Donald Trump Winning Michigan Electorate – and With It, The Presidency

the conservative treehouse ^ | January 1, 2016 | sundance

[dontreadthis]

A Trump Conservative/Populist "Reagan Democrat" Candidacy Could Win In The Electoral College

Here is an analysis of the Electoral College victory possibilities for Donald Trump as the Republican nominee.

With a truly conservative/populist candidate such as Trump, there appears the ability to add to core base of Electoral College support which the Romney election of 2012 represents (Map 2).

Should the current economic, military (possible terrorist) and political situation continue as it is now President Obama, as did President Carter in 1980, will own the prevailing climate in November 2016 as will "Obama's third term" Clinton.The Republican base will be determined to vote in strength, whilst all those areas of support that Obama put together in 2008 with such enthusiasm-youth, anti-war proponents, Blacks, may not be so enthused next time.

Thus, as map 3 shows, if Michigan which has traditionally been Democratic is added to the 2012 base, plus marginal Florida and Ohio, then Trump has every chance to win. The GOP establishment has no credible argument for a middle of the road candidate as there are clear indications that the base would sit on their hands come November 2016, and in that case, there is a very strong possibility of significant down ticket losses.

Thus the GOP has everything to gain with a Trump candidacy, especially with a Republican congress, as he would ensure that genuinely conservative "Reagan Democrat” policies would be implemented without a veto and the country would be back on its traditional center-right path.

[BobL]

...and keep in mind Michigan is just one state in the Industrial Midwest. If Trump wins Michigan, which he is perfectly positioned to do, then there’s a good chance he also wins Wisconsin and Minnesota (all blue states recently). Then he locks-down the purple state of Ohio and possibly puts Illinois into play. Pennsylvania also will lean Trump and even New Jersey could be put into play.

Like most of us here, I like and respect Cruz also, but I could never see him putting together the kind of coalition that Trump will.

So we are talking about a TRUMP LANDSLIDE here, and it’s all based on Trump being the first candidate, of either party, to give a damn about White voters...as my “About Page” has been screaming about for the past year.

[TBP]

I think it’s a Republican year.