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Why the Supreme Court Will Rule in Favor of Obamacare
The New Republic ^ | 03/04/2015 | Abigail R. Moncrieff

Posted on 03/04/2015 6:26:30 AM PST by SeekAndFind

On Wednesday, the Supreme Court will hear oral arguments in King v. Burwell, which will decide whether health insurance subsidies should be available nationwide or only in those 16 states that established exchanges. Several questions have recently emerged over the legitimacy of the plaintiffs’ case, including issues of jurisdiction and congressional intent, but there’s an even deeper flaw: The plaintiffs’ interpretation would render the statute unconstitutional.

Several of my colleagues and I made this case in an amicus brief to the Court. If the plaintiffs’ interpretation carries the day, then Obamacare has threatened states that failed to establish exchanges with virtually assured destruction of their individual insurance markets. And the Supreme Court held in the first Obamacare case that the federal government may not make that kind of extreme threat. Congress can't hold a gun to states’ heads in order to force them to implement federal policies.

This constitutional problem matters—maybe more than any other flaw in the plaintiffs’ case—because it puts the conservative justices in a bind. In general, conservative justices try to avoid second-guessing a statute’s text, even if the text leads to seemingly crazy results, and the plaintiffs have a case that the text of the Affordable Care Act compels their victory. But some conservatives on the bench, notably Chief Justice John Roberts, are also dedicated to a different and sometimes-contradictory principle: that they should not assume that Congress wrote an unconstitutional statute.

(Excerpt) Read more at newrepublic.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: obamacare; scotus; supremecourt
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To: SeekAndFind
Congress can't hold a gun to states’ heads in order to force them to implement federal policies.

So the threat of the withholding of Federal Dollars for Highways if a 70 mile an hour limit was not imposed was not a gun, but a mere suggestion.Does anyone believe this rubbish.

21 posted on 03/04/2015 7:31:46 AM PST by Timocrat (Ingnorantia non excusat)
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To: Timocrat
So the threat of the withholding of Federal Dollars for Highways if a 70 mile an hour limit was not imposed was not a gun, but a mere suggestion. Does anyone believe this rubbish.

It is. And it was very successfully used by Ronald Reagan to raise the national drinking age to 21.


22 posted on 03/04/2015 7:38:52 AM PST by Buckeye McFrog
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To: SeekAndFind

Because the unprincipled, anti-constitutional wimp Roberts is afraid that the court might be seen as “political”, so he’ll bend over backwards to sustain Obamacare, no matter how he has to contort it to do so. He’s already proven that.


23 posted on 03/04/2015 7:43:05 AM PST by TBP (Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Referring to the original decision to allow O’care to stand, Roberts said, and I am paraphrasing, that the law was constitutional. He also said that it was not the job of the court to protect the people from the effect of legally enacted laws. In other words, if the people we elected to speak for us produced stupid legislation then we are just stuck with it until someone else passes another law to counter it. Using this same logic I don’t see any way he can rule against the plaintiffs. Though the law was poorly written and passed in the dark of night by a group of people who never read it, it was passed as written. The clause was clear as to whom the subsidies applied. Anyone who votes in support of the government’s case should be a candidate for impeachment on the grounds of incompetence as well as malfeasance.

Not that anyone up there gives a damn what I think.


24 posted on 03/04/2015 7:59:51 AM PST by jstaff
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To: SeekAndFind

I fully expect the US Supreme Court to continue to pass along the marxist/progressive agenda without regard to the Constitution and wishes of the American people and their lawfully elected representatives.


25 posted on 03/04/2015 8:05:00 AM PST by lormand (Inside every liberal is a dung slinging monkey)
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To: SeekAndFind

I know I’m in the minority here, but I would bet the farm that this one will come down in favor of the petitioners.


26 posted on 03/04/2015 8:16:07 AM PST by KevinB (Barack Obama: Our first black, gay, Kenyan, Socialist, Muslim president!)
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To: TBP
Because the unprincipled, anti-constitutional wimp Roberts is afraid that the court might be seen as “political”, so he’ll bend over backwards to sustain Obamacare, no matter how he has to contort it to do so. He’s already proven that.

I don't agree with your characterization of Roberts, but since he has already proven that the court is not political he won't need to do it again. (I know I'm also in the minority on this one, but I believe he was right the first time.) This is a much easier case because it will be determined by the clear meaning of the words and people, regardless of political persuasion, can understand that. In addition, Gruber's own words have given the Court cover.

27 posted on 03/04/2015 8:22:28 AM PST by KevinB (Barack Obama: Our first black, gay, Kenyan, Socialist, Muslim president!)
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To: SeekAndFind

I have no doubt the SCOTUS will uphold Obamacare. If we want to get rid of it the Congress will have to repeal it.


28 posted on 03/04/2015 8:34:09 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose o f a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

RE: If we want to get rid of it the Congress will have to repeal it.

They’ve already voted to do that over 30 times. Nothing has come out of that because it died in the senate under Harry Reid. This time, even if it were to pass, Obama has his veto pen.


29 posted on 03/04/2015 8:38:02 AM PST by SeekAndFind (If at first you don't succeed, put it out for beta test.)
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To: SeekAndFind

By Congress I am referring to both houses of Congress.


30 posted on 03/04/2015 8:39:39 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose o f a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

RE: By Congress I am referring to both houses of Congress.

OK, even if it cleared both houses, we still have Obama’s veto pen to contend with.

And I don’t think we have the necessary 2/3 votes to override his veto.


31 posted on 03/04/2015 8:42:11 AM PST by SeekAndFind (If at first you don't succeed, put it out for beta test.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I didn’t say it was possible to do it now I just said that the Supreme Court is not going to overturn Obamacare and if its going to get done the Congress will have to do it.

IMO getting rid of Obamacare cannot happen until there is a GOP President. But after seeing the lack of will on the part of our GOP House and Senate to stop illegal amnesty and the passing of Cromnibus I have zero faith that the GOP even want to repeal Obamacare.


32 posted on 03/04/2015 8:49:17 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose o f a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: KevinB

And then what? You think the administration will abide by it?


33 posted on 03/04/2015 8:51:50 AM PST by daler
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To: daler
And then what? You think the administration will abide by it?

Yes, they won't have a choice. They will need congressional help to come up with something that actually works. Of course, that doesn't mean the Republican leadership (oxymoron, I know) won't cave as it always does.

34 posted on 03/04/2015 9:41:46 AM PST by KevinB (Barack Obama: Our first black, gay, Kenyan, Socialist, Muslim president!)
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To: Georgia Girl 2
I have no doubt the SCOTUS will uphold Obamacare.

This case is not about upholding Obamacare. It's about whether providing subsidies to people who are in states without exchanges is permissible under the statute.

35 posted on 03/04/2015 9:44:19 AM PST by KevinB (Barack Obama: Our first black, gay, Kenyan, Socialist, Muslim president!)
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To: KevinB

Duh! Its Obamacare. If the subsidies get struck down the program dies. The court is going to uphold this unconstitutional mess just like they did before.


36 posted on 03/04/2015 10:43:12 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose o f a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: oldbrowser

No, they will not rule against it and even if they did the good liberals in Congress known as the Republicans will re institute the subsidies and keep obamacare alive.

The fix is in...


37 posted on 03/04/2015 11:43:02 AM PST by sarge83
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To: SeekAndFind
But some conservatives on the bench, notably Chief Justice John Roberts, are also dedicated to a different and sometimes-contradictory principle: that they should not assume that Congress wrote an unconstitutional statute.

Actually, it wouldn't hurt for them to automatically assume every law is unConstitutional. They shpuld have to prove that the law is good, more so than simply accepting that it's ok.
38 posted on 03/04/2015 1:41:35 PM PST by Svartalfiar
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To: KevinB

Actually, he proved nothing of the sort. He proved that the Court is susceptible to political and personal pressure.

He was absolutely wrong in the first case. There is no way to spin this law as constitutional. he had to rewrite it to make it “fit”. Simply put — a penalty is NOT a tax.

Furthermore, he has shown his determination to save this bad law at all costs.


39 posted on 03/04/2015 7:46:45 PM PST by TBP (Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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To: KevinB

Roberts is an unprincipled, anti-constitutional wimp.


40 posted on 03/04/2015 7:47:20 PM PST by TBP (Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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