“A high school kid with a basic understanding of physics cannot produce a nuclear weapon any more than a bunch of camel jockeys wandering around the desert can.”
Iran isn’t talking high school students, or Camel jockeys. There are physicists and engineers, who attend fine universities. And they can pay atomic engineers from China, Russia, Europe, and I dare say,, even the USA.
They have all the raw materials, the knowledge is widespread. And have many shortcuts Manhattan could only dream of.
They probably already have it and simply haven’t tested yet.
As for a deliverable warhead, they simply have to claim it is. All they actually need is one gadget type that successfully detonates. That is the real goal rather than one that can be delivered.
That makes you invasion proof. The reason they want it is not for Tel Aviv, or to detonate an EMP over Denver and all the other silliness out there.
The Iranian nuke has one and only one purpose. It is to keep the 1st Armored Division from rolling into Tehran, or to prevent a Marine Division from landing on their gulf coast. They saw what happened to Saddam, to Moamar Kaddafy, etc. The Mullahs need something to ensure they will never be invaded and hanged.
The Mullahs as suicidal thing is a fraud. They are willing to send disturbed individuals, a handful of true believers, and those trapped by circumstance into suicide bombings. But if they were actually willing to go up in flames, they could attack Israel this afternoon.
The ultimate grand mistake of Obama (though “mistake” implies that he didn’t want them to get the bomb) was not supporting the Iranian uprising right after he took office. It was at the tipping point, and he put his thumb on the scales on the side of the Mullahs. That is Obamas most evil act.
Iran was nearly a nation that escaped the Mullahs grip, Obama stopped that.
The knowledge is not widespread. This is a myth.
No. The Iranians want a truck-delivered bomb able to be driven into Tel Aviv(or nearby inside Palestinian territory, but not inspected by Israel.
They want to blow up Israel.
But the second weapon to be detonated will be over top of Mecca. The third over top of Medina.
And THAT threat is what Saudi Arabia fears. Not blowing up any millions of people in Israel.. But blowing up that rock in Mecca.