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To: zeestephen

Well, if the numbers you got were by state, you are confusing GA and TX with two other states, because you are way off.

In GA, black turnout was as high if not higher than white turnout: http://usnews.nbcnews.com/_news/2013/05/08/18131900-a-census-first-black-voter-turnout-passes-whites?lite Whites (I assume that they meant non- Hispanic whites) were 65% of voters

Romney carried GA whites by 76%-23% over Obama, with whites (presumably non-Hispanic) constituting 65% of Georgians casting votes. http://www.amren.com/features/2012/11/race-and-the-2012-election/ Given that fact, how could you explain blacks being less than 30% of voters in the election? You can’t, since Romney didn’t get over 60% statewide (which he would have if blacks were only 13% of voters), and since Hispanics plus Asians plus Native Americans were liess than 4% of voters in GA (see below).

As for the fact that white Anglos are only 55% of GA’s total population but cast 65% of votes, that isn’t due to some huge overperformance: the number we need to look at is percentage of the 18+ citizen population, since kids and non-citizens can’t vote. Hispanics are 9% of the total population in GA, but are only 3% of eligible voters and less than 2% of registered voters. http://www.pewhispanic.org/2012/10/01/latinos-in-the-2012-election-georgia/ Those data from just prior to the 2012 elections show white Anglos as 59% of registered voters and blacks as 30% of registered voters, with Hispanics as 1.8% and Asians 1.4%!of registered voters, but with 8% as “two or more races” and other categories. Given the turnout numbers (with blacks having perhaps higher turniut than whites in GA—they certainly did in the South as a whole), I may have been lowballing black turnout by putting it at 231% to 32%, at least if we include persons of two of more races as black when one of the races is black (which is usually the case).

So your numbers are way, way off, and Inguarantee you that you didn’t read anywhere that blacks were 13% of the GA electorate in 2012. And blacks don’t have much room to grow as a percentage of the GA electorate in 2014, much less in the GOP-held CDs (blacks were packed into four black-majority, overwhelmingly Dem CDs).


34 posted on 02/10/2014 2:23:23 AM PST by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll defend your rights?)
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To: AuH2ORepublican
RE: “So your numbers are way, way off, and Inguarantee you that you didn’t read anywhere that blacks were 13% of the GA electorate in 2012.”

Here's the link:

http://elections.nbcnews.com/ns/politics/2012/all/president/#exitPoll

I clicked on “Georgia,” and this is the poll that pops up.

Obviously, it's a national poll, but since I was just looking for Black voter data, I didn't notice.

So, yeah, I goofed.

I used the Fox News exit data for 2 years, but they shut that down about a month ago.

In spite of my “pessimism,” we are on the same side.

I campaigned door-to-door for AuH2O in 1964 and hung a 6'X 6’ outdoor portrait of Goldwater on my Rec Room wall for 30 years.

My primary issues today are Immigration and the center-left leadership of the GOP.

When Blacks, Hispanics, Asians, and poor white women turn out to vote at the same rate white Conservatives vote, the Democrats will take permanent control of the federal government.

By the way, two of the links you posted are in my archive, so we do search for data in the same places.

36 posted on 02/10/2014 2:52:58 PM PST by zeestephen
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