Dejavu all over again.
Posted on 12/21/2015 8:02:11 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Rand Paul? Really?
As we slide into the Christmas break, both around the country and on the campaign trail, a particular reality seems to sinking in among the campaigns at the bottom end of the primary trough. Voters are packing up to go be with their families. People are sitting around at home tuning in to It’s a Wonderful Life (or Die Hard for some of us) instead of CNN. And when we all shake off our hangovers on January 2nd and take a fresh look at the race it will be only four weeks until the voting in Iowa begins and the curtains will be pulled back on all their houses.
It’s at times like this when desperation sets in, and that seems to be the case with Rand Paul. (The Hill)
"We've all let the polls consume us too much. I don't think the polls are very accurate," he said, noting that the polls were off by 13 points a week before the recent Kentucky gubernatorial race.
He said Trump is performing well in the polls because he's getting a disproportionate amount of media coverage and many respondents who say they'll vote for him aren't likely to turn out on primary day.
Rand is out there beating the drum, declaring that The Donald is “not for limited government or balanced budgets” and favors eminent domain. To be fair to Rand, those are good points, and ones which have been noted here before. But there’s one other thing that Rand Paul should probably keep in mind: everyone already knows that. And a near majority of the voting base apparently doesn’t give a flying flip off an overpass. This race has become about things beyond the normal check boxes on the conservative platform list as far as I can tell, and much of that was distilled into the response to the omnibus spending bill.
The cries of, “the polls are skewed!” have been heard before, much to our chagrin in 2012. They are also, as a wise man once said, the last refuge of lost and desperate souls. Now, I agree that the polls have gotten considerably worse and polling companies have failed to keep up with the changes in technology which came with a more mobile oriented generation. Rand points to the Kentucky governor’s race polling as an example, and they certainly blew that one. (Worth noting here that it’s harder to poll a smaller, largely rural population.) But the polls are still fairly solid in reading trends if not hard, fixed numbers. Trump may well lose Iowa to Cruz, but what the margin will wind up being is up in the air.
But to cling to the idea that virtually all of the polls in first fifteen states are completely backward is a pipe dream. If Trump is going to be “wiped out” six weeks from now it’s not going to be by Rand Paul and I’ll bet that the polls will catch wind of it before it happens. How that’s supposed to happen is far beyond the ability of my Magic Eight Ball to divine.
Starting to think RuePaul is one of these candidates who stays in the race because election laws allow him to draw the salary of the position he’s running for, i.e., +$226,000 more than his senate salary.
I agree that Cruz may well win Iowa. After that its going to be Trump all the way. The polls are not that skewed.
I have to admit, hearing “the polls are skewed!” endlessly in 2008 and 2012 here on FR definitely led me to disappointment both times.
Son Of Paul. Enough said.
is that true? I had never heard that before...
I didn’t know that, guess it’s one reason for the crowded debate stage.
What Rand fails to acknowledge is the seething anger that voters are keeping to themselves until they get in that voting both. Why yell from the mountaintops who you’re voting for when this has become a very angry personal thing for many (like myself).
These politicians really have no idea of what they have caused these last years after they were sent to DC to do what they voters put them in office to do as promised.
I have recently answered 3 poll calls by saying “F*** off”.
I’ve never done that before, but then again, I’ve never been this mad before.
Trump will even win Iowa.
The reason?
The markets are collapsing and the economy is shrinking. By February the markets will be very ugly.
People vote their fears. Right now it is economic fear which plays into Trump’s strengths.
Oh good grief.
LOL!! Salem Media’s Hot Air....Pander Paul....polls are skewed....LOL.
Poor Pander, he just doesn’t know when to quit.
Guess they haven’t seen this....
Polls may actually underestimate Trump’s support, study finds
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3375091/posts
I have to admit, hearing “the polls are skewed!†endlessly in 2008 and 2012 here on FR definitely led me to disappointment both times.
The polls may be skewed this time around too. Trump may even have a bigger lead than the polls indicate.
Dejavu all over again.
We will see.
Rand has to run next year for the Senate too, or has he bowed out of that race the way Rubio has done in FL?
LA gubernatorial polls (D) in 2015 were right on target; those in KY (R) were not.
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