Would FR’s resident oilman care to chime in for this question please?
(I know I’d be interested in his answer; I’ve been wondering the same thing)
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The closure of the largest of Whitings three units caused an immediate jump in gasoline prices in the Midwest. Stockpiles were drawn down to fill demand during summers peak driving season. Gasoline has been movedvia pipeline, truck, and trainfrom other parts of the country to balance out supply. So, while the biggest price increase was in states like Minnesota, Michigan, and Illinois, prices raised nationwide beginning on August 11.
Meanwhile, because the Whiting plant wasnt sucking up crude oil, its supplies grew and drove crude prices down furtherhitting a six-year low. The Financial Times reports: An outage at Whitings main crude distillation unit could add almost 1m [million] barrels to Cushing [the Oklahoma oil trading and storage center] every four days as long as it is out.
Making matters worse, another Midwest refinery, Marathons Robinson, Illinois 212,000 barrels per day facility is down for repairs that are expected to take two months.
Others smaller outages include Philadelphia Energy Solutions and the Coffeyville Resources refinery in Kansas. BloombergBusiness states: As many as seven other Midwest refineries could shut units for extended time this fall. Though, other reports indicate that some of the planned maintenance may be put off due to profit margins that are at a seven-year high.
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Some areas of South Caroline are down to $1.86/gal.