Posted on 08/28/2014 9:07:06 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker may survive, but the Walker Hypothesis seems dead. In a poll released by Marquette University Law School on Wednesday, Walkers Democratic challenger, Mary Burke, has her biggest lead among likely voters, 49 percent to 47 percent. In May Burke trailed Walker 4845, but pulled ahead by one point (4746) in July. Walkers recent attempts to define Burke, including the risky attack on the practices of her family company, havent appeared to work.
As I wrote earlier this month, the Wisconsin governors race touches a lot of national themes. On the Democratic side, it is a test of the strength of union forces that have branded Walker enemy No. 1 and a test of how effectively a candidate can be attacked for those who back him. (Walker has been supported by the Koch brothers.) But the biggest national test taking place in Wisconsin is a test of the Walker Hypothesis, which held that a politician who enacted conservative policies and didnt shrink from the resulting controversy would be rewarded by a wide range of votersconservatives, but also swing voters. It was a model that conservatives offered not just for other GOP governors, but for the partys presidential candidates.
With each new poll showing a close race, that hypothesis grows weaker. Walker may win (hes ahead by three points with registered voters, hes an incumbent, has lots of money and is a fierce competitor) but the polls seem pretty conclusive that it will only be through a grinding and close political battle where he relies deeply on his base. Thats not how the hypothesis was supposed to work. Results trump everything else, Walker told National Review last November. If you deliver, voters will stick with you, he said during his book tour
(Excerpt) Read more at slate.com ...
And remember, the entitled and the dead have multiple votes.
Slate tries to bury Scott WAlker
FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.
I lived in Wi at the time of the recall.
Weren’t the polls tight then?
To hell with fiscal restraint. Gimme free stuff!
And Obama going to “Laborfest” in Wisconsin must be tied to this.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3198033/posts
It’s all out to defeat Scott Walker onntheir part.
So, are Wisconsin voters tired of this recovery thing and miss that tumor they had removed in 2010?
“Democrats are also more enthusiastic about the contest. Eighty-two percent say they will certainly vote, whereas only 77 percent of Republicans say the same.”
May that’s why Walker leads among registered voters, but lags among “likely” voters.
Down by 2 points is withing the margin of error. I predict Walker will win decisively.
Wisconsin is a pretty Blue state and it’s Labor Day Weekend.
I hate to cite Christie (who had a similar action-driven rep to Walker but wasn’t Conservative) but where was he at in NJ at this time last year?
Walker won’t blow the doors off the election like Christie did (Walker being a principled Conservative works against him somewhat), but will do much better than these articles predict he will.
There’s a different level of engagement at this point in time, where the Dems are totally fired-up and most Republicans haven’t realized there’s an election coming yet. The Rats have been aiming at this for a long time, having failed in every other attempt to unseat Walker, so they are all-out. And it’s true that while WI is improving, it takes longer to see tangible evidence of many of Walkers policies and of course everyone expects instant results.
They were.
Has the RNC done ANYTHING to show they have Walker’s back? Or have they basically just left him twisting in the wind?
RNC is not going to have the back of anyone who seems like a conservative, especially an effective one
Yep. The old “If we say it, if we put it in print, and if we claim a circulation larger than a 4-H youth group’s newsletter, that’ll make what we say true, automatically!”
Good grief! I thought there used to be a time when hacks tried *not* to be this transparent...
Exactly. You have a governor who brought the state back from the brink of financial disaster and brought prosperity. In any state where people actually think, he wins in a landslide. The fact this will even be close shows just how doomed we are as a society. Americans lack the political will to make the hard choices. As a result, sooner or later even harder choice will be made for them. Fools.
The commies in the media are desperate, so they release a fake poll.
Here’s a typical BS story before the 2012 recall election:
Poll: Gov. Scott Walker in tight race in Wisconsin, trailing among likely voters
https://theweek.com/speedreads/index/267160/speedreads-poll-gov-scott-walker-in-tight-race-in-wisconsin-trailing-among-likely-voters
As can be seen, the scum rats follow the same playbook before very election - they lie, lie, lie.
Walker, BTW, won the recall election over the rat Barrett by 7 points, 53% to 46%.
Polls have always been tight and are like that up to the last minute when suddenly MU gets their sampling right. Not a reason to buckle down? No, but here’s the simple thing.
We’re burnt out here right now in WI when it comes to politics but when the bell is rung we’ll be there. David Clark’s sheriff primary had up to 30000 Republicans cross over and vote in a Dem primary...its not even close to start getting fired up yet.
Walker has like usual been savaged by the press here while little attention has been paid to Mary Burke. That’ll change soon as she’ll have to actually get on a stage and answer debate questions.
Talk radio will start whipping everyone into a lather in the next month or so...conservatives haven’t necessarily been thrilled with the little action out of the Walker administration of late, but it won’t keep us from voting. Its just not worth the hassle and headaches you get in this State to show your cards early with all of the leftist lunatics in this town. Example we had another Facebook attempt at the boycott of a local restaurant because the owner had a Walker sign at their home...not even their business.
Personally expect the results will be no different than the recall...will be “real close” until reality sets in.
Sounds like wishful thinking from Slate.
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