my candidates had a rough night.
IA=3 goes to convention, stopped Zaun. I call that a victory.
ALABAMA. Palmer makes runoff. Victory.
Montana. Zinke wins. Defeat.
CALI. Fareed loses by 1%
Gooch loses by 1%
It appears that Hinds and Rankin will be the determinates as to a runoff or not.
It doesn't show the # of precincts not reporting just a percentage.
Hinds: 96.6% reporting T. Cochran 66.4% 10,327 C. McDaniel 33.1% 5,147 T. Carey 0.6% 86 Rankin: 98% reporting T. Cochran 50.0% 11,900 C. McDaniel 49.0% 11,659 T. Carey 1.0% 249 Jefferson: 87.5% Reporting T. Cochran 55.3% 121 C. McDaniel 43.4% 95 T. Carey 1.4% 3
Gary Palmer would be a significant upgrade in AL-06. It’s a safe seat and a real conservative could be a leader in Washington.
I hope that this race serves as a lesson to the national tea party to not throw local conservatives under the bus. Chad Mathis ran a disgraceful race on national money centered on slinging mud at locals who had been doing the heavy lifting in the conservative movement for years. These guys were as far from liberals or RINO’s as you can get, but apparently his DC consultant only sells a one size fits all “all my opponents are closet libs” campaign package.
Complete California breakdown
In the race for Controller (I’ve been mistakingly saying Comptroller like the NY times results page has it down) it appears that a rat has come in second by only 2000 votes.
Ashley Swearengin Rep. 724,511 24.4%
John A. Perez Dem. 642,537 21.7
David Evans Rep. 640,498 21.6
Betty T. Yee Dem. 636,691 21.5
So many surplus votes for Swearengin. Sigh. As Fieldmarshalj speculates an R/R runoff for a statewide race would probably see the rats jump to abolish this top/2 primary thing.
Still, this race appears to be Cali Republicans best chance to win a statewide office.
Congressional Races of interest
CD 3, 43% Romney in 2012, rat incumbent Garamendi reelected with 54% in 2012, Only 1 Republican ran, Dan Logue, Garamendi placed first by about 9 points. Louge appears to have raised the same amount of money as the rat so far.
CD 4 Safe Republican Seat, it appears that McClintock will face fellow Republican Art Moore, who is less than 2 K votes ahead of an indie. Moore is running as an “outsider”, standard campaign speel. His campaign is run by a former Ah-nold guy. Fail. Go Tom.
CD 7, 47% Romney, Freshman Rat Ami Bera (a dude, not a chick) beat incumbent Dan Lungren 51-49 in 2012. RINO(ish?) Ex-Rep Doug Ose will unfortunately be his foe. Bera got 47% and all Republicans combined got just over 50%.
CD 9, 40% Romney. Rat inc McNerney was reelected 54-46 last time. He got just over 50% in the primary, Republicans combined got the balance. Sadly our nominee has almost no money.
CD 10, 47% Romney, GOP Inc Jeff Denham got 57%. Doesn’t look vulnerable.
CD 16, Just 39% Romney, but last time rat Rep. Costa won by only 9 points over an Anglo-named Republican. This time he faces a Republican named Johnny Tacherra. He got under 44% of the primary vote, another rat got 4%. Republicans combined won the majority. Johnny needs Jack (as in money).
CD 17, Safe rat seat, Rat inc Honda faces a fellow rat, some Obama flunky. Go Honda?
CD 21, Romney vote was 43.5% down from 46% for McCain, still Freshman Republican David Valdao won 3 to 2 over a weak rat. This time the rats have a stronger candidate and smell blood. But Valadao cleaned up with 64% of the primary vote.
CD 24, 43% Romney, Rat Rep. Capps was won by 10 points over RINO Abel Maldanado last time. She got 44.5% of the primary vote, rats combined got a slight majority. Her GOP foe is Chris Mitchum, actor Robert Mitchum’s son. He raised about 100K and spent it all. Justin Fareed, a former aide to Kentucky Rep. Ed Whitfield would have been a much more electable choice.
CD 25, Open Republican seat, Romney won it with just under 50%. Former GOP State Sen (and failed nominee in 2012 in CD 26) Tony Strickland will face GOP State Sen Steve Knight, possible low chance target taken off the board for the rats. I think both are fine. I’m kinda disappointed Strickland didn’t seek a rematch in CD 26 instead of jumping in here.
CD 26, 44% Romney, Rat Freshman Julia Brownley beat Strickland 52-48, you could have won this rematch, Tony. Julia got 46%. GOP Combined got 52%. She faces State Rep. Jeff Gorell who seems like a good enough candidate. She has a big warchest though.
CD 31, Open R seat, Only 40.6% Romney. A Republican placed first but it looks like an Hispanic rat beat out another Republican for 2nd. Paul Chabot (R) will be a decided underdog if that holds up. Darn. Rats Combined won with 53%.
CD 33, Open rat seat of Waxman, 37% Romney, out of range. Republican Elan Carr placed first with 21.5%, GOP Combined got only 31%. Pete’s pal “moderate” rat Matt Miller places 4th.
CD 36, 47.5% Romney, Freshman rat Raul Ruiz beat RINO Rep. Mary Bono by 3 points. This time he faces GOP Assemblyman Brian Nestande. Ruiz won the primary with 50.2%, GOP combined got the rest. Ruiz has a crapload of money.
CA 41, Just 36% Romney, less than the Waxman seat but this is actually more competitive, Rat Freshman Mark Takano won by 13 points last time. GOP combined got 44.4% in this primary. A major longshot.
CD 45, Open Safe GOP seat. GOP State Sen. Mimi Walters faces a rat rather than a fellow Republican.
CD 46, Ole Loretta Sanchez is a windmill to to tilt at, major Longshot.
CD 52, 46% Romney. Freshman Rat Scott Peters “beat” incumbent Brian Bilbray by a tiny margin. Peters got just 42% of the primary vote, GOP combined got the rest. Popular Gay RINO Carl DeMaio is the nominee. I’d vote for him, being a rat is gayer than being gay if you ask me, but I know most of you either don’t care at all or hope he loses and I’m respect that.
My hope is to gain at least 2 to makeup for the likely loss of CD 31.