My Thanksgiving picks
DET
DAL
PITT
2/3. Too bad SHTT-BAL didn’t end in a scoreless tie.
it may be time to start taking notes on tiebreakers. The BALT victory over PITT gives us an interest in BALT tiebreakers.
vs. PITT
split head—to-head
Balt can only get better DIV record in one scenario: at 8-8 if one of their wins is their final DIV game (leaving them 4-2), while PITT’s 8th loss is a DIV game (leaving them 3-3).
very unlikely. next tiebreaker is COMMON
same DIV teams have 14 common games, 2 uncommmon.
in the uncommon games, PITT is 0-2 and BALT is 1-1.
Therefore PITT has clinched common games.
If they tie, and PITT is one-game-worse in uncommon, they are one-game-better in COMMON.
FINAL ANALYSIS, PITT IS VERY CLOSE TO CLINCHING THE TIEBREAKER OVER BALT.
VERSUS CINN
obvious, if BALT beats CINN in week 17, to tie, BALT gets the tiebreaker due to head to head sweep.
(very unlikely) if BALT lose to CINN in week 17, to create tie, CINN gets the tiebreaker. unless 2 of their final 3 losses are PITT and MINN. This would create a tie in DIV record and common and CONF ... and push the tiebreaker to SOV.
BALT VS. NYJ MIAMI TN SD
the conf record is all important, therefore the teams with more non-conference losses have the advantage
MIAMI 3
BALT 2
TENN 2
SD 1
NYJ 0
BALT BEATS MIAMI IN 2-WAY TIE DUE TO head to head, but 3-way tie goes to MIAMI (CONF REC)
BALT vs. TENN: could go to SOV
the 5 common games is currently:
BALT 3-2
tenn 2-1 with 2 to play (DEN AND HOUS)
THIS WILL BE AN INTERESTING ONE TO WATCH !!!
VS CLEVELAND
if CLE beats JAX this SUN, they are 1-1 in uncommon with BALT which is a tie. DIV likely would end up tie ... as could be CONF REC ... so that also may come down to SOV.