STORM WARNING: NOAA forecasters estimate a 90% chance of geomagnetic storms on Jan. 9th

spaceweather.com/ ^ | January 9, 2014 | Spaceweather.com

[tired&retired]

STORM WARNING: NOAA forecasters estimate a 90% chance of geomagnetic storms on Jan. 9th when a CME is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. The speed of the solar wind around Earth could spike to 700 km/s (1.6 million mph) shortly after the impact, sharply compressing Earth's magnetosphere. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras.

http://spaceweather.com/

HUGE SUNSPOT, CHANCE OF FLARES: The source of the incoming CME is AR1944, one of the largest sunspots of the current solar cycle. The active region sprawls across more than 200,000 km of solar terrain and contains dozens of dark cores. The largest could swallow Earth three times over. AR1944 is circled in this Jan. 9th snapshot from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory.

The sunspot is almost directly facing Earth. This makes it a threat for geoeffective eruptions. NOAA forecasters estimate an 80% chance of M-class flares and a 50% chance of X-flares on Jan. 9th.

[palmer]

the meanderings of the polar vortex?

The polar vortex can stretch like the recent event or even break in two like more severe cold snaps in the 80's and 90's. The solar activity (high or low) does not cause anything directly. However it is observed that high solar activity can speed up the Sudden Stratospheric Warmings like the mini one we just had. The connection is through the strength of the anticyclonic polar vortexes that surround the cyclonic polar vortex. The anticyclones can strengthen due to high solar activity that increases the easterly flow in the tropical stratosphere.

[Yosemitest]

Now this is very important and I highly recommend you watch these videos, and read the linked article.

Earth Facing X Flare. Giant Sunspot 1944 ( 8:08 )
Published on Jan 7, 2014


Will Strike Earth Wed, Jan 8th.




The X-Flare Will Be a 12 Hour Japan Event. ( 2:14 )
Published on Jan 7, 2014
Notice the Flare Tracker has changed the Arrival Time by 6 Hours.
http://www.worldtimebuddy.com/


Mammoth sunspot erupts with X1-flare,
Posted on January 7, 2014



A Very Serious Warning! Earth Facing X Flare.
Giant Sunspot 1944 It WILL Strike Earth Prob. Jan 8th With Several Hrs of Impact! (Video)
ARE YOU HEARING THIS?!

Please, please pay attention to these videos:

X-Flare Arrival and Duration Update. ( 3:56 )
Jan 8, 2014, est ~ 12:40 pm
Nasa now say this will be a 34 hour event. The entire Earth will be under Pressure.


X-Flare is Now Impacting Earth. It is MidNight UTC. ( 1:36 )
Jan 8, 2014, est ~ 6:19 pm
Quick Update!


Major X1.2 Solar Flare & EARTH DIRECTED CME Jan 7, 2014
Jan 7, 2014
MAJOR X-FLARE !!
A major X-Class solar flare peaking to X1.2 was reported at 18:30 UTC Tuesday.
Active Region 11944 unleashed its second eruption in 12 hours beginning with a M7.2 at 10:13 UTC.
The eruption occurred while in an earth-facing position which means the resulting Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) will have a strong earth directed component.
Impact on earths magnetic field is expected in the early morning hours of January 10 where strong Geomagnetic storms will be possible.
Proton levels are rising again due to the latest eruption and are expected to hit (S2) threshold associated with this event was a 10cm radio burst lasting 50 minutes and reaching 8300 solar flux units.
M7.2 Solar Flare & Huge CME January 7, 2014

[Yosemitest]

You might get a very good "Northern Lights" show tonight,
and there is a "SLIGHT" , I SAY AGAIN, "SLIGHT" chance of long term power outages,
and maybe computer damage from static electricity frying parts.

[alancarp]

But it doesn’t matter until/unless The Weather Channel names it!

[Yosemitest]

One other thing.
Some people believe that there is a greater chance of earthquakes from increased solar pressure on the earth during this period of time.

[hadaclueonce]

someone give it a catchy name, like solar vortex and the lame stream media will be all over it.

[Kartographer]

Preppers’ PING!!

[catnipman]

Does this mean the end of life on Earth as we know and love it? If not, I’m going to cook eggs and bacon for breakfast this morning. Actually, on second thought, even if it DOES mean the end of life on Earth as we know and love it, I’m going to cook eggs and bacon for breakfast this morning anyway.

C’est la vie.

[JRandomFreeper]

It’s not enough to get me to fire up the ham radio. This has been the worst sunspot cycle I’ve ever seen for ham radio.

/johnny

[Artcore]

STORM WARNING: NOAA forecasters estimate a 90% chance of geomagnetic storms on Jan. 9th
_____________________________________________________

Oh, so we’re going to have weather on January 9th. I’ll be sure and watch for it.

[Kartographer]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_storm_of_1859

http://www.empactamerica.org/solar_emp.php

[ladyjane]

You need to line your thermal underwear with aluminum foil.

[Yosemitest]

Joke if you want, but have you read Revelation 18 lately?

[grania]

Thank you for that explanation. Another question....is “polar vortex” a new term made up to sound cute, or is it term that’s been around forever? Is it different from an “arctic blast”?

[alancarp]

I understand, but this isn’t that event. These events are actually reasonably routine.

[Slyfox]

THANK GOD FOR OUR MAGNETOSPHERE!!

[tired&retired]

“Next to nothing.”

I agree 100% with you.

The difference with this storm is the size of the sunspot and the energy behind it for a potential CME that is stronger.

There are several factors which must be considered, just as though someone has a gun and is shooting at you.

1. Is it aimed at you, will it be a glancing blow, or a total miss?

2. Will it hit at night so the other side of the earth gets the impact.

3. The strength of our magnetosphere when it hits. The question arises if we have multiple CME’s hit us and it has not recovered from the prior hit, are we more vulnerable?

4. The strength of the CME blasted out from the sun.

Just as in predicting weather, there are many factors which must align in order for the “perfect storm” situation to occur. We are now in a reverse polarity with the sun thus the CME’s may cause a greater effect.

[thackney]

BTTT

Don’t forget to post pictures as well.

[tired&retired]

“Are we supposed to take some precautions? ..... have a glass of wine?

Several....

[353FMG]

Global warming proves to be a bitch.