643, that’s a bit of a small sample. I like Cassidy being 21% ahead. He still should act as if he were behind and make sure to bring it home!
In statistics any sample size of 32 or above is sufficient. At n=32, the differences between sqrt(1/(n-1)) and sqrt(1/(N)) (n=sample N=population)is insignificant.
And that’s why I sent a check to him right after the election——to help retire Babycakes forever-—I thot It’s the least I could do on short notice.