Here's the link:
http://elections.nbcnews.com/ns/politics/2012/all/president/#exitPoll
I clicked on “Georgia,” and this is the poll that pops up.
Obviously, it's a national poll, but since I was just looking for Black voter data, I didn't notice.
So, yeah, I goofed.
I used the Fox News exit data for 2 years, but they shut that down about a month ago.
In spite of my “pessimism,” we are on the same side.
I campaigned door-to-door for AuH2O in 1964 and hung a 6'X 6’ outdoor portrait of Goldwater on my Rec Room wall for 30 years.
My primary issues today are Immigration and the center-left leadership of the GOP.
When Blacks, Hispanics, Asians, and poor white women turn out to vote at the same rate white Conservatives vote, the Democrats will take permanent control of the federal government.
By the way, two of the links you posted are in my archive, so we do search for data in the same places.
“When Blacks, Hispanics, Asians, and poor white women turn out to vote at the same rate white Conservatives vote, the Democrats will take permanent control of the federal government.”
Had Republicans been told in 1964 or 1968 that Texas would be 38% Hispanic in 2012, what do you think would be their over/under on the percentage of the vote that GOP presidential, gubernatorial and Senate candidates would get?
BTW, poor white women vote Republican so long as they’re married. It is single women, whether rich or poor, that give the RATs big margins.
Asians and Hispanics will not vote 70-30 for Democrats unless we demonize them. And while the black vote is a tougher nut to crack, we can start making inroads by electing black conservatives to office, given that the psychological barrier (”I don’t know any black Republicans”)is the biggest impediment to getting 25% of the black vote; and once we get 25% of the black vote, the Democrat Party as we know it will be dead.
We are a party of ideas, and must remain true to our philosophy. If we become a party of certain demographic groups, your pessimistic prediction will become a self-fulfilling prophesy. If you could go door-to-door for Goldwater-Miller in 1964 in spite of their seemingly insurmountable odds of victory, you can stop saying that districts that gave Romney 56% while Obama was getting historic black turnout will vote for some unknown Democrat for Congress in 2014.
BTW, I always assumed that we were on the same side regarding what sort of society and government we want, but I can’t countenance defeatism, particularly when it is born of the assumption that only those demographic groups who have supported the GOP of late will vote for us in the future (and most especially when the demographic data used is faulty). There are three things that will guarantee our defeat, and we need to be vigilant against any of the three infecting conservatives and Republicans: (i) apathy, (ii) the notion that we need to support liberal policies in order to win, and (iii) making the perfect the enemy of the good.