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Louisiana Senate Race a Dead Heat, Landrieu Languishing
townhall.com ^ | 9/17/14 | Guy Benson

Posted on 09/17/2014 8:34:55 AM PDT by cotton1706

A new poll of likely voters conducted for Townhall by Gravis Marketing reveals that Louisiana's US Senate race is statistically deadlocked, with support for incumbent Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu mired in the low-to-mid 40's. In a three-way contest among the top contenders, Landrieu attracts 43 percent support, with Republicans Rep. Bill Cassidy and Col. Rob Manness combining for 44 percent:

In the likely runoff match-up (see below) between Landrieu and Cassidy, the candidates are separated by two-tenths of a percentage point. Neck and neck:

Within the still-sizable cohort (10 percent) of undecided voters, nearly two-thirds identify as political "independents" who don't align themselves with either major party. President Obama's job approval among Louisiana independents is underwater by 45 points (24 percent approve / 69 percent disapprove) in this poll, suggesting that the bulk of undecided voters are at least somewhat inclined to break against Democrats. Obama's overall job approval rating in the state is a paltry 37 percent, with a 58 percent majority disapproving. The president has been consistently and deeply unpopular in Louisiana across multiple statewide surveys. "This poll is good news for Republicans," says Gravis co-founder Doug Kaplan. "The GOP will be happy with these results, and Democrats know this is a crucial seat for them if they want to keep control of the Senate."

(Excerpt) Read more at townhall.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016senate; elections; louisianapurchase; obamacare; payola

1 posted on 09/17/2014 8:34:55 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

I’m not really sure how she has any support at all.


2 posted on 09/17/2014 8:40:22 AM PDT by chris37 (heartless)
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To: cotton1706

I the the US Chamber of Commies is disappointed!


3 posted on 09/17/2014 8:40:43 AM PDT by 11th Commandment ("THOSE WHO TIRE LOSE")
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To: cotton1706

Landrieu will win. She will campaign conservatively in La. return to DC and vote with Pelosi. Last election she was down by 250,000 votes with hrs to go and mobilized her “forces” and won at the last minute. Landrieu is a political machine in La. Prove me wrong La.!


4 posted on 09/17/2014 8:44:13 AM PDT by 2nd Amendment (Proud member of the 48% . . giver not a taker)
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To: cotton1706

I’m predicting the stupid “undecideds” will drag Mary’s putrid carcass across the finish line.....


5 posted on 09/17/2014 8:49:50 AM PDT by clintonh8r (It's possible to love your country and hate your government. I'm proof of it.)
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To: 11th Commandment

Those pulling the wagon understand that the RINOs and the Democrats have rigged the IRS to be the Federal Personal Income Punishment Tax for individuals, and the Federal Business Income Double Punishment Tax for Businesses.

An Income Punishment Tax on Business is automatically added to the purchase price of the goods and services of that Business, hence Double Punishment to the Consumer.

For those in the wagon, they only pay once: to reimburse the Business for their Punishment Income Tax by the RINOs and Democrats.

In order for more voters to reject the Democrat Punishment Party, there will have to be a greater difference between true Republicans and the current RINO/Democrat Cabal.


6 posted on 09/17/2014 8:50:06 AM PDT by Graewoulf (Democrats' Obamacare Socialist Health Insur. Tax violates U.S. Constitution AND Anti-Trust Law.)
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To: chris37

I’m not really sure how she has any support at all.
____________________________________________________________

Well, add up the total number of Blacks, gays, Pro-same sex marriage advocates, Pro- baby killing advocates and the Welfare Queens......

Does that answer your question?


7 posted on 09/17/2014 9:02:16 AM PDT by Din Maker (I've alwaerys been crazy, but, that's the only thing that has kept) me from going insane.)
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To: clintonh8r

Rule of Thumb: Undecided voters normally go for the Challenger by 75%.


8 posted on 09/17/2014 9:03:42 AM PDT by Din Maker (I've alwaerys been crazy, but, that's the only thing that has kept) me from going insane.)
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To: clintonh8r

I’m predicting the stupid “undecideds” will drag Mary’s putrid carcass across the finish line.....

And this state is inundated with them!!


9 posted on 09/17/2014 9:11:08 AM PDT by mothball
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To: cotton1706

Louisiana remains toss-up. This poll says, among those who have decided for whom they will vote, Landrieu has about half. If the likely but undecided voters split evenly between Landrieu and the two Republicans, she could finish above 50 percent in the general election (sometimes described as the jungle primary), and be a credible candidate if there’s a run-off.

But, listen up, there are two hidden advantages for our side. It’s a three-way race. We can presume half or so of the undecideds are undecided between the two leading Republicans. So, a more accurate picture might be 44 for Landrieu and 49 combined for the two Republicans to 5 percent undecided between Landrieu and either of the Republicans.

Also, Landrieu is a multi-term incumbent. She’s a known quantity. The undecideds between her and the two Republicans will break Republican. Incumbents in the low to mid 40s are in trouble. Our “problem” is that we have two strong candidates. This “problem” will resolve itself in the general election, and the survivor on our side will win the run-off.

Oh, BTW, we will be above 51 seats when they’re having the run-off in Louisiana.


10 posted on 09/17/2014 9:41:35 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: clintonh8r

If Cassidy would utilize Reagan’s campaign style, and DEMEANOR, which he got from studying with former Louisiana governor (friend and co-worker) Jimmy Davis, he would have no trouble. I think that Republicans have been neutered by the democrat’s deception on the Republican “war on women”.


11 posted on 09/17/2014 9:43:34 AM PDT by odawg
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To: cotton1706

Go Maness !


12 posted on 09/17/2014 10:28:12 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: Din Maker

Maybe some of it, but Scary Mary has a lot of support from white libs in new Orleans.


13 posted on 09/17/2014 5:06:23 PM PDT by chris37 (heartless)
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