Posted on 01/01/2016 6:48:49 PM PST by dontreadthis
A Trump Conservative/Populist "Reagan Democrat" Candidacy Could Win In The Electoral College
Here is an analysis of the Electoral College victory possibilities for Donald Trump as the Republican nominee.
With a truly conservative/populist candidate such as Trump, there appears the ability to add to core base of Electoral College support which the Romney election of 2012 represents (Map 2).
Should the current economic, military (possible terrorist) and political situation continue as it is now President Obama, as did President Carter in 1980, will own the prevailing climate in November 2016 as will "Obama's third term" Clinton.The Republican base will be determined to vote in strength, whilst all those areas of support that Obama put together in 2008 with such enthusiasm-youth, anti-war proponents, Blacks, may not be so enthused next time.
Thus, as map 3 shows, if Michigan which has traditionally been Democratic is added to the 2012 base, plus marginal Florida and Ohio, then Trump has every chance to win. The GOP establishment has no credible argument for a middle of the road candidate as there are clear indications that the base would sit on their hands come November 2016, and in that case, there is a very strong possibility of significant down ticket losses.
Thus the GOP has everything to gain with a Trump candidacy, especially with a Republican congress, as he would ensure that genuinely conservative "Reagan Democrat†policies would be implemented without a veto and the country would be back on its traditional center-right path.
(Excerpt) Read more at theconservativetreehouse.com ...
ping
Go Trump!!
I predict Obama will get at least 40% of the black vote. The blacks do not like Hillary.
DITTO!
The Reagan democrats are republicans and the remaining unionistas are primarily socialists.
The article assumes Trump won’t win NY in the general against Hillary. I have some doubts about that.
to a limited extent, IMO
Oh my.
Trump is leading in Michigan.
“The GOP establishment has no credible argument for a middle of the road candidate”
Trump is about as middle of the road as you can get.
Bttt
I am a Cruz supporter, but can see the beauty of a Trump/Cruz ticket with Cruz being an active leader (with the bully gavel) in the Senate to insure a conservative senate. He who holds the gavel controls the debate! Cruz could ensure the conservative view is always in the forefront of all senate debate. One term as VP then eight years as President with a properly trained republican senate.
They only make up around 12% of the workforce in Michigan.
It doesn’t help that the scumbags tried to seize control of the constitutional amendment process just a couple of years ago and are still trying to force taxpayers to pick up the tab for their ever growing pension programs.
I agree. Cruz would use every procedural detail to (Constitutional) advantage.
It’s a landslide and the Cruaers are about to need a rescue after the avalanche.
ping
Nice!
UNION JOBS __ BIG TIME!
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