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Will ‘Electability’ Sink Trump?
Roll Call ^ | Jan. 3, 2016 | Stuart Rothenberg

Posted on 01/03/2016 8:53:05 PM PST by justlittleoleme

Most national polls show Republican frontrunner Donald Trump trailing likely Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton and faring worse than other GOP hopefuls against her.

That raises an obvious question: Could doubts about Trump's strength in a general election derail his bid for the Republican nomination, or would GOP caucus attendees and primary voters simply ignore poll numbers that suggest Trump would be a risky bet in November?

SNIP

But Quinnipiac University's Dec. 16-20 survey showed Trump's image with all registered voters at 33 percent favorable/59 percent unfavorable - dismal numbers, and the highest unfavorable rating of any GOP hopeful.

Trump trailed Clinton by 11 points, 49 percent to 38 percent, in the mid-December Fox News ballot test, while Cruz and Clinton were tied at 45 percent and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio held a 45 percent to 43 percent lead over Clinton. The Quinnipiac poll found Trump trailing Clinton 47 percent to 40 percent, while Cruz and Clinton were tied at 44 percent and Rubio trailed Clinton by a single point, 44 percent to 43 percent.

But not every survey showed Trump trailing Clinton so dramatically in hypothetical match ups. For example, a Dec. 17-21 CNN/ORC survey showed the two candidates separated by only two points (Clinton 49 percent, Trump 47 percent). Of course, Cruz held a 2-point lead over Clinton and Rubio a 3-point lead in that survey, seemingly confirming that Trump is a weaker nominee against Clinton than at least two other Republican hopefuls.

But even if additional surveys between now and the Iowa caucuses show Trump's relative weakness in the general election, it is not yet clear that GOP voters - and Trump voters - will care. Opinion about the importance of "electability" as an issue for voters has been divided over the years.

(Excerpt) Read more at 3.blogs.rollcall.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: cruzisright; election; elections; ezsleazylawyerted; immigration; nocharismated; stalewhitebreadted; trump; trumpaintright; trumpwasright; trusted
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To: justlittleoleme

Clearly, a GoPe propaganda piece. They have nothing else in their arsenal but big fat lies. Trump is far ahead of any other Republican candidate with regard to broad voter appeal and the GOPe knows it.


121 posted on 01/04/2016 2:18:26 AM PST by iontheball
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To: DannyTN

How has Trump reached out to women? By bashing Bill Clinton?
How has he reached out to hispanics? I realize some hispanics support him, but I would not say he has reached out to them. Many would say the opposite. I would say neither.
How has he reached out to blacks? He got lucky with Diamond and Silk. They are a gift to him as supporters and non supporters love them. That was not reaching out to blacks, though.

I do think he has strong union appeal. That makes me more suspicious than anything else.

I think Trump has a very good chance in the primary but not so great of a chance in the general. High negatives. If he wins the general, I predict he will be the mother of all political back-stabbers. He will make his republican supporters wish they had a President Benedict Boehner.


122 posted on 01/04/2016 2:24:37 AM PST by The Ghost of FReepers Past (Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light..... Isaiah 5:20)
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To: justlittleoleme

Gee, another why-Trump-cant-win article.


123 posted on 01/04/2016 2:34:12 AM PST by samtheman (Only Trump can beat the Saudi-funded Fraud Machine in the general election.)
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To: goldstategop

Virginia and Colorado can both be in play this year. Hillary will lock up Northern VA but she can’t win anything else in the state. She will have to reach Obama 2008 levels of support in order to win VA if, and this is a big if, the suburban and rural electorate are energized and motivated.


124 posted on 01/04/2016 2:48:04 AM PST by brothers4thID ("We've had way too many Republicans whose #1 virtue is "I get along great with Democrats".")
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To: FreedomPoster

But the polls were all correct in predicting the liberal victory in Louisiana’s 2015 governor race even though they called the Democratic candidate “moderate” or “conservative”. And a liberal prevailed in the Houston mayor’s race again too.


125 posted on 01/04/2016 3:42:54 AM PST by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: Dr. Bogus Pachysandra

Well no matter what tax funds are spent for, the American people don’t seem to have a problem with it. They are same ol’, same ol’, over and over.


126 posted on 01/04/2016 3:44:19 AM PST by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: LeoWindhorse

Despicable to some, yes, but “America’s Sweetheart” to the masses.


127 posted on 01/04/2016 3:45:36 AM PST by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: The Ghost of FReepers Past

Perhaps you are right, and if so, the Republican primary electorate will once again have demonstratde its total incompetence.


128 posted on 01/04/2016 3:47:37 AM PST by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: justlittleoleme

But it also forgets that folks do not want a Clinton or a Bush in the White House again.


129 posted on 01/04/2016 3:53:45 AM PST by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: goldstategop

Clinton will not win. She is old and not well.


130 posted on 01/04/2016 3:56:00 AM PST by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: editor-surveyor

Is that you Jeb?


131 posted on 01/04/2016 3:57:01 AM PST by usafa92 (Conservative in Jersey)
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To: editor-surveyor

No way I will vote for Bush, if he’s the nominee, Hillary can have it!


132 posted on 01/04/2016 3:58:06 AM PST by dalereed
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To: St_Thomas_Aquinas

Are you sure?


133 posted on 01/04/2016 3:58:41 AM PST by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: justlittleoleme

Polls for an event that’s more than 10 months away mean less than nothing. Only a very small percent of Hillary’s crimes have come to light.


134 posted on 01/04/2016 4:03:01 AM PST by Graybeard58 (Bill and Hillary Clinton are the penicillin-resistant syphilis of our political system.)
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To: editor-surveyor
Simplistic candidates cannot win; the voters are simply too aware of their vast weakness.

Now apply that to Hillary...

135 posted on 01/04/2016 4:03:27 AM PST by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: dalereed

No way I will vote for anyone other than Trump or Ted Cruz. If they are not the nominee, then Hillary can have the presidency.


136 posted on 01/04/2016 4:08:49 AM PST by Menthops (If you are reading this..... the GOPe hates you!)
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To: Biggirl

Clinton is likely to win because Americans have fond nostalgia for Bill and there is also the chance to make history in electing the first woman President just as Obama became the first black President.

Never underestimate the intelligence of the American people to pick the wrong side. Plus, the demographics in the country have changed.

Even Ronald Reagan couldn’t win his own home state of California today. The odds against a GOP presidential candidate winning the White House are steep.


137 posted on 01/04/2016 4:12:53 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: justlittleoleme

Yes, let’s draft Romney, or McCain, or Dole, they were very electable. How did they work out?

The gope wants to foist someone else on us who isn’t going to put up a fight against the “historic first woman” candidate. They foisted McCain on us in 2008, knowing that the fix was in, no fight against the “historic first black” candidate. They want a willing loser who will roll over and play dead.

Trump will fight to win.


138 posted on 01/04/2016 4:15:54 AM PST by euram
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To: editor-surveyor

You must be a joy to live with, up on that high horse.


139 posted on 01/04/2016 4:16:38 AM PST by MayflowerMadam (TDS: Hating Trump more than loving America.)
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To: editor-surveyor

Well then, apparently there’s a shit-load of simplistic people on this forum including the owner. Perhaps you shouldn’t hang out with the dummies and instead go on over to DU where the really smart people hang out.


140 posted on 01/04/2016 4:18:40 AM PST by Cobra64 (Common sense isn't common anymore)
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