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Why is Mitch McConnell smiling?
Hot Air ^ | 3-30-2014 | Jazz Shaw - Commentary

Posted on 03/31/2014 2:24:23 PM PDT by smoothsailing

March 30, 2014

Why is Mitch McConnell smiling?

Jazz Shaw

Jennifer Rubin awards the Distinguished Pol of the Week trophy to… Mitch McConnell.

No one has been more vilified by the D.C.-based far-right machine than Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.). If you didn’t know better, you’d think outfits like Heritage Action, FreedomWorks, Madison Project, Senate Conservatives Fund and these groups’ top cheerleader in the blogosphere, Red State, were working for the “Keep Harry Reid Majority Leader” fund. McConnell has been attacked for opposition to the shutdown, for agreement on a budget deal and for supporting items like the farm bill. Yet he now is running away with his primary race against the hapless Matt Bevin. His off-beat video went viral, making his geekiness seem cool.

And is she wrong to think that there’s a bit of a new strut in Mitch’s stride? I suppose that depends which race you’re talking about. Barring some sort of parting of the Heavens, the Bevin insurgency seems to have gone down to a case of crib death, so he looks to be in the clear there. But Rubin’s assertion that he’s a happy warrior and potential majority leader relies on two other things. First, it will require six more seats in the upper chamber. (Certainly possible and quickly approaching the point of calling it likely.) But the second assumption is that McConnell still holds the seat he currently occupies.

Rubin refers to his Democrat opponent, Alison Lundergan Grimes, as being all sizzle and no substance, and the linked article certainly makes solid points in defense of that argument. But is a weak opponent a sure fire ticket to the winner’s circle? Real Clear Politics “poll of polls” still shows the race to be a dead heat, with Grimes actually holding a one half point lead within the margins.

Personally, I find it difficult to believe that Kentucky has swung far enough that the Grimes lead will hold till November and actually take the seat away. But mid-term years are always full of surprises. I can see why Rubin would feel that the party faithful would celebrate a clear field for McConnell and encourage maintaining the status quo in a previously safe seat because no matter how you may feel about Mitch, he’s got to be a safer vote over the long haul than Grimes. But the outlook may still be a bit optimistic. Be careful that the smile in question doesn’t start turning into a grimace around August.


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: Kentucky
KEYWORDS: downmitch; mattbevin; senateraces
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Kentucky Senate - GOP Primary (May 20)

McConnell (R) vs. Grimes (D) | Bevin (R) vs. Grimes (D)

Polling Data

Poll Date Sample McConnell Bevin Spread
RCP Average 12/12 - 2/11 -- 55.7 24.0 McConnell +31.7
Wenzel Strategies (R) 2/8 - 2/11 377 LV 59 17 McConnell +42
Courier-Journal/SurveyUSA 1/30 - 2/3 404 RV 55 29 McConnell +26
PPP (D) 12/12 - 12/15 540 RV 53 26 McConnell +27

1 posted on 03/31/2014 2:24:23 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

Ditch Mitch, by any means necessary.


2 posted on 03/31/2014 2:27:20 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: Paladin2

Ditch Mitch..and if he wins the primary, then elect the bitch!


3 posted on 03/31/2014 2:29:26 PM PDT by ken5050 ("One useless man is a shame, two are a law firm, three or more are a Congress".. John Adams)
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To: smoothsailing

How much is McConnell paying Rubin to write that stuff?........


4 posted on 03/31/2014 2:29:35 PM PDT by jeffc (The U.S. media are our enemy)
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To: ken5050

Better to have the enemy you know for sure is an enemy than to have the friend you know will always stab you in the back at the worst possible time.


5 posted on 03/31/2014 2:32:13 PM PDT by GraceG
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To: Paladin2

I’d like to see some current polling.

There’s been no published poll on this race since February 11th.


6 posted on 03/31/2014 2:34:02 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: jeffc

Ms. Rubin is a slut, not a whore. She gives away for free that for which others charge.


7 posted on 03/31/2014 2:34:45 PM PDT by sitetest (If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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To: smoothsailing

Those polls are almost 2 to 4 months old.


8 posted on 03/31/2014 2:38:36 PM PDT by xzins ( Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for victory!)
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To: smoothsailing

Me too. I don’t buy that witch is in the clear. I hope and I pray that Bevin wins the upset.


9 posted on 03/31/2014 2:38:40 PM PDT by FreeAtlanta (Liberty or Big Government - you can't have both.)
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To: ken5050
"Ditch Mitch..and if he wins the primary, then elect the bitch!"

That's where we are headed, especially since Mitch has specifically eschewed the base.

10 posted on 03/31/2014 2:38:49 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: smoothsailing

Mitch isn’t above 60%. Who else is running in Kentucky?

If Mitch wins 60-40 some of the Bevin voters will vote for Grimes to remove him as Senate leader.

If Bevin runs strong he could replace Rand if he becomes president.


11 posted on 03/31/2014 2:43:58 PM PDT by ObamahatesPACoal
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To: xzins

Yep, the most recent was Feb.11th.


12 posted on 03/31/2014 2:45:04 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

2 months old - numbers have changed by now?


13 posted on 03/31/2014 2:45:05 PM PDT by struggle
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To: smoothsailing

I live in East Tennessee. Several South East Kentucky towns are within 100 miles to the north.

A local radio station that apparently reaches into Kentucky had conservative sounding McConnell ads on the Rush show today.

I have no memory of KY political ads on our local media before.


14 posted on 03/31/2014 2:45:32 PM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... History is a process, not an event)
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To: ken5050

of course not...... disertion in the face of the enemy is a hangin offense


15 posted on 03/31/2014 2:47:22 PM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... History is a process, not an event)
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To: smoothsailing

No new polling I see.

For myself it doesn’t matter, I’ve made up my mind. I’ll vote for Bevin in the Primary and if he loses I’ll vote for Grimes in the General.

Better an enemy that I know is an enemy rather than an ally that I can’t trust.


16 posted on 03/31/2014 2:55:20 PM PDT by The Working Man
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To: smoothsailing

Bevin was unfunded at that point and since then funded by senate conseratives. I’ve heard a number of his ads lately.

It will be interesting to see the next poll if they ever release one.


17 posted on 03/31/2014 3:00:04 PM PDT by xzins ( Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for victory!)
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To: ken5050

If I lived in Kentucky I’d definitely vote for the democrat before I’d vote for McConnell. A third party needs to be started immediately. But it may already be too late. If one had been started right after McCain lost it would be a power to be reckoned with today.


18 posted on 03/31/2014 3:01:48 PM PDT by VerySadAmerican
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To: smoothsailing

How can you tell he is smiling without any lips?

I look at my turtle and it is smiling at me only to smell later that it was just gas.


19 posted on 03/31/2014 3:02:01 PM PDT by vg0va3
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To: smoothsailing
"No one has been more vilified by the D.C.-based far-right machine than Sen. Mitch McConnell"

As if McConnell isn't D.C.-based...

20 posted on 03/31/2014 3:05:30 PM PDT by Flag_This (Liberalism: Kills countries dead.)
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