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To: Windflier

We have seen the NBC poll, this one, and a tracking poll by a group called ‘Morning Consult’ that I have never heard of.

This one I call shaky because of the small sample, large margin, and methodology. The NBC one is better. The Morning Consult one I don’t know about.

All show Trump either steady or gaining. That looks like the trend, and more polls will probably support that. But we only know the Trump and Bush numbers from this poll, so I can’t tell beyond that.

The NBC poll showed Cruz with a 7 point jump, the Morning Consult poll showed Cruz with a 4 point drop.

We don’t know what this poll showed for Cruz.

So again, I really would like to see a few more polls.


28 posted on 08/10/2015 12:53:35 PM PDT by Anitius Severinus Boethius (www.wilsonharpbooks.com - Sign up for my new release e-mail and get my first novel for free)
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius
We have seen the NBC poll, this one, and a tracking poll by a group called ‘Morning Consult’ that I have never heard of.

Don't forget the Drudge and Time internet polls that were run right after the debate. They may have been 'unscientific', but the results showed a strong trend that has been backed up by later polling.

There are all sorts of other metrics one can examine, as well, if your intent is to gain some insight as to voter preferences.

But, I take your original point. More polls is a good thing.

36 posted on 08/10/2015 1:12:55 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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