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To: BigEdLB

I like that significant lead of 5 points with margin of error of 4.6%.


6 posted on 12/17/2015 3:37:02 PM PST by libbylu (Trump - BICKERING LIKE A SCHOOLBOY. (I said it before Cruz did)!!!)
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To: libbylu

I’m not sure that’s as good a thing as you might think.

It could wind up with Trump at 35 and Ted with 21.


11 posted on 12/17/2015 3:39:03 PM PST by DoughtyOne ((It's beginning to look like "Morning in America" again. Comment on YouTube under Trump Free Ride.))
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To: libbylu
Yea, but you know, that trend thing. Ever since Cruz had his "magic" 10 point lead, one poll out of five had him leading in IA, and three polls today (GA, SC, FL) have him trailing by 20 in each state.

I said five or six days ago with the "magic" 10 point Cruz poll came out that it was a bad outlier and to wait for PPP---so far, this cycle, PPP has been a very good predictor of where most polls were. I said PPP would be a 2-3 point Trump lead. Well, guess what? PPP came out two days ago and was a 3 point Trump lead.

This could easily be a 7-8 point Trump lead with the MOE.

25 posted on 12/17/2015 4:13:59 PM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: libbylu

Did you like that 2 pt Iowa lead better, that Cruz held for what, 32 hours?


36 posted on 12/17/2015 4:32:18 PM PST by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: libbylu

“Still Winning!” - DJT


43 posted on 12/17/2015 4:46:59 PM PST by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man a subject")
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To: libbylu
I like that significant lead of 5 points with margin of error of 4.6%.

Brace yourself, Cruz's rise in the Iowa palls was no different then Forina's or Carson's. Cruz will fall and mayby Santorum or the Huckster is next. Trump will win Iowa.
86 posted on 12/17/2015 9:00:53 PM PST by JoSixChip
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