The link below is for an article that is several months old.
It details the changes in the rules for gaining the nomination at the Republican Convention.
If I am reading this right basically the GOP-e is supposed to have a much easier time getting on the ballot at the convention because candidates will have to gain the majority of the delegates in at least 8 states. Since the GOP-e guys have more money this setup favored them.
Also primaries have been moved closer together so that it is harder for an outsider to gain momentum by doing well in a couple of early primaries.
If you do the math 8 states almost equals has the nomination in hand unless the states are all the very low population places like S Dakota.
How is this relevant to this article? It means trouble for lower ranked candidates because they won’t even be allowed to nominated. If Christie can’t win New Jersey I doubt he can win anywhere else.
This could I think backfire on the GOP-e in 2016 because if none of Bush, Rubio or Christie reaches the 8 state threshold they are gone. It is a good reason to pray they stay in the game as long as possible. I also think that Carson draws votes form the Bush/Rubio/Christie pool because in many ways even though he is not GOP-e his positions are nearest to them.
I think the true conservative that is hurt by this is Ted Cruz. I can’t see him getting the majority of the votes in 8 states. I think finishes 2nd in a bunch with the Romney endorsed rule changes that won’t get him on the ballot at the convention.
For good or ill the only two guys that look like they will get the 8 state threshold are Trump and Carson.
These rule changes were made by Mitt Romney.
Thank you Mr Romney for pissing in the punch!
Thanks for that info...