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To: FredZarguna
CDC's current esitmate is that 25,000 people are infected in West Africa. That is actually a wild guess, not informed research, based on an assumption that there are 2.5 unrepoted cases for each reported one.

I think that's a cumulative case estimate, not an estimate of current active cases. The official WHO case total is now 10,141, including all cases since December 2013.

44 posted on 10/25/2014 6:40:23 PM PDT by exDemMom (Current visual of the hole the US continues to dig itself into: http://www.usdebtclock.org/)
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To: exDemMom
You're picking nits.

The number of new cases for each existing infection is still nearly 2x. That means the maximum number of future cases is still ahead, not behind us, and will remain so until the new infection rate goes well below 1x for an extended period of time.

CDC Estimate of future cases.

CDC Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR)

Neither WHO, nor the CDC regard the number of existing or future cases as "few." My point stands.

52 posted on 10/25/2014 7:08:47 PM PDT by FredZarguna (His first name is 'Unarmed,' and his given middle name is 'Teenager.')
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