Posted on 12/14/2015 11:52:53 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
UPDATE:
Republican presidential hopeful Sen. Ted Cruz, of Texas, has overtaken businessman Donald Trump with seven weeks remaining before the Iowa caucuses, according to the latest Loras College Poll, the results of which were released today.
Cruz topped Trump, 29.7 percent to 23.4, as the first-choice candidate among the 499 likely Republican caucus participants surveyed Dec. 7-10.
Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson and Florida Senator Marco Rubio were the only other candidates with double-digit support as a first choice — Carson at 10.8 percent and Rubio at 10.6.
Conservative Iowa Congressman Steve King and noted Iowa evangelical leader Bob Vander Plaats endorsed Cruz recently....
(Excerpt) Read more at thonline.com ...
Cruz has the best organization in the state, partly thanks to Steve King’s help.
Then you must have busted a gut when you saw the Monmouth poll showing Trump with 41%. That poll only had 385 registered Republicans for a national poll, as opposed to 499 for an Iowa poll...
CNN has Trump up by 13, taken 3 days ago. Who has the best methodology?
I don't believe Cruz would even come close. Trump brings in many blue collar White voters and Blacks that Cruz can't dream of bringing to the polls.
RE: Not Donald.
The polls ( if they are believable ) tell us that the ones who match up best against Hillary are Rubio and Carson.
Donald loses. Cruz is in a statistical tie right now. (Wit until he debates her.)
I wouldn’t be surprised if even caucus goers are afraid to say they’ll support Trump. But when it comes time to vote they’ll stand on principle. I hope.
“And more importantly, among the GOP leaders, who matches up BEST against Hillary.”
If Hillary polls more than three percent running against a mountain oyster there is no hope for this country. In any sane country she and whomever she picks as a running mate would lose handily to The Walrus and the Carpenter.
Years ago when I was active in Iowa campaigns the Loras polling effort was very good. Do not know about the present day. I also recall that a win in Iowa only tended to move the New Hampshire results by a point or so. Not much bounce in real terms. I do know that not having the two events (Iowa and NH) on top of one another tended to provide more benefit to the Iowa winner in NH.
Cheers
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