Posted on 12/07/2015 9:09:43 AM PST by GIdget2004
Stoked by evangelical and tea-party support, Ted Cruz has surged to first place in Iowa, according to the results of a Monmouth University poll released Monday surveying voters likely to participate in the Republican caucus on Feb. 1.
Cruz earned 24 percent of support among likely caucus-goers, with 19 percent opting for Donald Trump, whose polling advantage in the state has dwindled in recent weeks. In a Quinnipiac University survey conducted in mid-November, Trump held a slim 25 percent to 23 percent advantage over Cruz, while retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson finished with 18 percent.
In this survey, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio finished third with 17 percent, followed by 13 percent for Carson (a 19-point drop from October), 6 percent for former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, 4 percent for Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, 3 percent for former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina and 2 percent for New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee. All other candidates finished with 1 percent or less support, with 4 percent undecided and 1 percent describing themselves as "uncommitted."
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
Anything I post is not because I'm against Cruz, as I said he's my 2nd choice, but I think we lose it all if they topple Trump.
Also, celebrities or national figures like Giuliani and Trump naturally open up to a huge lead as the campaign starts, because they have the most name recognition, by a wide margin. As the other candidates get exposure and promote themselves, and voters start paying attention in the last month or two before the vote, the celebrity front-runners have nowhere to go but down.
FL is NOT an early primary this year. It got penalized for going early last time. Half the states will be before them. Super Tuesday will be the big story at the same time FL was last time and Texas is included, giving Cruz a big advantage in winning the day’s delegate count.
No President can “fix” the economy. Cruz is more likely to simply let the government shrink and get out of the way and let the economy fix itself. Trump is more inclined to threaten and push companies around and try to make them do things his way because he thinks he’s a “smarter leader.”
Cruz has already had to win an election (the Texas primary was the hard one) and he’s already had to deal with the media breathing down his neck during Obama’s shutdown. I think his approach will be Reaganesque, being forceful and unequivocal but doing it with a smile and civility. I think it will be more effective than Trump’s more vulgar, vindictive approach.
No one has a clear picture of “amnesty” under Trump or Cruz, since Trump is pledging to let illegals back in in an expedited process (he says that whenever anyone tells him the illegals leaving will cause businesses to lose too many workers and shut down). Deport them all permanently isn’t being said by anyone. But we do know Rubio, Cruz, Bush, etc. are more explicitly pro-amnesty than the other leading candidates.
I misspoke there, meant to say Rubio, KASICH and Bush are more pro-amnesty than the others. Sorry, Ted. :)
Also, celebrities or national figures like Giuliani and Trump naturally open up to a huge lead as the campaign starts, because they have the most name recognition, by a wide margin. As the other candidates get exposure and promote themselves, and voters start paying attention in the last month or two before the vote, the celebrity front-runners have nowhere to go but down.Cruz has mentioned the 2008 campaign of Rudy Giuliani. We remember Rudy was well ahead in the polls leading up to primary season and then his campaign faltered badly eventually ending with the spectacular flame-out in Florida.
The effect of low name recognition was definitely a factor for Ted Cruz in the 2012 TX GOP primary for U.S. Senate. Cruz entered the primary with hardly anyone knowing who he was and faced an opponent known to practically every GOP primary voter and backed by the entire TX GOP establishment (Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst) plus two other lesser-known candidates.
Cruz started at 2% in the 2012 TX GOP primary polls, but as people learned more about him the poll number steadily moved upward and he eventually defeated Dewhurst by 14 points in the runoff election (57-43).
Whew! Thank you for the correction. :-)
Had to kill Politico to report this.
Excellent point.
The MSM hates Cruz FAR more than it hates Trump. Cruz is a true believer.....Trump they can work with. After all, he’s done plenty of business with them forever.
Hank
Here are the answers I’ve received (seriously):
1. Watch the Apprentice...you’ll see (really?!?)
2. He supports veterans (just like Dems do when they need their votes)
3. He’s a really successful businessman, therefore he’s a capitalist, therefore he’s a conservative (I tend to think Bill Gates, George Lucas, Steve Jobs might object to that characterization)
Its great fun watching them twist themselves into knots and then turn and attack because that�€™s all they�€™ve got. I think I’m going to change my tack though and start asking them if they want Capt Kardashian appointing the next 3 supreme court justices.”
I'll add number 4. His past statements and positions supporting liberal positions and candidates are irrelevant now. No kidding, a freeper actually told me that...LOL!
I pointed out his past support for single payer, Hillary, and an assault weapons ban to someone here and they resorted to make me the issue and called me a liar in several posts Ok. I'm thick skinned, so I bet them 50 bucks to any charity of the winners choice if that person could provide a link to show Trump never had those positions. That ended the conversation...lol
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