn’t count on that. No pub other than a sitting president has won both IA and NH since sometime before 1976. And Trump has double digit leads in every early primary.
Still, wishful thinking is free. Have fun.
All of the March 15 primaries are winner take all, and Trump has double digit leads in them all. The GOPe designed that to wrap things up quickly. It will work, but not for their candidate.
Thanks for the reality check (lol).
Rush Limbaugh compared sissy Trump’s attempt to disqualify Cruz as analogous to Anita Hill’s attack on Clarence Thomas- in the sense it was a desperate and treacherous effort to besmirch Thomas.
Cowardly Donald had long ago come out and said that Cruz had no eligibility problem —’lawyer’s have checked it out, he’s fine’ -— but three weeks out of Iowa, Trump’s losing-— so he attacks with what he knows to be a lie.
Anita Trump.
Iowa didn’t start the presidential preference straw vote until 1972 with Democrats. GOP started in 1976.
Just like your wishful thinking that Iowa is pretty much worthless. Got news for your and your bad logic #1 winning in Iowa is helpful to a campaign no matter how much you insist it isn’t and #2 just because in the past the winner in Iowa hasn’t won the Presidency in the last couple cycles doesn’t mean it ~can’t~ happen. Doesn’t mean the winner will, either, but it sure can’t hurt and will help.
Not a math guy Gator- and I don’t put much credence in the polls. Guess it means it could be Cruz 31 - Trump 19. Don’t know.
What I do read is that some insiders say that Cruz has the best organization in Iowa that some of these folks have ever seen-— so, I believe he dominates merely because he’s more organized.
The last two non-incumbent Presidents began by winning the Iowa caucuses. The GOP has indeed ignored Iowa and instead offered up losers in the last two elections.
I really don’t get you posters who are incessant about posting pro/anti Trump Cruz articles.
You all better face the fact that one of the two are going to run against Hillary, and one of those two are going to either win or lose against her.
WTF, wake up, this is about what is best for this Country, stop being such juvenile pawns of the establishment and start using your heads like we all claim CONSERVATIVES do.
Meant to direct this to you, not meaning to leave other applicable posters out
On my mobile, can’t post easily. but NH1 poll: TRUMP 32, Bush 12, Kasich 12, Christie 11, Rubio 10, Cruz 10, Fiorina 5.
“Sadly, it seems we need either Trump or Cruz to have a commanding lead in delegates in order to avoid RNC convention nonsense.”
Sadly true.
If they agree to be a team, ie Trump/Cruz ticket, would Cruz’s delegates follow the ticket?
“All of the March 15 primaries are winner take all, and Trump has double digit leads in them all. The GOPe designed that to wrap things up quickly. It will work, but not for their candidate.”
Thanks for that info. Are the primaries before March 15 proportional then?
Hilarious how this will backfire on the GOPe.
Well, it's the first vote at the convention that matters. From my understanding, the delegates get released to vote however they want (or are directed) if the first ballot does not yield a winner.
Trump or Cruz could end up getting screwed by the GOPe.
If that happens.....it's game on.
Roger that. Appreciate the reply.
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