Was this poll taken after Mark Pryor’s “military service gives Tom Cotton a sense of entitlement” remark? If other polls produce similar results to this one, we can count it as “Leaning Republican.” Pryor does not act like he’s confident of reelection.
Pryor sounds desperate.
Cotton would have to screw up royally to lose this. The question now is by how wide a margin will Pryor lose by. Blanche lost by 21% in 2010 to Boozman. I’m figuring Pryor will lose by around 10%.