Rather difficult to read with the font issue. I promise to make a $100 contribution to FR if they finally fix this matter.
Not even close, would be a repeat of 1950.
When I went there over 20 years ago, one of the first orders of business was to get a briefing on the situation....and the situation was that both sides had thousands of rockets, and the border would instantly become a 30 mile wide band of complete destruction. And I distictly remember a strong emphasis on being ready for the norks to use nerve gas.
Conventially South Korea would destroy the North but take heavy losses in Seoul. The sad part is, Clinton, Bush, and now Hussein has let them nuke up, so there’s possibly a an exchange that the US would have to be involved with, B61’s on Pyongyang.
10 years ago it could’ve been much easier, now, it’ll be a real mess.
Easy win for the South. Offer every NORK soldier free meals and heat for a year in exchange for their rifle and ammo. Bonus of a Hyundai car for every arty tube they turn in.
Fairly even match IMO.
Both sides would obliterate each other without help from outside. The North will pump overwhelming boots on the ground and not care about heavy losses (a la the USSR against more advanced Germany)
If the South armed and trained its people like Switzerland however, I think they could win. Snipers around every corner would devastate the North’s advance
Answer to title question: Nope. Not as long as the country’s capital and industrial heart is within range of the North’s 250,000 artillery tubes, rails and launchers. Which it is. The minute they go back to war, Seoul goes up in sheets of fire - without needing a nuke to do the job at all. This is why there’s never been a permanent resolution to the Korean War, only an armistice - it’s a Mexican standoff.
They will have to. Americans wont care in a majority, will choose libertarian isolationism.
The will of the people simply isn’t strong enough there; they have been lazy, wimpy, falling for socialist crap all these years and even blame us. They have the technology, but the problem is in their knees.
South Korea has every modern conventional weapon system available, excepting nuclear weapons. The fact that North Korea has a larger army will not ensure that they would prevail; their ace in the hole is nuclear weapons. It is way past time that South Korea develop their own nuclear deterrant, if they don’t already have it.
I have no doubt the destruction to Seoul would likely be something straight out of carpet bombing of German cities in WW II. It would also be much faster from beginning to end since that required months of bombing as opposed to artillery pieces which can fire what, 6 shells a minute?
The one thing that is really a question in my mind is if you have all that exposed artillery just how difficult would it be to eliminate with cluster munitions or counter battery fire?
I think the damage to Seoul would depend solely on the reaction time of being able to turn 30-40 miles of DPRK territory into a cratered wasteland inside of 15 minutes.
Somehow I think the ROK has that strategy all mapped out with or without our help.
If China stays out South Korea would win. Millions would die.
No. Because they’d actually be fighting China.
With Omoslem’s ROE in place, the South could be annihilated in less than 24 hours. Waves of N.K.’s marching south, while rubber bullets and tasers bounce off of them.
As soon as the first shot is fired, say goodbye to Seoul.
The problem, of course, is that Kim is using Iranian technology for his nuclear program, and the Iranian kooks have much less concern for their own worldly butts. It's also likely that they are using NorK as their own nuclear proving ground.
If America doesn’t fight for South Korea, ultimately China will......for a price.