Climate change: The case of the missing heat

Nature ^ | 15 January 2014 | Jeff Tollefson

[Lorianne]

Sixteen years into the mysterious ‘global-warming hiatus’, scientists are piecing together an explanation.___ For several years, scientists wrote off the stall as noise in the climate system: the natural variations in the atmosphere, oceans and biosphere that drive warm or cool spells around the globe. But the pause has persisted, sparking a minor crisis of confidence in the field. Although there have been jumps and dips, average atmospheric temperatures have risen little since 1998, in seeming defiance of projections of climate models and the ever-increasing emissions of greenhouse gases. Climate sceptics have seized on the temperature trends as evidence that global warming has ground to a halt. Climate scientists, meanwhile, know that heat must still be building up somewhere in the climate system, but they have struggled to explain where it is going, if not into the atmosphere. Some have begun to wonder whether there is something amiss in their models.

[Richard from IL]

Thanks for posting.

[drbuzzard]

It is a shame that Occam’s Razor has been cast aside in the name of funding.

[Steely Tom]

But the pause has persisted, sparking a minor crisis of confidence in the field.

Images of Earth taken by astronauts in orbit caused a minor crisis of confidence among the members of the Flat Earth Society too.

Although, IIRC, there were still a few who fought on, coming up with several very convoluted arguments to explain how Earth's apparent spherical form was an optical illusion. I'm not making that up. I actually saw an article on the continuing case for a flat Earth "model" in some intellectual magazine back in the 1970s.

[Yollopoliuhqui]

...and over here we have the hideous specter of Beijing smog with Calcutta, Saigon, Manilla and Moscow soon to follow...if you require PTSD counselling, our tour guides will be happy to listen...

[immadashell]

It seems that now that “global warming” has not occurred the libs ducked for the cover of “climate change.” What are the chances that the ever popular “greenhouse gas” will find a similar benign term to obscure the ongoing fraud.

[BlueStateRightist]

Don’t worry. Man-made “climate change” is alive and well. Deval Patrick and his Marxist mentor will soon be releasing their updated proprietary data that explain everything.

[Brett66]

Some have begun to wonder whether there is something amiss in their models.

Yeah, maybe the models have something wrong with them, certainly not their theories about climate change or an incomplete understanding of what drives climate change.

Don't worry about it, just punch some different numbers into your computer simulations and continue getting your government grants.

[I want the USA back]

There is no hope for these liberals. Their minds don’t work the same way as normal peoples’. There is no way to get them to understand reality when it conflicts with their dogma.

[beethovenfan]

“...wonder if something is amiss in their models.” GEE, YA THINK?

[Billthedrill]

That has led sceptics — and some scientists — to the controversial conclusion that the models might be overestimating the effect of greenhouse gases, and that future warming might not be as strong as is feared.

Note the not-so-subtle dichotomy between "sceptics" and "scientists" as if the two are never the same. But never mind. There is nothing "controversial" about the conclusion that models that cannot predict current behavior might have trouble predicting future behavior. It is, on the contrary, painfully obvious.

[SamuraiScot]

This is fairly hugh and series. Nature is a publication of the British scientific establishment, which has been in the bag for the GW hoax. Trenberth and his pals at NCAR have been central to the hoaxter community over there. For these clowns to begin to suggest that 1) the warming might not be present the way they expected it; and 2) they can't explain why, is a sign of panic-stricken back-pedaling on an Olympian scale, and of the fact that they don't know what hill they will be able to make a stand on.

Equally epochal is even breathing a mention of the wild hypothesis that the sun might be the primary cause of heat on the planet Earth—and that fluctuations in solar heat might be the most powerful influence on observed heat levels here. In the past, this hypothesis was only mentioned in derision, rather than associated with "skeptics and some scientists."

As it is, the politic author declined to mention the names of the scientists who have championed the solar-cycle theory, such as Willie Soon and Sallie Baliunas, in the face of professional ostracizing and career sabotage from "climate scientists." But even mentioning it as a live hypothesis is the fraudster establishment beginning a tactical retreat.

I'll bet there was a bloodbath in the editorial offices before this could be published. Atheists have a very low threshold for charges of heresy.

[Wonder Warthog]

"Some have begun to wonder whether there is something amiss in their models."

LOL. There has ALWAYS been "...something amiss with their models." The earth is a hugely complex system. The hubris of the physicists (which is where the "climate modelers" mostly come from) that they not only know all the variables, but their magnitudes as well, is gigantic. I've followed the "warming" meme since its start, and some new and unknown variable seems to pop up on a yearly (or more frequent) basis.

[ully2]

It may just be because space is cold as hell and earth is hot. Heat flows from hot to cold areas,thermo 101.

[submarinerswife]

Save for later

[I want the USA back]

Idiots. There’s no missing heat. What’s missing is their brains.

[PATRIOT1876]

More CO2 in the atmoshpere, but we had lower temperatures.

The Alarmists said that this would warm things up.

It didn't.

“Remember when alarmists were predicting the end of winter as we know it? There was even talk about global cooling in the 1970’s. In the late 1990’s, Al Gore predicted we had roughly ten years left before global temperatures melted ice caps, and submerged major coastal communities. The UN even predicted in 2005 that there would be over 50 million “refugees” from communities deemed “uninhabitable” by global climate change. Back in 2012 the New York Times predicted the demise of the ski industry as global warming eradicated the sport from the face of the (increasingly hot) planet. And in 2013 a global warming research crew found themselves stuck in the Antarctic ice they set out to prove had been melting”
~The Cult of Global Warming is Grasping at Straws
Townhall.com ^ | January 10, 2014 | Michael Schaus
Posted on Friday, January 10, 2014 4:25:00 PM by Kaslin

The Socialists, Carbon Credit Profiteers, and the Climate Alarmists should come to the conclusion that man-made global warming is pure BS. But they are too obtuse.
They post articles that have words with many syllables that are really the equivalent of a first grader throwing boogers at “Deniers” and calling us poopypants.

[BlueMondaySkipper]

Idiots. There’s no missing heat.

Au contraire, there is indeed "missing heat". Some of of us call it "cold"

[Organic Panic]

The lack of global warming has led to global warming being renamed climate change. Please make a note of it....

[jonno]

... the sun might be the primary cause of heat on the planet Earth

WTH - the sun is 93,000,000 miles away! How can it possibly be a factor in warming our planet?

Next you'll be telling me that without the sun our planet would simply drift off into deep space - all on it's own!