Any word on NV redrawing the lines? Why wouldn’t they do it?
I haven’t heard anything since that rumor following the election. There’s plenty of risks to redrawing the lines mid-decade: it will be controversial, it will hurt some people’s feelings, it could get struck down by the state supreme court (which is what happened in Colorado in 2003 or 2004), etc. Of course, the potential benefits—drawing enough safe state legislative districts to keep both houses Republican for at least the rest of te decade, and drawing three GOP-leaning congressional districts to just one overwhelmingly RAT CD—far exceed the risks, at least in my mind.
One thing that Republicans have to make sure, though, is that Gov. Sandoval and that leaders of both houses are on board, because such plans can unravel easily (and leave the party worse off than they were before, given the bad publicity) if the Speaker or the Governor objects. That’s what happened in Virginia in 2013, where the state Senate had to pass the re-redistricitng plan for the state senate districts the day of Obama’s second inaugural (when a black Democrat senator went to DC instead of going to the session) because the RINO Lt. Gov. said that he would not have broken the tie in the evenly split Senate, the Senate-passed bill made Gov. McDonnell unhappy because he would look partisan (maybe he should have been worried instead not to look like a crook for accepting all those gifts from a lobbyist) and the Senate-passed amendment to the prior House bill (which original bill only made minor technical changes to House districts) was ruled “non-germane” by the RINO Speaker and thus defeated without even having a vote in the House.