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Donald Trump Still Leads in Florida, but Ted Cruz Soars in Latest Poll
MiamiTimes ^ | 12/18/15 | Kyle Munzanheimer

Posted on 12/18/2015 1:48:25 PM PST by VinL

Florida Republican Primary voters continue to be fake as hell. They're letting the men they elected at one point to serve as our senator and governor linger in polls of their home state. In the first poll of Florida Republicans taking since this week's debate, it turns out that our state's GOP voters still have a thing for ol' Helmet Hair but now have a growing fondness for Texas-brand Rubio, Ted Cruz.

The survey, conducted by Opinion Savvy and sponsored by the Jacksonville Times-Union and Fox 13 Tampa Bay, called up 555 registered Republicans in Florida on Wednesday.

Here's the breakdown:

Donald Trump: 29.7 percent Ted Cruz: 20.4 percent Marco Rubio: 15 percent Jeb Bush: 12.5 percent Ben Carson: 7.7 percent Chris Christie: 6.1 percent Carly Fiorina: 2.7 percent Rand Paul: 2.6 percent John Kasich: 0.9 percent Rick Santorum: 0.1 percent George Pataki: 0.1 percent

(Literally just one person each said they'd vote for Santorum or Pataki.)

ust 2.2 percent said they remained undecided.

Trump continues to do well with his whackadoo rhetoric in Florida.

48.3 percent of Florida Republicans say they "strongly approve" of his call to temporarily ban all Muslims who are not residents from entering the United States. 24.2 percent say they "somewhat approve." Just 23.3 percent say they strongly or somewhat disapprove.

Cruz has surged in Florida in the past month. In the last Opinion Savvy Poll, taken on November 11, he was sitting at just 12 percent. His surge appears to be at the expense of Ben Carson (who is down from 22 percent in November). There's also waning enthusiasm in the state for our own Senator Marco Rubio. He was at 18 percent in the November poll.

Jeb Bush is actually doing a bit better since November. Back then he was at 11 percent.

Cruz is also now leading Hispanic Republicans in the state at 22.1 percent. Though Rubio isn't far away at 21.0 percent. Donald Trump, despite his anti-Mexican rhetoric, polls at 20.8 percent among Hispanics. Bush, who used to have a lock on the state's Hispanic Republican population, is now at 15. 9 percent.

Interestingly, Rubio has the biggest gender gap when it comes to his supporters. 19.6 percent of female Republicans in Florida support Rubio. Just 10.2 percent of men do.

In an odd question, the poll also asked Florida's Democrats who they'd like to see as the GOP nominee.

37.3 percent say they want Trump — perhaps because he seems to be the easiest to beat. 18.5 percent say they want Bush, perhaps because he seems the most palpable to Democrats out of the lot.

So why is Cruz surging? Well, 25.8 percent of those who watched the debate claimed he won. That's compared to Trump at 23.8 percent.

Meanwhile, 30.8 said Bush lost the debate. He was followed by Kasich; 13.5 percent said he lost the debate.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: alieninvasion; aliens; canadian; cruz; cruzissurging; deportthemall; domination; elections; florida; immigration; infiltrators; invaders; jihad; jihadis; koran; moratorium; mosques; muslim; musliminvasion; polls; securetheborders; securethenation; sendthemback; sharia; thegreatintender; trojanhorse; trump; trumpwasright; war; waronterror; wartime
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To: House Atreides
Perhaps Florida women are more forgiving of being materially deceived by a man.

Remember Bill Clinton? He not only materially deceived them, he sexually abused them. And they still loved him.

21 posted on 12/18/2015 2:10:07 PM PST by Vigilanteman (ObaMao: Fake America, Fake Messiah, Fake Black man. How many fakes can you fit into one Zer0?)
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To: IC Ken

“TRUMP will pick up most of the Huckabee, Santorum, Rubio, Carson, Fiorina and Paul voters when they inevitably drop out, just as he did with Walker and Perry”

Naw, I don’t see Trump picking up any significant numbers of any of those candidates. Huck, Carson, and Santo voters are predominantly evangelicals, and they can easily see that Trump is no evangelical. Heck, he won’t even discuss anything to do with the Bible, and all he says is, “hey, I’m Episcopalian!”

How is Trump going to pick up Fiorina voters after sophomorically insulting her appearance and questioning whether she should even be talking in a debate?

Rubio? Rubio is probably Trump’s best chance of stealing voters from, as they are both very hawkish about using military force to go after ISIS.


22 posted on 12/18/2015 2:11:25 PM PST by mtrott
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To: LS

I think Trump did himself a lot of good with this statement

- December 17, 2015 -
DONALD J. TRUMP STATEMENT ON BUDGET DEAL

(New York, NY) December 17, 2015 “If anyone needed more evidence of why the American people are suffering at the hands of their own government, look no further than the budget deal announced by Speaker Ryan. In order to avoid a government shutdown, a cowardly threat from an incompetent President, the elected Republicans in Congress threw in the towel and showed absolutely no budget discipline.

The American people will have to absorb higher deficits, greater debt, less economic liberty and more corporate welfare. Congress cannot seem to help itself in bending to every whim of special interests. How can they face their constituents when they continue to burden our children and grandchildren with debts they will never be able to repay? Our government is failing us, so we must do something about it. Who knows how bad things will be when the next administration comes in and has to pick up the pieces?

The only special interest not being served by our government is the American people. It is time we imposed budget discipline by holding the line on spending, getting rid of waste, fraud and abuse, and by taking on our debt. To do these things, we need a President who can lead the fight to hold Congress and the rest of government accountable. Together, we can Make America Great Again.


23 posted on 12/18/2015 2:12:56 PM PST by MNJohnnie ( Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered)
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To: CottonBall
And Cruz supporters should be mad that the GOPe would rather have him. It means they think Ted can be bought by the donors or party bosses. I’m not sure he can’t, so I switched. He is weak on illegal immigration, even after seeing how the people reward a strong conservative approach.

LOL, no sale.

Go Cruz!

24 posted on 12/18/2015 2:13:09 PM PST by skeeter
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To: mtrott
they are both very hawkish about using military force to go after ISIS.

And what is this? "We will carpet bomb [ISIS] into oblivion. I don't know if sand can glow in the dark, but we're going to find out," [Ted Cruz]

25 posted on 12/18/2015 2:14:17 PM PST by MNJohnnie ( Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered)
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To: VinL

Cruz!


26 posted on 12/18/2015 2:14:51 PM PST by Irenic (The pencil sharpener and Elmer's glue is put away-- we've lost the red wheelbarrow)
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To: SubMareener

Yes, I remember that. And Mark Levin, too. We aren’t good enough for them anymore :)


27 posted on 12/18/2015 2:15:24 PM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: MNJohnnie

This was a great statement and he was out there first.


28 posted on 12/18/2015 2:15:58 PM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: VinL

Great news. If Carson drops out before Florida Ted could take it.

As someone else said, standing next to Trump at the debate made it easy for people to make an A/B comparison.


29 posted on 12/18/2015 2:17:04 PM PST by St_Thomas_Aquinas ( Isaiah 22:22, Matthew 16:19, Revelation 3:7)
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To: LS

How very interesting your saying that Goldberg now believes Trump could obliterate Hillary.

I was shocked to hear Mika Brezezinski from Morning Joe say exactly the same thing.

Here is the video!

http://dailycaller.com/2015/12/18/msnbcs-brzezinski-trump-would-beat-hillary-video/


30 posted on 12/18/2015 2:18:30 PM PST by GilGil
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To: VinL

....”Cruz is surging! Cruz is soaring! (Problem for me is that I don’t credit any of the polls). -:)

That would be me as well though I don’t see it as a problem not giving credit to the Polls....especially when the margins shift like the rolling tides. At best it ‘might’ indicate a trend but no more...there’s really no way they can know what people will do once they vote....

Debates shift as well....as does what the candidates actually are given to speak on....rare they are left to really speak their minds.

Then there’s the media who are the other “players” moving the deck chairs.....they get to choose who they want to give air time and discussion to.

It’s a circus.....three rings and all with various acts playing out now at the expense of the candidates who would otherwise be heard. Given that Trump’s leveraged his hand with the media it’s no wonder they hook up 24/7 it’s a win for him and a win for them in ratings.......the show must go on!


31 posted on 12/18/2015 2:20:22 PM PST by caww
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To: VinL

https://instagram.com/p/_cuHx-rH0E/

Donald Trump and his grand-daughter.


32 posted on 12/18/2015 2:21:03 PM PST by exit82 ("The Taliban is on the inside of the building" E. Nordstrom 10-10-12)
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To: LS

-— No, not a given at all. Certainly not Paul, Carson, or Fiorina voters. In fact, at one time I was pretty sure Trump would get most of Carson’s voters. -—

Red State posted a chart of 1st and 2nd choices combined.

Ted took the lead this month over Trump, 40-39%. His advance corresponds exactly with Carson s decline.

The rest remain flat, including Trump.


33 posted on 12/18/2015 2:21:11 PM PST by St_Thomas_Aquinas ( Isaiah 22:22, Matthew 16:19, Revelation 3:7)
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To: caww

555 is not a very large number of people polled. but I’m no expert.


34 posted on 12/18/2015 2:22:20 PM PST by tflabo
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To: LS

WOW...Lucianne’s dumb son finally woke up?
I used to like Jonah’s columns, but his TDS drove me crazy and don’t read him anymore.


35 posted on 12/18/2015 2:22:59 PM PST by nopardons
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To: exit82

What a wonderful photo.


36 posted on 12/18/2015 2:23:51 PM PST by Duchess47 ("One day I will leave this world and dream myself to Reality" Crazy Horse)
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To: VinL

If Trump and Cruz split the vote in Florida the either Bush or Rubio can win....by just a few votes. Folks in Florida better do their homework and follow up on their votes.


37 posted on 12/18/2015 2:26:19 PM PST by rrrod (just an old guy with a gun in his pocket.l)
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To: VinL

“Donald Trump: 29.7 percent Ted Cruz: 20.4”

Looks like Trump to me.


38 posted on 12/18/2015 2:27:00 PM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: GilGil

Well...that’s the truth and Trump is the ONLY one who can best Hillary in a debate situation!


39 posted on 12/18/2015 2:27:28 PM PST by nopardons
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To: VinL

“Trump continues to do well with his whackadoo rhetoric in Florida.”
___________________________________________________________

No bias there, no bias at all, from the whackadoo moonbat author of this piece, Kyle Munzanheimer from the Miami Times, whoever the hell he is.


40 posted on 12/18/2015 2:27:42 PM PST by july4thfreedomfoundation (Just say NO to muslim "immigrants")
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