I think he’ll probably avoid one, and if he doesn’t his opponent will almost certainly be Lee Bright (2nd in every poll) who I think is too flawed to beat him, Graham I think could successfully make the runoff about Bright rather than his own record.
I don’t like the “anybody but Graham” campaign strategy, if the 2nd place finisher is a dud then the runoff would be irrelevant.
Go Richard Cash!!
I prefer Cash and Mace, in that order (and not just for a weekend in Dallas : ), but whichever had the better chance of finishing ahead of Bright would get my vote. Just about every poll has Bright second and Cash third, and every conservative who wants to defeat Graham should vote for Cash, since Cash can defeat Graham in the runoff while Bright likely would fall short. Richard Cash is a 100% conservative who can win.