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Why Donald Trump’s big advantage among those without college degrees is important
The Washington Post ^ | December 4,2015 | Philip Bump

Posted on 12/05/2015 7:29:16 AM PST by Hojczyk

On Friday, CNN/ORC released new poll data showing Donald Trump with his biggest lead in their 2016 polling -- which also gave him his highest polling average since he joined the race.

One big reason for that is that Trump has a massive advantage among those who don't have a college degree, as we noted in a graph

We can look at this as a microcosm of the 2016 election on the whole. Trump has consolidated a base of support; the establishment is fractured in its support for someone to stand up to him. This isn't a clean analogy, but it maps loosely. More than 40 percent of those without a degree in the CNN/ORC poll back Trump. Those with a degree can't make up their minds.

If that holds, or if Trump's grip on those without a degree strengthens, it's not good news for those hoping he's not the nominee. In 2012, turnout by those with or without a degree varied by state. In Iowa, 52 percent of Republican caucus-goers had college degrees, according to exit polling; in South Carolina, 47 percent did. The average across 20 states was about half-and-half. Thirteen states, though, had more people without college degrees turn out to vote than those with a degree.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016trump; arrogance; liberalclaptrap; philipbump
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1 posted on 12/05/2015 7:29:16 AM PST by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

Because we too stoopid to see whatz happening? LOL!


2 posted on 12/05/2015 7:32:03 AM PST by rktman (Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?!)
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To: Hojczyk

IOW, the Great Unwashed are going to ruin it for their betters.

Smug bastards.


3 posted on 12/05/2015 7:34:46 AM PST by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s, you weren't really there....)
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To: Hojczyk

http://dailycaller.com/2014/04/22/washington-post-hires-ultra-liberal-former-union-bully-and-nobody-bats-an-eye/


4 posted on 12/05/2015 7:36:05 AM PST by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
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To: Hojczyk

Someone should do a similar study and report on who those with DD214s support.


5 posted on 12/05/2015 7:37:55 AM PST by Bryanw92 (Sic semper tyrannis)
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To: Hojczyk

I believe Trump’s support is very broad, and crosses over into quite a few, ordinary Democrat supporters.

I think he will win a (lot) of Democrats in the coming election, and win by a landslide.

Trump seems to be the only Republican, who can win over a lot of Democrats as well.

That is very big.


6 posted on 12/05/2015 7:38:27 AM PST by Cringing Negativism Network (http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/c5700.html)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

I have a college degree. One of three out of 15 of us growing up to get a degree.

Always got along with blue collar alot more.

Lower middle class Italian neighborhood we grew up in.

You dont want to know how many of the blue collar guys are making just as much or more than me.

Liquor warehouse manager - 100k.

Police and firemen, now mostly retired were making some good money in NYC.

Sanitation paid descent.

Electrician and plumber both making a bundle..

I think more of their kids will go to college.

Not a liberal in the bunch. Not even a moderate in the bunch.

All married, all conservative with kids, nobody ended up being gay or transgender.

odd.


7 posted on 12/05/2015 7:40:49 AM PST by dp0622 (..)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

When I worked construction in Denver (1980-2001) the Mexicans were mostly labors and concrete finishers and drywall…but they were sending there kids to apprentice programs to become electricians and plumbers and other high paying jobs…way ahead of most so called college educated kids….


8 posted on 12/05/2015 7:41:58 AM PST by Hojczyk
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To: ChildOfThe60s
IOW, the Great Unwashed are going to ruin it for their betters.

I hope they do.

9 posted on 12/05/2015 7:44:43 AM PST by grimalkin (For the Statist, liberty is not a blessing but the enemy. - Mark Levin, Liberty and Tyranny)
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To: Hojczyk

Trump also does as well as the other candidates among ‘those with college degrees’ LOL!
The MOE on those numbers is Yuge...

So, this is baseless and stupid- just as you’d expect from a reporter with a journalism degree (yeah, there are a few good ones).


10 posted on 12/05/2015 7:45:37 AM PST by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: Hojczyk

The turds down at the WaPo are attacking those who prefer to WORK FOR A LIVING again. The people these ***holes are attacking and insulting are those that don’t need a government grant to guarantee that they have a job. FUWP.


11 posted on 12/05/2015 7:46:38 AM PST by FlingWingFlyer (Who is fact checking the state controlled, leftwing media's fact checkers?)
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To: Hojczyk

Somehow they always manage to overlook Trump’s support among those of us with Ph.Ds.


12 posted on 12/05/2015 7:48:04 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: dp0622

I also have a degree (Sociology LOL, lots of chickies / grin). Also referred to as a McNamara degree because of when I got it. College was a very different place in those days.

I know plenty with degrees that are ignorant. They are called liberals. Over educated with zero understanding of the real world.

I have an uncle that has multiple advanced degrees in the hard sciences. I badgered him in to admitting (somewhat) that Hillary is a liar and a criminal. He says she’s still better than a “radical Republican”. We are so screwed.


13 posted on 12/05/2015 7:48:28 AM PST by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s, you weren't really there....)
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To: Hojczyk

Would it not be good information to provide the breakdown of the population that has a college degree? Wouldn’t that help people in making a judgement about the situation?

Maybe that info is somewhere in there...don’t they want us to make our own judgements using all available pertinent information?

They wouldn’t be presenting information with the goal of shaping public opinion to fit the reporting entity’s favored political party...would they?


14 posted on 12/05/2015 7:49:22 AM PST by Principled (...the Supreme Court of the United States favors some laws over others...)
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To: rktman

They are really going to be surprised if Trump wins all 57 states.

(57 is in honor of Imam Obama and his workplace violence posse)


15 posted on 12/05/2015 7:49:40 AM PST by Dutch Boy
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To: ChildOfThe60s

gee, i would have figured a science guy would be grounded and be conservative. That’s what i get for stereotyping :)


16 posted on 12/05/2015 7:49:51 AM PST by dp0622 (..)
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To: Hojczyk

Great news!!

Doesn’t much of this group primarily support Dems?

Woo hoo!! Go Trump....get all of those cross over votes :)


17 posted on 12/05/2015 7:51:00 AM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: Dutch Boy

LOL :)


18 posted on 12/05/2015 7:51:35 AM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: Hojczyk
Trump's stance on immigration is the primary reason. Trump is using the Jeff Sessions template written 18 months ago, Becoming the Party of Work: How the GOP can help struggling Americans, and itself.

When Americans went to the polls in 2012, the following was true: Work-force participation had sunk to its lowest level in 35 years, wages had fallen below 1999 levels, and 47 million Americans were on food stamps. Yet Mitt Romney, the challenger to the incumbent president, lost lower- and middle-income voters by an astonishing margin. Among voters earning $30,000 to $50,000, he trailed by 15 points, and among voters earning under $30,000 he trailed by 28 points.

And what did the GOP’s brilliant consultant class conclude from this resounding defeat? They declared that the GOP must embrace amnesty. The Republican National Committee dutifully issued a report calling for a “comprehensive immigration reform” that would inevitably increase the flow of low-skilled immigration, reducing the wages and living standards of the very voters whose trust the GOP had lost,

Over the past four decades, as factories were shuttered and blue-collar jobs were outsourced or automated, net immigration quadrupled. Yet the corporate-consultant class has pronounced that an insufficient level of immigration is the problem. A more colossal misreading of the political moment has rarely occurred.

Perhaps the most important political development now unfolding in the U.S. is the public’s growing loss of faith in our political and financial elites of both parties. To open the ears of disaffected voters, the GOP must break publicly from the elite immigration consensus of Wall Street and Davos. Republicans have a clear path to building a conservative majority if they free themselves from the corporate consultants and demonstrate to the American public that the GOP is the only party aligned with the core interests, concerns, and beliefs of everyday hardworking citizens.

But the immigration “principles” offered by House GOP leaders imply that record immigration levels must be increased further to meet “the needs of employers.” One such GOP proposal — to provide the food industry with half a million low-skilled workers each year — was polled by Rasmussen. Nearly 70 percent of independent voters opposed it.

“Most business leaders have long favored more open immigration. Different businesses want different kinds of people,” a prominent GOP fundraiser declared on TV. “A restaurant may want waiters and cooks; a hospital wants nurses and doctors; a university wants physicists; a business like Exelon needs more engineers.” Asked by the interviewer about hiring U.S. workers for open jobs, he replied that many of those now unemployed are “unable to compete for them.”

Is that the message of a winning party? It might win a majority of votes at a dinner party in a gated community in Bel Air, but it is an act of profound delusion to think that plan can form the basis of a nationwide Republican resurgence.

Democrats in Washington have already cast their lot. A recent report from the Center for Immigration Studies shows that all net employment gains from 2000 to 2013 — a period of record legal immigration — went to immigrant workers, and yet the immigration plan championed by the White House and congressional Democrats would triple the number of immigrants given permanent legal status over the next decade, and it would double the annual flow of guest workers to compete for jobs in every sector of the U.S. economy. The Democrats’ plan delivers for international corporations, open-borders groups, and even workers now living in other countries — all at the expense of American workers.

So Republicans have a choice. They can either join the Democrats as the second political party in Washington advocating uncontrolled immigration, or they can offer the public a principled alternative and represent the American workers Democrats have jettisoned. Republicans can either help the White House enact an immigration plan that will hollow out the American middle class, or they can finally expose the truth about the White House plan and detail the enormous harm it will inflict.

Republicans could then illustrate how, on every policy front, the Left embraces an agenda that benefits only the fortunate few. Their agenda includes: energy restrictions that destroy jobs and drive up costs; maze-like administrative rules that only the largest companies can navigate; nationalized health care that shrinks the work force; Federal Reserve stimulus, which helps big firms at the expense of small savers; taxes and regulation that close plants and send work overseas; massive spending that makes Washington a boomtown while impoverishing the nation; bureaucratic interference in schools and homes; intrusive government; a surging welfare state; endless deficits; and an increasingly open-borders immigration plan. Each of these policies directly harms working Americans. Each of these policies serves the political interests of Democrats while entailing lower pay, fewer hours, and higher unemployment for dedicated American workers.

19 posted on 12/05/2015 7:51:54 AM PST by kabar
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To: rktman

BECAUSE they haven’t been completely brainwashed with the propaganda out of our university systems, much more common sense and much less parroting talking points!!!! My kids would NEVER walk through a university system door today NEVER!!!!!


20 posted on 12/05/2015 7:56:47 AM PST by Kit cat (OBummer must go)
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