Posted on 09/30/2015 7:54:45 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
Attorney General Jack Conway maintains a nominal five-point lead over Republican Matt Bevin with just more than a month to go in Kentucky's race for governor, according to a new Bluegrass Poll.
The poll shows little change from July, with Conway garnering 42 percent support, Bevin with 37 percent and independent Drew Curtis with 7 percent. Fifteen percent of voters say they are undecided.
The survey of 701 likely voters was conducted Sept. 22 to 27 by SurveyUSA and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points, which means the race remains a statistical toss-up. The poll is sponsored by the Herald-Leader and WKYT-TV in Lexington and The Courier-Journal and WHAS-TV in Louisville,
Despite a televised debate and increasing numbers of advertisements, there has been no shift since summer in a race that has largely failed to engage voters.
When the Bluegrass Poll was conducted in late July, Conway led Bevin 43 percent to 38 percent, with Curtis at 8 percent.
Stephen Voss, a political science professor at the University of Kentucky, said the latest poll results mean Bevin's campaign "should be worried."
"Bevin is having more difficulty exciting the state's Republicans than Conway faces with Democrats," Voss said. "Democratic partisans apparently feel more favorably toward Conway than Republican partisans feel toward Bevin. Bevin needs to worry about the folks who lean his way deciding to stay home because they're insufficiently motivated."
Only 65 percent of respondents who identified themselves as "very conservative" and 56 percent of those who said they were "conservative" support Bevin, according to the poll.
(Excerpt) Read more at kentucky.com ...
Heartbreaking, I really wanted Bevin to win this one.
Race ain’t over, yet.
There’s still plenty of time...but it is time to really get it in gear. Bevin needs to write the check for the equivalent amount he spent in the primary and get the airways saturated with his own message, and possibly the other organizations will jump back into the fray as well.
In before someone blames McConnell.
Y’know, a Governor Conway would be insurance for Zero’s Bitch Mitch: “If I resign, you get a Democrat Senator !”
Insurance I don’t think he needs cause he’s not gonna resign his seat. But sure. Also he’s old and could die. And who knows, Rand could get caught with cocaine.
Worse it would be 4 more years (8 probably) of torture for the poor people of Kentucky under yet another bluegrass mafia democrat Governor. You’ve suggested the off-year election might be problem for us, IIRC (right?). In any case the dems are way too powerful on the state level, I didn’t think West VA would start turning before Kentucky. We need Bevin and some other Republicans to win statewide office. Looks like we have decent candidates for everything but Sec of State, which looks a coronation for the bitch who Mitch just pitched
If he’s forced to step down as Majority Leader, he may see little point in keeping his seat. The Weeping Boner didn’t want to stay unless he remained Speaker. Once these guys get the power, they don’t want to go back to being a backbencher.
The only Republican who did that in the past 50 years (off the top of my head) was Speaker Martin. He not only endured the humiliation of never getting back his position as Speaker Rayburn assured him he would in 1956 (Rayburn let Martin hold onto the large and spacious Speaker offices after the 1954 midterms since Rayburn didn’t want to play musical chairs while he kept the Minority offices for 4 years. Rayburn would’ve been astonished it would take 4 decades for a GOP majority to come back around), but he was ousted as Minority Leader in 1959 and still chose to remain until he was finally primaried by Peggy Heckler in 1966.
What is going on? He never intended to win?
I’ll take Little Jimmy Dickens.
I have seen a lot of ads trashing Bevin and none either for him or attacking Conway. It’s not looking good. If Bevin botches this election, he’ll likely be unwelcome in party circles.
Bevin has never been serious about this race. Bevin is for Bevin. In the gubernatorial debate at Centre tonight, which I only heard on radio, all I could think when he was so shrill about drug testing for Medicaid recipients, was, oh, yeah, he’s invested in drug test kits. He denied being a hedge fund manager, which, even though Waycross Partners website was scrubbed the night after he won the primary, he clearly was, in Louisville. He got nasty about his tax returns, which of course he won’t release because — he was a hedge fund manager, and only pays capital gains tax, not personal income taxes. The guy is simply NOT SERIOUS. AND — he’s a downer. He is downright depressing to listen to rather than being inspirational. This poor state.
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