Posted on 02/28/2014 6:16:20 AM PST by don-o
The 2014 Senate landscape continues to look challenging for Democrats. Republicans can take back the chamber after eight years of Democratic control with a net gain of six seats, and the seven seats most likely to flip are held by Democrats in states President Obama lost in 2012.
The most important change since we looked at the Senate map three months ago is the glut of outside spending, particularly against Democratic incumbents in the majority-making seats of North Carolina, Louisiana, and Alaska. The nonprofit, conservative group Americans for Prosperity has dumped tens of millions into those states, beating up incumbents who now have--at best--50/50 chances of retaining their seats.
Republicans are well positioned to win a Senate majority in 2014. A favorable map, combined with a positive national environment driven by disapproval of the health care law, have put Democrats on the defensive.
The rankings are best considered in tiers. The first two seats are very likely to flip, while in seats 3 and 4 Republicans are favored to take over. In seats 5 through 7, Democratic incumbents in red states are deeply vulnerable, and if Republicans win the top four, they need only two of the three seats in this tier to control the Senate.
Seats 8 to 12 are also close to 50/50 races. Colorado debuts in this tier after the top recruit, Rep. Cory Gardner, decided to run. In seats 13 to 15, the Democratic incumbent is likely to retain control of the seat, although the races bear watching--and Republicans don't need seats 13 to 15 to wrestle control of the majority.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationaljournal.com ...
I heard a radio news report last week that Rep. Tom Cotton (R) is even with Sen. Mark Pryor. The survey, however, showed 15% undecided, so there is still room for surprises.
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The last time Pryor ran for reelection, the state had 3 Dem and 1 Pubbie House Representatives and another Dem Senator.
This time, the state has 4 Pubbie House Representatives and the other Senator is also a Republican.
I saw Cotton only once giving a one minute on the House floor. He used his time well.
“...The survey, however, showed 15% undecided, so there is still room for surprises....”
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Historically, the great bulk of “undecided” voters end up going to the non-incumbent. So this is VERY BAD news for Prior.
I agree that Terri Land has played it smart in Michigan. No point in risking herself to go after Gary Peters when he’s doing a fine job of beating himself up.
NSA spying on all of us.
IRS abuses against conservatives.
The EPA regulations that will cause electrical rates to soar up to 70%,and the list goes on.
People from all walks of life have had it with Washington's trying to control their lives and the Republicans can lay it at the feet of Obama and the democrats.
Interesting article. Thanks for posting.
The road to FReedom is paved with ‘Rats and RINOS.
Roadkill. Let’s Roll.
Remember that if we win back the Senate, men like Cruz and Paul will have more influence.
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