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CRUDE OIL BREAKS $80: GOING DOWN!
Business Insider ^ | 10/27/2014 | Myles Udland

Posted on 10/27/2014 7:49:15 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Crude oil just broke $80.

In morning trade on Monday, the price of crude oil fell below $80 a barrel for the first time since mid-2012 as energy prices continue to plummet around the world.

The most recent drop in oil, which has been a bear market since topping out at about $107 during the summer, follows a cut in oil-price expectations from Goldman Sachs' Jeff Currie over the weekend.

Currie took his oil-price forecasts for WTI Crude to $75 a barrel in the first quarter of 2015 and to $70 a barrel in the second quarter of next year.

Longer-term, Currie expects WTI prices to stabilize near $80 a barrel, and Currie said that "uncertainty around the required price to slow down US shale production growth is a key risk to our forecast."

Currie's forecast relies on three key reasons:

* We have greater confidence in the scale and sustainability of US shale oil production. This implies that the global cost curve has shifted lower and that cost deflation is sustainable.

* We forecast that accelerating non-OPEC production growth outside North America will outpace demand growth, leaving the global oil market oversupplied.

* We believe that OPEC will no longer act as the first-mover swing producer and that US shale oil output will be called upon to fill this role.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: crudeoil; energy; oil; oilprice
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To: 1010RD

http://www.aogr.com/magazine/cover-story/predictive-analytics-technology-boosts-efficiency-reduces-npt-in-onshore-dr

http://www.rigzone.com/news/oil_gas/a/133709/Musings_The_Impact_Of_Rig_Efficiency_On_Drilling_And_Production

http://www.upi.com/Business_News/Energy-Resources/2013/05/10/Apache-Corp-saves-big-on-drilling-efficiency/UPI-44041368181719/

http://www.willistonherald.com/most_recent/bakken-future-is-bright/article_4ebec138-bff9-11e3-b9ca-0019bb2963f4.html

- - - - -

Pipelines tend to be the lowest cost to move oil.

The exports is driving a bigger market that gives producers more confidence they won’t be caught in a local oversupply like what happened on the West Coast a couple decades ago.


101 posted on 10/27/2014 12:10:17 PM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
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To: thackney

Excellent and you’re a FR treasure house of info. So in your opinion would it be relatively easy for a GOP POTUS to make Keystone or perhaps other pipelines a reality and allow exports? (assuming we hold Congress and no GOPidiot restores the filibuster the Dems took away)


102 posted on 10/27/2014 12:16:28 PM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: thackney
Wrong. Every Gas Station within 5 miles of my home (easily found on Gas Buddy) raised prices from $2.97 to $3.24 (or higher) the same day, all within an hour of each other.

Blame whoever you want - there's collusion going on. If it wasn't, not everyone would have the same exact prices at the same exact times now would they? Of course not. That's just common sense.

103 posted on 10/27/2014 12:17:56 PM PDT by usconservative (When The Ballot Box No Longer Counts, The Ammunition Box Does. (What's In Your Ammo Box?))
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To: 1010RD
You understand that is a question of politics and not the oil industry?

Can? Yes!

Will????


104 posted on 10/27/2014 12:19:22 PM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
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To: usconservative
Every Gas Station within 5 miles of my home (easily found on Gas Buddy) raised prices from $2.97 to $3.24 (or higher) the same day, all within an hour of each other.

And yet, the overall areas, didn't change that way.

So you believe big oil hates your town? But is okay with Chicago and all of Illinois, and the rest of the country?

Yeah, it must be big oil. It couldn't possibly be a local reason.

105 posted on 10/27/2014 12:22:16 PM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
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To: IMR 4350

Well, in the mean time, there are plenty of working wells....no need to panic.


106 posted on 10/27/2014 12:30:45 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: MrB

Jack Spirko?


107 posted on 10/27/2014 12:31:24 PM PDT by nitzy
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To: thackney
You're really stuck on stupid aren't you? An average trend doesn't account for spikes.

Regular Unleaded Gasoline by me last Thursday morning: 2.97/Gal.

Regular Unleaded Gasoline by me last Thursday evening: $3.24/Gal.

Regular Unleaded Gasoline by me RIGHT NOW: $3.21 a gallon.

Now genius, explain why your chart doesn't show that.

108 posted on 10/27/2014 12:32:43 PM PDT by usconservative (When The Ballot Box No Longer Counts, The Ammunition Box Does. (What's In Your Ammo Box?))
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To: usconservative

by me

by me

by me

Yeah, it must be big oil, just like you said.

I’m fortunate they love the rest of us and hate your town.


109 posted on 10/27/2014 12:34:21 PM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
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To: thackney
I'm not going to sit here and try to defend words you're attempting to put in my mouth (or on my keyboard.) You want to argue like a democrat and be dishonest, I'll treat you like a democrat and ignore you.

Good bye.

110 posted on 10/27/2014 12:34:23 PM PDT by usconservative (When The Ballot Box No Longer Counts, The Ammunition Box Does. (What's In Your Ammo Box?))
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To: nitzy

Si...

Time commitment to listen to Jack got too high for me,
got behind, got discouraged, quit listening.


111 posted on 10/27/2014 12:34:26 PM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: usconservative

Let me add, I paid $2.78 this weekend. God Bless Texas!


112 posted on 10/27/2014 12:35:54 PM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
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To: usconservative
words you're attempting to put in my mouth

by big oil

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3220039/posts?page=81#81
81 posted on 10/27/2014, 12:06:14 PM by usconservative

113 posted on 10/27/2014 12:38:03 PM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
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To: Ruy Dias de Bivar; Starstruck

What was even more amazing was that stations actually paid people to pump your gas for you. And they actually checked your oil and tire pressure. If a tire was low they added air which, at that time, was free! A major employer of teens that no longer exists. I remember the first time I filled up with gas and found out that I had to pump my own gas and the first time I had to pay for the air that I needed to put in a low tire. Just threw a tizzy fit!

In our area stations are on each of the four corners of every major intersection and each has their “convenience store”. They do a huge lunch business from what I would suspect are illegals and there is an abundance of small brown paper bags being carried out which, I’m sure, contain a can of soda. LOL


114 posted on 10/27/2014 1:07:24 PM PDT by Grams A (The Sun will rise in the East in the morning and God is still on his throne.)
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To: thackney

Gas Buddy is color charting Missouri and Arkansas on the national map as if only a minor difference is present for regular??? North from Little Rock to the state border, local station prices are 25 to 30 cent per gallon higher than north of the border. Last time this price discrepancy occurred was due to refinery outages, but haven’t seen any mentioned. Prior to refinery issues 2012? Missouri gasoline was consistently 10 cent gallon less expensive.


115 posted on 10/27/2014 1:11:28 PM PDT by Ozark Tom
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To: Ozark Tom
Missouri state average recently rose relative to the Arkansas.

But it does swing sometimes higher or lower.

Missouri gasoline taxes are about 5¢ cheaper.

http://www.api.org/oil-and-natural-gas-overview/industry-economics/~/media/Files/Statistics/State-Motor-Fuel-Excise-Tax-Update-Oct-2014.pdf

116 posted on 10/27/2014 1:17:18 PM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
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To: Ruy Dias de Bivar
It was. I remember 18.9. a gallon.

12 cents, WOW!

117 posted on 10/27/2014 2:10:56 PM PDT by painter ( Isaiah: “Woe to those who call evil good and good evil,")
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To: reformedliberal
My costs for shipping just keep going up. Probably union contracts or something like that.

Well ya gotta give it a little time, they're only starting to drop.

Fuel prices will follow crude prices down...shipping costs will follow as carrier competition dictates.

118 posted on 10/27/2014 2:13:56 PM PDT by ROCKLOBSTER (Celebrate "Republicans Freed the Slaves" Month.)
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To: Dave W

Nobody was in a panic, that’s just something else you pulled out of your butt.


119 posted on 10/27/2014 3:12:36 PM PDT by IMR 4350
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To: Grams A
If a tire was low they added air which, at that time, was free

LOL. I remember a woman who would come in on occasion, whose husband told her the air in her tires needed to changed. We played along with it. Figured he just needed a break from her. Also don't forget we would always wash the windows.

120 posted on 10/27/2014 5:01:39 PM PDT by Starstruck (If my reply offends, you probably don't understand sarcasm or criticism...or do.)
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