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Can Donald Trump Lead A Conservative Movement He Barely Understands?
Talking Points Memo ^ | 12/23/2015 | By LAUREN FOX

Posted on 12/23/2015 3:21:27 PM PST by SeekAndFind

It is as if Donald Trump just walked into a 40-year conversation on conservatism and instead of standing there, nodding his head politely as he got acquainted with the topic at hand, began shouting over the crowd.

It is essentially what Trump has done to conservative policy gurus this year. Trump has reached over anti-abortion diehards, foreign policy neocons, and supply siders to tell base voters directly what he thinks they want to hear and it's working. But he still doesn't have a grasp on how what he's promoting fits into long-term movement conservatism objectives -- nor does he seem to particularly care. Not only is Trump not beholden to the conservative movement, he seems more or less indifferent to it. And that as much as anything strikes fear deep in the hearts of longtime conservatives who see 2016 as a generational opportunity to control Congress and the White House simultaneously.

"If you are a more traditional conservative, someone who has been active in issues like abortion or tax policy and market regulation, yeah, I could see some of those people being quite anxious about Trump because he is a total wild card," said Matt Dallek, an professor of political management at George Washington University who studies the conservative movement. "They don't know him and he doesn't know them. It is not clear that he supports their policies on many issues. Conservatives who have been successful politically did not spend years shouting from the hilltops."

Typically, Dallek says that candidates who catch conservative lightening in a bottle do so because they spent years building a network and immersing themselves in the lingo. Take Ronald Reagan, for example, who Dallek says spent years talking to conservative organizations and emerged out of the anti-communist and pro-market wings of the conservative party, or Pat Robertson, the 1988 evangelical challenger to George H.W. Bush, who emerged from the Moral Majority movement.

Trump has come right out of left field.

The problem for conservatives goes beyond Trump's own positions, which over the years departed from the conservative orthodoxy. Trump lacks a basic sense of the values of the conservative movement, its jargon, or the deals struck over the years to hold the different elements of the movement together as a unified force.

As conservative columnist George Will put it, "Trump is indifferent to those conservative tenets."

For at least two generations, conservatives have been playing the long game on taxes, the judiciary, and abortion, to name a few pillars of the movement. They have carefully crafted plans to make incremental gains when the political winds were against them, and be well positioned to make dramatic gains when the winds shifted in their favor. They talk about their issues in highly refined, well-tested ways, and avoid the rhetorical pitfalls they've discovered the hard way.

Does any of that sound like Trump or his modus operandi?

Like so many other aspects of Trump's confounding rise, the business mogul has somehow captivated primary voters without fully following the movement's rules or understanding it. Trump says the words and attracts applause, but conservatives aren't convinced Trump truly grasps the gravity, the intricacies, and the nuances of the policies he's promoting.

In a Meet the Press interview in August, Trump said that “as a real estate developer and as what turned out to be a world class businessman based on what I've done, you don't ask questions about, ‘Gee, are you pro-choice? Are you pro-life?"

"It's just something that is not really discussed. As a politician, they discuss it all the time," Trump said.

On foreign policy, Trump's saber-rattling rhetoric carries echoes of conservative candidates of the past. How will Trump handle the Islamic State? He's going to "bomb the shit outta them." But past the surface similarities, it's not clear that Trump embraces any particular foreign policy school of thought, or has even given it much thought.

“I don't think he can get up to speed," says Dov Zakheim, a Republican national security advisor who has worked for GOP heavyweights from Ronald Reagan to Mitt Romney. “You cannot view a few slide briefings or an oral briefing and become a national security expert. It does not happen. You need some experience.”

Other candidacies are plugged into the conservative tenets of foreign policy and most have their own crew of advisers to turn to. Trump, meanwhile, still has not publicly announced a foreign policy team and in August when NBC's Chuck Todd asked Trump to disclose his military advisers, Trump responded, "I watch the shows."

"He has made it pretty clear that he follows his own advice," Zakheim says. "He rejects Washington-type policy people. So the very people he would need to get him up to speed are the people he holds contempt for.”

The Club for Growth, whose super PAC spent $1 million in ads against Trump in Iowa highlighting his past positions such as supporting single-payer health care, eminent domain and higher taxes, says Trump is taking conservatism off track just as the GOP has a chance to retake the White House in 2016.

"I think the conservative movement has waited long enough and if there are these concerns that Trump is not the full-orbed conservative he claims to be, then people need to be making that case," says Doug Sachtleben. "It is not like we are left with no one running. There are good choices. That argues all the more for why the conservative movement should speak up."

Some have tried. The anti-abortion movement, specifically, has shown a lot of skepticism toward Trump, who more than a decade ago billed himself as pro-choice.

"There are a lot of folks that distrust where Trump stands on life because of his track record and even his recent vacillations on Planned Parenthood," Lila Rose, a prominent anti-abortion activist, told TPM in August.

But other key conservatives have been reluctant to jump in to attack Trump's lack of policy knowledge or his detachment from their movement. David Keene, the longtime chairman of the American Conservative Union and a former president of the National Rifle Association, says the while he is always worried about any candidate coming up short on Second Amendment rights or seeing a candidate "talking about something they don't understand," he feels comfortable with Trump's basic stance on guns today even if Trump once supported a ban on "assault weapons."

"We believe in redemption," Keene said.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: aliems; alieninvasion; buildthewall; closethemosques; conservatism; deportthemall; elections; endanchorbabies; endsanctuarycities; enfocethelaw; holywar; immigration; infiltrators; invaders; invasion; islam; islamistheproblem; jihad; koran; mosques; muslim; musliminvasion; securetheborders; securethenation; sendthemback; sendthembaxk; sharia; terror; terrorism; terrorists; trojanhorse; trump; trumpwasright; war; warfooting; wartime; wartonterror
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To: Charles Henrickson
He's clueless when it comes to conservatism. Trump is not to be trusted.

Agree absolutely.


61 posted on 12/23/2015 4:20:41 PM PST by FourPeas (Tone matters.)
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To: alloysteel
I wish you folks would think before you write some of this stuff.  It would save a lot of time.

The Donald is not, by any definition, a conservative.

Cutting the deficit spending, eliminationg givernment departments, and starting to pay down the nation debt does not qualifiy as Conservative to you.
Putting a wall up on the border, sending illegal aliens home, does not qualify as Conservative to you.
Building up our military instead of allowing it to languish and decay, is not Conservative to you.
Getting our veterans the care they need is not something you see as Conservative.
Eliminating the Department of Education, doing away with Common Core, is not something you see as Conservative.
Eliminating Obamacare and replacing it with a private sector solution is not Conservative to you.
Supporting Israel and recognizing it as a very important ally is not Conservative to you.
Returning to good relations with all the cold war allies doesn't sound Conservative to you.
Bringing jobs home and allowing our citizens to compete on the global markets doesn't sound Conservative to you.
Demanding that trade deals be renegotiated or negotiated in the future to benefit the U. S. on equal footing doesn't sound Conservative to you.


But he has harnessed the conservative impulses for his own purposes in gaining access to the highest levels of power in America, and by extension, in the world.

My guy didn't win, so this guy has to be evil and not telling the truth.  FAIL

You brain trusts that go this route seem to forget something.  If Trump had wanted to, he could have run as a Liberal and easily beaten Hillary and Sanders.  Why would he go right, unless that's what his naturail inclinations were?

Crafty in the way he has tapped into a huge wellspring of pent-up desires, he exploits them in the manner of a highly skilled conductor leading an orchestra, from mere cacophony into a sweet and melodic concert, falling pleasantly on the ears of the audience.

That's quite an imagination you have there.  If Trump truly wanted to rule as a Leftist, that would have been a lot easier in a field of three instead of a field of 17.

You need a new batch of tea leaves.

Pied Piper, or genius and master of the universe? Maybe, and perhaps in the end, we may be someplace far from where we are at, but is the direction we otherwise would be headed in any way preferable?


This rivals the filth I read from the Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post, and the New York Times these days.
62 posted on 12/23/2015 4:22:31 PM PST by DoughtyOne ((It's beginning to look like "Morning in America" again. Comment on YouTube under Trump Free Ride.))
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To: Charles Henrickson

Ditto. Well said.


63 posted on 12/23/2015 4:23:47 PM PST by Finny (Voting "against" is a wish. Be ready to own what you vote for.)
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To: napscoordinator

“Make Catholic Church the official church of America......”

No thanks. That’s precisely why the constitution forbade an establishment of religion. Their track record is horrendous as an operating system for a temporal government.

They are the defacto and some time legally the state religion everywhere south of the Texas border. It breeds substandard peoples and societies.


64 posted on 12/23/2015 4:23:51 PM PST by DesertRhino ("I want those feeble minded asses overthrown,,,")
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To: DesertRhino

I said it wouldn’t pass which is a shame. But the others you like?


65 posted on 12/23/2015 4:24:34 PM PST by napscoordinator
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To: napscoordinator

That true conservative wishlist is rather short on individual liberty.


66 posted on 12/23/2015 4:25:11 PM PST by DesertRhino ("I want those feeble minded asses overthrown,,,")
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To: SeekAndFind

I think before people are allowed to write articles like this they need to take a test....one that shows they have ‘gray matter’ between their ears....

The writers of today are like a box of rocks....


67 posted on 12/23/2015 4:27:11 PM PST by HarleyLady27 (.."THE FORCE AWAKENS"!!! TRUMP; TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP 100%....)
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To: centurion316
You stated you did not think Trump would be a successful president but a better option than any democrat. I think that there will be no in-between with Donald Trump; either your assessment will be correct, he will just be a blip that temporarily paralyzes the left for a moment, or he will be the greatest president of the 21st century. There will be no in-between with Trump. With any other non-democrat candidate at this time, no matter how ideologically pure, there is not much change of reversing the destructive policies the democrat party has put into place, but with Trump's larger than life persona, there is a real chance that he could. Whether he will or not remains to be seen. It is worth the risk, we really are out of options.
68 posted on 12/23/2015 4:29:07 PM PST by erkelly
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To: Cobra64

I’ll bet that every one of those people who have gone to his events knows more about Trump than almost all the folks who trash him here.

I see untruths listed day after day after day by the same people that have been told they are not telling the truth, with proof.

So I’m not buying your idiotic idea.

I’ve never seen a group of people so in denial that anything Trump is saying has value.


69 posted on 12/23/2015 4:29:16 PM PST by DoughtyOne ((It's beginning to look like "Morning in America" again. Comment on YouTube under Trump Free Ride.))
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To: napscoordinator

1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 10. I’m on board. Hell i’d settle for reverting to the original constitution.

And I want no income taxes. I want the government financed mostly by tariffs.


70 posted on 12/23/2015 4:29:31 PM PST by DesertRhino ("I want those feeble minded asses overthrown,,,")
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To: Fai Mao
No, not annihilate, EXTREMINATE!!!
71 posted on 12/23/2015 4:30:21 PM PST by erkelly
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To: HarleyLady27

“I think before people are allowed to write articles like this they need to take a test....one that shows they have ‘gray matter’ between their ears....”

The writer was about 12 when 9/11 hit.


72 posted on 12/23/2015 4:31:02 PM PST by DesertRhino ("I want those feeble minded asses overthrown,,,")
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To: DesertRhino

It should still be made to take a test for ‘gray’ matter....


73 posted on 12/23/2015 4:32:03 PM PST by HarleyLady27 (.."THE FORCE AWAKENS"!!! TRUMP; TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP 100%....)
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To: SeekAndFind

Trump isn’t a movement conservative.

He doesn’t believe what he says - he’s more of a populist who tells people what they want to hear.

Being a conservative, is instinct, a healthy skepticism of human nature and a profound distrust of change.

Trump doesn’t seem to embody the philosophy that’s the essence of conservatism.

That said, he doesn’t ridicule or dismiss us and he’s willing to listen.

Which is more than can be said for the GOP establishment that has traditionally treated us as the political equivalent of the “crazy aunt in the basement.”

Trump is many things but we should be under no illusion as conservatives that he is the Second Coming Of Ronald Reagan.

It would be unfair to harbor that expectation of him.


74 posted on 12/23/2015 4:33:00 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: erkelly
Oops, I mean EXTERMINATE, not extreminate! Darn Spellchecker!
75 posted on 12/23/2015 4:33:27 PM PST by erkelly
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To: SeekAndFind

Does George Will lecture Ryan and McConnell on the philosophical details of conservatism? The entire Republican caucus? The ones who have actually voted and betrayed conservatism?


76 posted on 12/23/2015 4:34:03 PM PST by odawg
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To: erkelly

The best attribute of Trump is that he isn’t a career politician. Those of their ilk are completely corrupt. We are in deep doo doo.


77 posted on 12/23/2015 4:34:28 PM PST by centurion316 (,)
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To: SeekAndFind

While the OP confuses Conservatism with mere Republican-ism, the answer is still no.


78 posted on 12/23/2015 4:35:35 PM PST by roamer_1 (Globalism is just Socialism in a business suit.)
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To: SeekAndFind
No Trump is not a conservative but he is exactly what this country needs right now. And with Ted Cruz as his VP Ted can move him in the right direction. Then Ted Cruz would be naturally next inline for president. that would be 16 years of Make America Great Again folks.
79 posted on 12/23/2015 4:37:40 PM PST by McGruff (Merry Christmas)
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To: goldstategop

“He doesn’t believe what he says”

There is an you-tube video out of a twenty-five year interview Oprah Winfrey did with Trump. He says the same thing in that interview that he says now.


80 posted on 12/23/2015 4:38:40 PM PST by odawg
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