I hate to say it, but I dont see Trump, or any Republican, getting 40 states. The election is Hillary’s too lose. The Democrats own by huge margins all the urban population centers which puts all the big states (except Texas) in the Democrats collumn. With the Democrats firmley in control of Colorado and Virginia now, it’s going to be nearly impossible for any Republican to win.
If Trumps wins, or any other Republican wins, it will be by very similar results of Bush’s wins in 2000 and 2004.
Trump had a big lead in the last CO poll vs. Hillary, also up over her in PA, IA, NH, MO, FL, NC-—almost all states Romney lost.
Trump has at least 25% of the black vote and also many of the disaffected usual DEM votes. :-)