Interesting poll. Someone should comment on the credibility of polls by Daily Caller/Vox Populi.
I am tracking the current Senate projections by our old favorites and here is how they are currently calling the Oregon race:
Sabato: Likely D
Rothenberg:Currently Safe D
Election Projection: Solid Dem Hold
Cook Report: Solid D
That gives the Dems a +94 on my scoring scale. (+100 is a certain HOLD, -100 is a certain FLIP, 0 is a TOSS-UP).
That +94 puts Oregon tied with two others for 16th place in terms of the likelihood that the party in power will lose the election in 2014. That is well down the list and lower than the current expectation/probability/projection by these 4 “experts” that both Mitch McConnell, at 9th, and Saxby Chambliss, at 11th, will lose.
But, if this poll is credible, Oregon is going to be moving up on that list.
Well, Vox Populi is new (so no track record), and they are a GOP firm formed by major players like Cheney’s lesbian daughter.
Here’s an article on them
http://www.politico.com/story/2014/04/gop-polling-firm-vox-populi-polling-mary-cheney-105850.html
Here are the full poll results
http://dailycaller.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/Oregon-April-2014-Full-Results.pdf
Interesting that they don’t bother to poll Jason Conger against Merkley. Clearly they are part of the Wehby hype train. Mitt just endorse her.