I would say that seat is out of range for victory (37% Romney) so it doesn’t really matter what “we” do, Fluke would be running against other rats. Several seasoned politicians may enter, I sincerely doubt she’ll (how long has she been in Cali? A few months?) end up on top. If one wants to minimize her already slim chances it would probably be best not to give her any attention and thus another 15 minutes of fame.
With the rat vote likely split there’s a good chance a Republican could make the runoff (stupid new system in Cali, open all party primary with the top 2 candidates regardless of party and regardless of whether one of them tops 50% making the November ballot), but they would be almost certain to lose it.
The rub is, Waxman faced an Indie in 2012 (The only Republican, a guy off the street, got a measly 15% in the primary) not sure on the guy’s ideology probably center-left like everyone who complains about “partisanship” (still that’s appreciably more conservative than Waxman or Fluke). Waxman won by only 8 points.
So a technical non-democrat (who would be almost certain to vote more liberal than not and caucus with the rats like Angus King) could make the runoff and win. Worth exploring? A serious Republican might not even run.
What do you think Pete? Far from your neck of the woods but this is right in your wheelhouse.
I would say that of 435 House races this is one that shouldn’t concern us too much. There could even be a bright side to this witch winning, high profile idiots in safe rat seat can help us win swing seats.
Odds are though a rat state legislator (just as liberal as Fluke and in all likelihood an adulterer) will take it and any effort by our side to effect the outcome would amount to nothing.
If like 5 prominent Dems run (and they might), we might as well get two Republicans (and only two) to run, and hope they finish 1-2 with like 15% each while the 5 Dems split 70% of the vote evenly. It worked in CA-31 in 2012, when Gary Miller and another Republican made the run-off while 4 Democrats split 60% of the vote.
http://www.billbloomfield.com/support-students-over-special-interests/
“Schools should also end “last in, first out” policies for tenure and layoffs, which often force schools to keep bad teachers and fire good ones simply because of seniority. These reforms would give districts and schools the power to improve their teaching staff.”
Bloomfield is the independent businessman who lost to Waxman in 2012 and he is running again.