Posted on 08/07/2014 4:37:35 AM PDT by don-o
Today, in Tennessee, the tea party has its last-best chance to beat an incumbent senator in a race thats a marquee match-up with the GOP establishment. After millions of dollars, the tea party failed to topple incumbent senators in Kentucky, South Carolina, Mississippi, and most recently earlier this week in Kansas. If Tennessee Sen. Lamar Alexander beats back his tea party challenger state Rep. Joe Carr, this will be the first cycle since 2008 when no incumbent GOP Senator has lost a re-nomination fight.
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FiveThirtyEights Take: Polling Past polling in Tennessee primaries has not been terribly accurate. Errors of five points or greater occurred regularly in the 2006 senatorial primary, 2008 presidential primary, 2010 gubernatorial primary, and 2012 presidential primary. The chance for a surprising result, either a blowout or Carr winning, should not be discounted.
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These people have no comprehension.
How many last stands is it now?
Well no. One battle does not mean the end of a war.
In a solidly Republican State that routinely turns away conservative candidates in state wide races, a loss by the Tea Party is the norm.
We continue to hope
At the Joe Carr rally in Johnson City last Thursday it was related that volunteers had knocked on around 700 doors of Republican voters that day.
Carr bested Lamar! by about 100 and about 200 said they were still undecided.
I think it’s very close state wide and that 5% that Flinn is going to pull is critical.
We stood up against AlGore and I am predicting we will have a similar stand today.
Lamar Alexander knows the GOP-E playbook. He has 6 opponents running against him to divide the vote. Has he (or accomplices) provided funding to make that possible? Or have they clandestinely even enlisted some of these to make this roll their way? Are these opponents so stupid as not to realize what they’re doing dividing the vote?
So, Joe Carr has a long haul tonight. I hope he makes it. Alexander is not on the side of conservatives. But, the divided vote will take its toll.
Few in East Tenn have even heard of George Flinn and his facebook page is dead. (Lamar's is full of Cerr supporters).
How Flinn is polling @5% is a mystery to me.
The tea party doesn’t need to win to be effective.
On my way to vote now. Got to shake the hand and look in the eye of Mr. Carr this week.
I voted early for Carr last week :>}
Foolish words, pre-election. The next stand could very well be in Nov. when the old GOPe fossils, who won by trashing TEA Party conservatives, go down to defeat because the maligned conservatives stayed home.
Romney isn’t president because four million conservatives stayed home in 2012. You’d think the GOPe would have learned something.
Hard to beat the unbeatable.
If you look at the percentages of people voting AGAINST the RINO incumbent LAST election and compare it to this time, I think there will be an increase in opposition. The conservatives are making progress in a relatively short time.
Maybe Tennessee conservatives will come through today.
Wait, I thought the TEA Party’s last stand was in Kansas this past Tuesday.
Examples:
$56k for facebook;
$60k for Google
$477k for "consulting"
$125k for research / polling
$938k for media buys (through early July)
No way to vote. Would someone in Shelby County do it for me? Dems do it all of the time. This is not a joke!
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