Posted on 03/28/2014 4:23:33 AM PDT by cripplecreek
I worry about all these establishment creeps with deep pockets (or resources to tap). MI needs runoffs (so does my state of TN, and badly).
I was stuck with the “honor” of the great statesman (spit) Joe Schwarz as my “representative” for two years.
What a treat.
His firing was a treat. Tim Walberg is a big improvement.
Republican Michigander posted this great analysis of the district and potential candidates on his blog: http://www.republicanmichigander.blogspot.com/2014/03/mi-08-whos-going-to-be-my-next.html
I still think that if a good Livingston County candidate jumps in that he’ll win the GOP nomination (with the Oakland County vote split between two prominent candidates).
On FOX and friends this morning, they were talking about the Benghazi cover up.
Somehow, Rogers is going to be in trouble over it along with Morrell. Figured maybe this is the real reason for retirement.
Have you heard any of this yet? I was just wondering.
There is more hearings today and all this is coming up.
Good news, Barb Byrum has declined DCCC entreaties to run.
Wow, with Whitmer and Byrum passing, the Democrats pretty much are writing off the seat.
Her name is Vagina ?
Lisa Brown. She’s one of the 4 county clerks who illegally opened her office on a Saturday to exclusively cater to gays.
What a charming specimen of femininity. Would it be far-fetched of me to suggest it is of the bulldyke vintage ?
Wikipedia says she’s married to husband #2 (what a lucky guy) with 3 sons and 2 stepsons (what lucky young men). The luckiest of all, the first husband who escaped.
I’d laugh at her but the witch got elected countywide in a swing county.
She was friends with Babs Byrum in the State House. While she was talking about her vag and getting tossed, Babs was proposing legislation to ban vasectomies because that’s somehow equivalent to abortion in the twisted feminazi mind.
PPP polls
Sydner 43%
Schauer 39%
Peters 41%
Land 36%
AG race
Bill Schuette (R inc) 36%
Mark Totten (D) 33%.
Bunch of other PPP pols out for other states, most showing rat leads, Carter’s grandson up 1 over Deal in Georgia, Brownback trailing by 4 in Kansas. I’m a might skeptical, especially of Peters being up 5.
The PPP polls border on the ludicrous (actually, well within). That the Dems lead or are that close simply doesn’t pass the smell test. Carter’s grandson leading Nathan Deal takes the cake. I’d expect in the end he wins by around 10%.
I also expect Snyder and Land to carry MI (Snyder won by 18% in ‘10, so anything below 15% would be a subpar performance — Land will be closer, but I think she’ll get in by at least 5%). Having been handed the gift of the rodents attacking a woman with cancer might make it closer to a blowout. Ultimately, I don’t think a lot of people are paying attention. The AG race poll is also ridiculous, that’s not an indication of Schuette’s “weakness”, but that the Dems don’t even know much about their own nominee. Schuette probably pulls it out with 60% and becomes the leading Republican to succeed Snyder in 2018.
Kansas is the only one I’m worried about. They’ve often flaked out with their Governors, electing RINOs and Democrats. Indeed, Brownback was the first non-liberal elected Governor since DINO Joan Finney in 1990 and last non-liberal Republican since Bill Avery’s single two-year term in 1964. Brownback will probably win, but barring a turnaround, by an unimpressive margin far below his 2010 margin.
Same with Florida, I think Scott will also win, but by a slim margin, which should drive the stake into the Orange Menace for good.
I’m also worried about Maine with its excellent Governor, Paul LePage. It’s imperative the left splits the moonbat vote, but if they decide to hedge their bets and swing hard to Michaud, they could regain the office. Frankly, I’d love to see LePage run for President. A tough-talking, non-PC, non-privileged candidate would be a breath of fresh air. This guy literally came from nothing, the kind of impoverished existence one would’ve associated with someone born in the 19th century (only spoke French, too). Our party should be promoting these kinds of working-class heroes for high office instead of garbage like Willard and Jebbie.
PPP has Crist up 7.
New poll from VSS has Scott up 1. That race is looking up, Crist had big leads a few months ago.
Pete, are you gonna go up and help Governor LePage? He could be a dark horse VP pick if he’s reelected.
The Governor on our side in the biggest trouble is unquestionably Tom Corbett in PA. The likely Dem nominee will be the Rendellite Tom Wolf (who already has a commanding lead in the primary, which begs the question why Allyson Schwartz gave up her relatively safe House seat only to meet with an embarrassingly large defeat). Quinnipiac (which I believe is also another leftist polling group) had Wolf with an incredible 52-33% lead over Corbett (though a GOP poll had him with a more modest 7% lead).
Curiously, paired against Bob Guzzardi, Wolf still has a 7% lead, but drops to 38% in the poll to Guzzardi’s 31%, so it is more than likely that Guzzardi would be a stronger general election nominee simply because he’s not Corbett. Corbett looks like he’ll win renomination, but could have 40% of the voters voting against him. The closer the race in the primary, the tougher road he’ll have to November (but since the primary is just next month, he’ll have all that time to repair the damage and try to tie Wolf to Zero). Still, I’d rather he had stepped aside. He’s like the reverse of Mark Schweiker (for which had he run for the full term in 2002, Rendell would never have beaten him, and he could’ve continued to serve all the way until 2011).
I quit politics. I only do local. Maine Citizens for Life is a good group to help LePage ... if I lived there it would work for me if we got some conservatives to win state House primaries.
Hale thinks Corbett will pull it out, I have trouble seeing it. He trails by such a wide margin in every poll. That an unknown like Bob Guzzardi polls better is telling. Corbett is unpopular.
Allison Swartz, I laugh at. It’s a pity her seat is safe rat now. I’m sure NOW or planned parenthood will give her a job.
“...Hale thinks Corbett will pull it out, I have trouble seeing it...”
A lot can happen from now to 2016.
Incumbent Governors that don’t rock the working man’s boat in this state tend to stay in office.
Either way, we’ll see.
2016 ? Corbett is up this year.
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