Posted on 11/15/2015 10:47:18 AM PST by County Agent Hank Kimball
OK, it's one poll. I have no idea how valid, or really who "Gravis Marketing" is - though I've heard of them before.
Still fun and a little interesting. And not out of line with national polls...except as Ben Carson is concerned.
Trump - 29
Cruz - 12
Rubio - 10
Christie - 8
Jeb! - 8
Carson - 7
Kasich - 5
Paul - 5
Fiorina - 4
Jindal - 1
Huckster - 1
Hank
I don’t know if the poll is accurate or not. All I can say is that Gravis has a very dicey reputation in the polling business and I take their data with a large grain of salt pending independent confirmation.
Good. Cruz is my choice for Vice President.
Very nice!
And yes, I expect they will come for us again.
Imagine the tops spots with people who like each other.
Hope they can hold it!
Very nice!
And yes, I expect they will come for us again.
Cruz will rise as more and more realize he has walked the talk, unlike the others and some who supported Clintons.
Again, it is early, we shall see.
Same here.
Wow — Is Andrew Hemingway really planning on running against Ayotte?
That would be GREAT — He’s an AMAZING candidate and also now a Cruz supporter! (He may have been a supporter earlier, but, when I asked him at the recent 603 Alliance Caucus whether he was going to support Cruz, he smiled but said he couldn’t answer as of yet. But the other day, I saw his name on a list of new Cruz supporters.)
As for Ayotte, she has been a disappointment and I would much prefer to vote for Conservative Andrew Hemingway.
Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 600 registered voters in New Hampshire regarding the presidential election and other areas on November 11, 2015. The sample includes 330 Republican Primary participants, 214 Democrats, and the remainder not planning on participating in the primary, but are planning to vote in the regular elections. The poll has a margin of error of ± 4.0% [5.4% for Republican Primary/6.7% for Democratic Primary]. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls and weighted separately for each population in the question presented.
For the record, that was ME “burying the lead.” The interesting part wasn’t Trump polling about where he’s polled for months. The interesting part was the rest.
Others will drop out, soon enough. The Jindals, Patackis, Hucksters...even the Christies and Pauls. So the question is where will their support go when everything consolidates?
Clearly it won’t go to Trump. Anyone inclined to support Trump is already doing so. As candidates drops out, their supporters will migrate to one of the serious candidates - which at this point appear to be pretty much just Cruz and Rubio. So the interesting thing to watch will be where those supporters go.
Trump is NOT going to be the nominee. Not going to happen. He’ll stay at his 30 percent until that become apparent to all. So where will the other 70 percent go? Who knows? But it’ll be interesting to watch.
Hank
The fact remains that Cruz is rising where Bush is not.
It makes me smile BIGTIME to think that Karl Rove is being proved wrong, once again.
Well played.
Sorry, but you're going to have to face reality. Cruz is where he has always been 8-10 and Trump can lock up the nomination by Super Tues.
“So the question is where will their support go when everything consolidates?
Clearly it won’t go to Trump. Anyone inclined to support Trump is already doing so.”
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
It’s hard to imagine thinking that is more emotional, illogical, and irrational. Obviously, you hate Trump, and since your thinking is so flawed, your hatred of Trump is certainly flawed as well.
In your wacky mind, you’ve already limited him to 30%. Problem is, he’s already at 42%, and likely to go higher as a result of Friday.
Please go to DU where you will find similar thinkers.
That would be the real news of this poll (if legit).
OMG. Carson on FOX stumbling all over himself when asked if he would put boots on the ground against ISIS or if he’d declare war. He said he’d stage it on social media.
| Poll | Date |
Trump
|
Carson
|
Rubio
|
Cruz
|
Kasich
|
Bush
|
Christie
|
Fiorina
|
Paul
|
Jindal
|
Huckabee
|
Pataki
|
Santorum
|
Graham
|
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 10/29 - 11/11 | 24.3 | 13.0 | 11.3 | 9.0 | 8.7 | 7.3 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Trump +11.3 |
| GravisGravis | 11/11 - 11/11 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Trump +17 |
| WBUR/MassINCWBUR/MassINC | 10/29 - 11/1 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Trump +2 |
| MonmouthMonmouth | 10/29 - 11/1 | 26 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Trump +10 |
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