Ebola virus disease outbreak – west Africa (1841 deaths, 3685 cases as of 8/31...new update soon)

World Health Organization ^ | September 4, 2014

[PJ-Comix]

Epidemiology and surveillance

WHO has committed to provide regular situation reports that include detailed epidemiological information and analysis, as well as regular monitoring of the national and international response to the outbreak against the Ebola response roadmap.

Recognizing the demand for updated numbers from this outbreak, the following information is being released in advance of the second update of this situation report.

As of 31 August 2014, 3685 (probable, confirmed and suspected) cases and 1841 deaths have been reported in the current outbreak of Ebola virus disease by the Ministries of Health of Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone.

In Nigeria, there have been 21 cases and 7 deaths.

In Senegal, one case has been confirmed and there have been no Ebola deaths or further suspected cases.

Data reported in the Disease Outbreak News are based on official information reported by Ministries of Health. These numbers are subject to change due to ongoing reclassification, retrospective investigation and availability of laboratory results.

Widespread and intense transmission as at 31 August 2014

Country		Case definition		Total		Total (deaths)		Case fatality rate (%)
Guinea		Confirmed		579		343		59
		Probable		150		149		99
		Suspected		42		2		5
		All		771		494		64
Liberia		Confirmed		403		271		67
		Probable		815		373		46
		Suspected		480		227		47
		All		1698		871		51
Sierra Leone		Confirmed		1107		430		39
		Probable		37		34		92
		Suspected		72		12		17
		All		1216		476		39
All		All		3685		1841		50

Initial case(s) and localized transmission as at 31 August 2014

Country		Case definition		Total		Total deaths		Case fatality rate (%)
Nigeria		Confirmed		16		6		37.5
		Probable		1		1		100
		Suspected		4		0		0
		All		21		7		33.3
Senegal		Confirmed		1		0		0
		Probable		0		0		0
		Suspected		0		0		0
		All		1		0		0
All		All		22		7		31.8

Note: A separate outbreak of Ebola virus disease, which is not related to the outbreak in west Africa, was laboratory-confirmed on 26 August by the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Information on this outbreak is provided in separate editions of the Disease Outbreak News.

[PJ-Comix]

Much higher than the previous report. These are the stats as of August 31 with a new update coming soon.

[PJ-Comix]

FYI

[RetiredTexasVet]

Take the totals times 10, 50 or 100 to get the real totals. Not a remote chance that these totals are accurate.

[Dallas59]

Ship all of them to Mecca.

[Ribeye]

Hold on. We must have a resident virologists that will tell us that this outbreak should burn itself out by next Tuesday because that’s how Ebola always behaves. Shifting antigens can’t happen.

[PJ-Comix]

A science magazine stated that even with these official numbers, the total should hit 10,000 cases by September 24.

[Blue Highway]

Whenb will the expert Dr.s on Fox News finally admit there is a problem here? They keep downplaying any threat for the US.

[Forward the Light Brigade]

It will become Millions in weeks—Natures way of fixing over population—Not cool but faster and less painful than starvation or war.

[Blue Highway]

Are you referring to Cold Case or Cold Heat? If so then yeah, they have that same dismissive attitude towards the threat acting like it is isolated and under control. To me this seems delusional at best and downright irresponsible at worst by misleading people into a false sense of security.

[The Sons of Liberty]

Take the totals times 10, 50 or 100 to get the real totals. Not a remote chance that these totals are accurate.

Personally I don't believe the story being peddled by the NIH and CDC that it can only be spread by contact and not through the air. Why then are so many Health Care workers being infected?

And to make things worse:

"A new Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) is unrelated to the 6-month-old epidemic in West Africa, a genetic analysis has confirmed. Although the virus belongs to the same species, Ebola-Zaire, the strain is genetically so different that it "is definitely not a dissemination of the outbreak in West Africa,” says virologist Eric Leroy of the International Centre for Medical Research of Franceville, the World Health Organization (WHO) collaborating center in Gabon that is characterizing the DRC virus."

Read more at: http://news.sciencemag.org/africa/2014/09/congo-outbreak-ebola-unrelated-escalating-west-african-epidemic

The virus may be mutating and different strains may have different characteristics as to how it is spread.

[Covenantor]

“Much higher than the previous report. These are the stats as of August 31 with a new update coming soon.
“
_____________________________________________________________
...on Weds.Sept 3 2014 at teleconference in Washington, DC, WHO director Dr Chan remarked:

“...As of this week, we are reporting 3500 cases confirmed. More than 1900 deaths.”

[Smokin' Joe]

Ping...

A link to this thread has been posted on the Ebola Surveillance Thread

[RetiredTexasVet]

“The virus may be mutating and different strains may have different characteristics as to how it is spread.”

May be scientifically mutated into various strains and propagated into the countries. A different strain suddenly appears at the same time in another country.

The NIH and CDC are incompetent boobs. Nitwit was on TV “recommending” colleges and other organizations “screen” overseas students and personnel for the disease. Really? “Do you have the deadly Ebola disease which would result in you being denied admission or a position”? “No, I don’t, I feel really fine”.

[palmer]

Why then are so many Health Care workers being infected?

They come out of the containment area covered in viruses and then take the suit off incorrectly.

[palmer]

Take the totals times 10, 50 or 100 to get the real totals.

10x is possible. If it were more that slum peninsula would be full of people vomiting blood by now.

[ClearCase_guy]

Not cool but faster and less painful than starvation or war.

I don't want to go all "Revelation", but the horsemen are linked for a reason. It's just the history of how it works. The order doesn't always matter, but if you get a lot of disease, you will also get a lot of starvation, and you will have war. Social disruption on a grand scale goes through those stages and deaths can get pretty high pretty quick.

[GOPJ]

How soon ;til we hit the tipping point where people with money start to leave ebola infected countries to ‘wait out’ the disease some place ‘safe’... Paris or London or New York? That’s when the virus could rock the world.

[null and void]

Eeeee-bolllll-aaaaaa ping!

Bring Out Your Dead

Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.

The purpose of the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list (formerly the “Ebola” ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.

So far the false positive rate is 100%.

At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the “Bring Out Your Dead” threads will miss the beginning entirely.

*sigh* Such is life, and death...

[exDemMom]

The virus may be mutating and different strains may have different characteristics as to how it is spread.

The outbreak in the Congo is the same strain of virus--Ebola Zaire--but it is a different clade, originating from a different animal population than the virus that started the outbreak in West Africa.

The Congo has experience with Ebola outbreaks, and the area where the outbreak occurred is remote. For these reasons, the Congo outbreak is likely to be contained fairly quickly--while we are still struggling to contain the West Africa outbreak.

[Alamo-Girl]

Thanks for the ping!