Donald Trump dominates first national poll of 2016 (Increases lead by 7pts since last poll)

Politico ^ | 1/5/16 | Nick Gass

[jimbo123]

More than half of Donald Trump's supporters say they are strongly committed to voting for him, according to the results of the latest NBC News/SurveyMonkey online tracking poll released Tuesday, the first national poll of 2016.

Overall, the Manhattan mogul commanded the support of 35 percent of the Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters who were surveyed over the past week, while Texas Sen. Ted Cruz came in second place with 18 percent support.

Florida Sen. Marco Rubio earned 13 percent, followed by 9 percent for Ben Carson, 6 percent for former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, 4 percent for New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and 3 percent for Carly Fiorina, according to the full results shared first on MSNBC's "Morning Joe."

[over3Owithabrain]

You’re hyperventilating over one of many polls that show Trump way ahead nationally. Getting mad at everyone who is happy about that doesn’t change anything. There is nothing “meaningful” about what you are yelling about - it’s the same back and forth that goes on ad nauseam during primaries.

Trump is ahead nationally and in most states. Cruz is ahead in Iowa. That’s what the polls say by and large. That’s the current reality. Coming up with endless incarnations of the word Trump doesn’t change reality.

[hey Bean]

Jeb! is SURGING!!!!!!!!! Like Ted was. :~D

[PIF]

You haven’t a clue what I’m talking about. And being slandered seems to be the way of things with trumpeters. Not good.

[Lagmeister]

The SAC BEE poll has a 5.6% margin of error from 325 Republicans. It says something but is as definitive as lightening is to a lightening bug.

[LS]

Did you even look at the link? I posted a link from a MICHIGAN POLL TODAY that had the same numbers, more or less, as the national poll. But you didn't look, did you? Because if you did you'd read: "396 likely Republican primary voters."

Your name calling is almost as bad as your poor reading skills.

Link again: http://overtimepolitics.com/pollingdata/OvertimePolitics.comDec31-Jan3RepublicanPrimaryPoll-Michigan.pdf

[PIF]

Why would I look? It plainly says what the voter type is in your excerpt - if there was some thing else, you should have included that in your excerpt.

[babble-on]

Uh huh.

[LS]

Look at the link. Always go to the source, not the excerpt. As we know from scientific abstracts, excerpts often lie.

[ripnbang]

Saw it yesterday. Looks good for Ted at first blush, but poll doesn’t take into account all voters and it will probably be all over before California primary voters even think about going to the polls. But, hope springs eternal, right?

[Georgia Girl 2]

But, but Cruz is surging. :-)

[PIF]

Last Paragraph of the posted link to the Politico

The poll was conducted online Dec. 28-Jan. 3, surveying 3,181 registered voters among a sample of 3,700. The margin of error for 949 registered Republican voters is plus or minus 3.7 percentage points, while among 1,060 Democrats the margin of error is plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.
bold my emphasis

[nikos1121]

I’m committed

[JPG]

January 05, 2016 Rueters 5 day rolling poll
644 RESPONDENTS
Donald Trump41.7%
Ted Cruz13.7%
Ben Carson10.6%
Marco Rubio8.2%
Jeb Bush8.1%
Wouldn’t vote6.7%
Chris Christie3.2%
Rand Paul2.6%
Mike Huckabee2.2%
Carly Fiorina1.3%
John Kasich0.9%
Rick Santorum0.4%
Jim Gilmore0.3%
George Pataki—%
Lindsey Graham—%

[itsahoot]

You didn’t need to post this, it will be the lead story on all the nightly news tonight.

[itsahoot]

And if your boy loses the nomination, then what? Who will you smear then? Don't like the message? Obvious solution is shoot the damn messenger and that takes care of the problem, correct?

Unlike you most of us will support whomever wins the Republican Primary unless we are secretly Hillary supporters as you loser Cruzers claim.

Ted Cruz for President! Woo! Woo! see tag

These anti Cruz rants are brought to you courtesy of the incessant Trump Thumpers.

[itsahoot]

Anyone could take the poll as many times as they like, could describe themselves any way they want, etc.

I think most of these polls do not allow multiple votes from the same IP address. Some even require registration or at least an authentic email address.

[MayflowerMadam]

I do find it remarkable the degree of trust placed in someone with no political track record, but a long personal track record that is really anathema to everything so-called Conservatives say they believe in. It's as if hating Mexicans is enough for many people.

Trump's "political track record" is longer and better than any other candidate's record. Being political in a government environment is one thing; government politicians are one-trick ponies. Being political in a business environment is multi-faceted, including working with government politicians. Politics exist everywhere. Trump is a master politician.

Who hates Mexicans? Trump doesn't hate Mexicans. He wants the influx of illegal immigrants to end -- and not just Mexicans. But you already know this, don't you? ;)

[houeto]

Trump/Cruz 53%!!!

Gracious sakes alive!!!

All the rest of the pack have to divvy up less than have a whole PIE!!

[MaxFlint]

There seems to be a perspective here and in the media that after IA that the election shuffles like a deck of cards. There is a first for everything, but I don't see that happening - especially since Trump is a very well known entity nationally.

If he wants to beat Trump Cruz has to win IA and NH. That would shuffle the deck. IA alone isn't enough, it will be dismissed as another Huckabee/Santorum fluke.

Down the road will the establishment vote go to Cruz if they honestly see him electable - Reagan cred yes but Reagan persona? Man that's a stretch.

The establishment is holding off until Jeb bombs in IA and NH. That will give them cover to rally to Rubio, their second choice. Cruz might get their votes and money if it's down to him or Trump, but I don't rule out the deal maker cutting one with the GOPe and locking things up by April.

[MaxFlint]

I did not say I gave up on America - that’s your erroneous conclusion. Just reporting the facts the media will not tell you, even on FR.

You said "When the Democrats get done with their attacks on local election regulations and laws and with their massive voter fraud campaigns (which never happens according to the media or only by Republicans), whomever the candidate is will have a near impossible battle"

That's defeatism. Trump can give us a near-Reagan scale landslide. If we didn't have the millions of immigrants the Democrats brought in to take over California he could win 48 states - or more! This is no time to give up.