I think many many people figure on both Trump and Carson not sticking around. Assume yes, the race is in play. Assume Trump goes the distance but never gets over 30%, as conventional logic would say if they were not in Trump’s camp before they won’t be later. You could say the same for Bush but Trump has the early magnetism. Many won’t take him seriously as a politician even if many don’t want another Bush. I am just trying to read how it shakes out when there the race is down to 5 or 6 - Bush, Fiorina and Trump can outspend all the others and then it becomes a game of knock out.