Posted on 09/11/2015 6:24:09 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
“I don’t like to analyze myself because I might not like what I see.”
— Donald Trump, in an interview for Never Enough: Donald Trump and the Pursuit of Success, by business journalist Michael D’Antonio.
“Trump was willing to say and do almost anything to satisfy his craving for attention. But he also possessed a sixth sense that kept him from going too far.”
— D’Antonio’s conclusion to the book.
One often-underappreciated virtue of U.S. presidential campaigns is that their extreme length makes it very difficult to conceal what makes a candidate tick. (Barack Obama in 2008 was an exception, and he had help from an actively complicit media.)
This reality is finally catching up to Donald Trump.
As good as his “sixth sense” may be, Trump seems unlikely to avoid “going too far” in the long four-month stretch between now and the Iowa caucuses in February.
On Wednesday night, it came to light that Trump had made fun of rival candidate Carly Fiorina’s looks to a Rolling Stone reporter. “Look at that face,” he was overheard to say. “Would anyone vote for that? Can you imagine that, the face of our next president?” Trump now claims he wasn’t talking about Fiorina’s appearance, but her “persona.”
Before the news of his Fiorina remark broke, Trump spoke at an afternoon rally protesting President Obama’s nuclear deal with Iran, and blasted Obama for failing to secure the release of four Americans jailed in the Islamic Republic. Then he misapplied a lesson from history: “If I win the presidency, I guarantee you that those four prisoners are back in our country before I ever take office. I guarantee that. They will be back before I ever take office, because [the Iranians] know what has to happen, okay?”
Trump no doubt remembers that Iran released the hostages it had held for 444 days at the U.S. Embassy in Tehran on the day Ronald Reagan was sworn in for his first term as president. But foreign policy experts I’ve spoken to say that for Trump to “guarantee” a similar outcome for the four Americans imprisoned there today will likely lead to one of two disappointing outcomes: a) the Iranians stubbornly refuse to lose face by appearing to knuckle under to Trump; or b) Trump will feel pressure to use military force against Iran after he is sworn in so he won’t lose face.
“Reagan was careful not to comment on the hostages before he became president,” Martin Anderson, his late policy advisor, once told me. “That allowed him to exploit a vacuum and helped bring them home.”
In addition to the nationalistic fervor he can’t help whipping up, much of Trump’s support is predicated on his self-proclaimed genius in business deals. But National Journal reported this week that his business instincts are greatly exaggerated:
>>>If he’d invested the $200 million that Forbes magazine determined he was worth in 1982 into (a mutual fund of S&P 500 stocks), it would have grown to more than $8 billion today. . . . That a purely unmanaged index fund’s return could outperform Trump’s hands-on wheeling and dealing call into question one of Trump’s chief selling points on the campaign trail: his business acumen.<<<
Then there is the matter of Trump’s net worth itself. In June, Trump announced his presidential bid brandishing a document that claimed he was worth more than $8.7 billion. By August, when he filed reports with the Federal Election Commission, the number had ballooned to $10 billion.
The game of hide-and-seek Trump plays with his “billions” was described by Tim O’Brien, a former New York Times reporter, in his 2005 book TrumpNation. The book quoted sources close to Trump as claiming he “was not remotely close to being a billionaire.” Trump promptly sued O’Brien for $5 billion in damages.
During the resultant litigation, O’Brien’s lawyers deposed Trump for two days in 2007. “Among the documents discussed was a Deutsche Bank assessment that pegged Donald’s net worth at $788 million in 2005,” O’Brien recalled in a Bloomberg View article this past July. “At the time, Donald was telling his bankers and casino regulators that he was worth $3.6 billion; he was telling me he was worth $5 billion to $6 billion.”
When Trump was asked about the wide discrepancy between his claimed net worth and the various independent estimates of his wealth, he revealed how his mind works. As D’Antonio reports in the excellent new Never Enough, “[Trump] explained the wide swings as a function of market conditions, and his own sense of the value of his name. This brand valuation — [Trump] estimated it was worth $6 billion.” Trump said in the deposition that the value of his brand “goes up and down with markets and with attitudes and with feelings, even my own feelings.” He then added some thoughts about his net worth:
>>>[Wealth] can change when somebody writes a vicious article like O’Brien. I mean, I didn’t feel so great about myself when I read that article. I would have said that — after reading that article I would have said that this psychologically hurt me.<<<
Trump is perfectly suited for the current media age. He provides enough outrageous quotes and distractions to remain such a source of endless fascination that the press has trouble catching up with his contradictions. D’Antonio says Trump “understood that in the media age, the frontier that might challenge a man or woman was found, not in the wilderness, but in the media. The boundary of this wilderness was marked by propriety, which was an elastic concept.”
Donald Trump has tested the media’s limits of propriety for three decades, and he’s usually succeeded in expanding them.
We will learn in the next four months just how far Trump can expand the equivalent political limits. As much as he may have mastered many of the lessons of the Robert Ringer classic Winning Through Intimidation, he might have forgotten a key one. “The secret to bluffing is knowing when not to bluff,” Ringer told me. “Some people don’t know when to stop, and they always regret it.”
Churchill wasn’t exactly religious neither.
Would I prefer Trump to be more religious, sure, but it’s not necessarily a disqualification, especially in desperate times.
You want a good Christian for President, two words, ‘Jimmy Carter.”
There is a manifest difference between assuming moral responsibility, and insulting an all knowing God by refusing to be responsible for what is clearly within one's compass. The responsible conduct is to thank God for the Blessing of having a conscience and being willing to heed it.
God is not out of the loop, where one assumes moral responsibility. Without God the very concept of right & wrong is absent.
You’ve tossed in “refusing to take responsibility” to change the focus. Donald should take lessons from you.
Thank you for posting these articles. It’s stunning to see his supporters rationalize everything he does.
Um...ok. Relevance to the question of ACTUALLY getting those hostages freed?
Oh, there’s plenty wrong with Trump.
Problem is, we’ve not been getting much of anywhere with anyone else, and the current alternatives don’t seem any more promising regarding actually achieving results.
I agree.
A stunning set of different standards from what has been demanded in the past.
Their hypocrisy should embarrass them.
The vast majority will read this non-issue forced headline and ask ‘what’s this all about?’.
Then they will read something about Trump referring to Fiorina’s face as no face for a President and then they will look at Fiorina’s face in a picture and they will nod in agreement. And the media will try to blow it up as some grand faux-pas, some great misstep on Trump’s part. And the electorate will yawn.
In other news, the US Senate just gave Obama’s deal with Iran the green light. Oh, bu that’s not news you see. What’s news is someone calling Fiorina ugly, even though she is.
National Review a defacto arm of the GOPe. :-)
Ohioan, You correctly stated the truth of what Trump said but it is impossible to reason with Cincinatus’ Wife on Trump.
She is filled with hated for him and, evidently, spends all of her free time searching for things to compare and contrast with her hero, Walker.
It’s a mental thing, some call it obsession.
Reagan registered as a Republican for the first time in 1962 and was nominated as the Republican candidate for Governor in 1966. So according to your internal timetable you would not have voted for him because he wasn’t really a Republican.
I see lots of red flags with trump but I don’t see any islamic flags behind him. He would have not even been on any ones radar if he had not come out strong on immigration and any of the 17 could have done the same thing but chose not to. I see stupid sold out k-street CoC stooges all over the field dumping on Trump.
Do not assume to define my feelings about Trump.
I do not hate him, I completely distrust him.
Gov. Walker has done what he said he would do in Wisconsin. He pulled it red and he can do it for the country.
The Walker horse died and CW just can’t get off. :-)
I was speaking of Reagan’s Presidential terms.
Besides being a 2-term governor of CA, Reagan had basically been giving the “Time for Choosing” speech during his GE years to union members and their families.
He didn’t just decide to play “Reality TV” president.
Then you choose to ignore history and go with the guy that tells you what you want to BELIEVE.
From Newsmax: “Donald Trump is leading the pack of hopefuls among GOP Iowa Caucus-goers, while Scott Walker has plummeted to the back of the line, a new poll from Quinnipiac University finds. The numbers fall this way: Trump, 27 percent; Ben Carson, 21 percent; Sen. Ted Cruz, 9 percent; Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush has 6 percent; Carly Fiorina, Ohio Gov. John Kasich and U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida each garnered 5 percent. Walker is at 3 percent, down from 18 percent in July. No other candidate topped 4 percent, and 4 percent of caucus-goers were undecided.”
Rut Rho looks like Scotty will be staying in WI keeping the public safe from college professors. LOL!
In short, we already have a liberal in the People’s House who thinks he’s God.
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