VOTE FOR Ken Cuccinelli - GOVERNOR VIRGINIA!
Posted on 10/24/2013 9:22:33 AM PDT by Maelstorm
A new poll, provided exclusively to Breitbart News, finds the Virginia Governor's race a virtual dead-heat, with Democrat Terry McAuliffe leading Republican Ken Cuccinelli 41%-40%. Libertarian Robert Sarvis garners 10% and 9% of likely voters remain undecided. With less than two weeks to go, the race is a toss-up that will likely be decided by turnout, a critical factor in an off-year election.
The poll comes from Wenzel Strategies, which accurately predicted closing momentum for Sens. Ted Cruz, Rand Paul and Deb Fischer, among others. The slight edge McAuliffe holds is due mostly to stronger support within his partisan base. 81% of Democrats support McAuliffe, against just 68% of Republicans who support Cuccinelli.
Cuccinelli's support seems be building, however, has public attention moves away from the recent government shutdown to the failing implementation of ObamaCare. Cuccinelli was a leading national figure suing to overturn the health care law.
The closeness of the race is apparent in the millions spent by left-wing groups to support McAuliffe in the closing days. In addition, Hillary and Bill Clinton, close allies of McAuliffe have made themselves permanent fixtures in the Commonwealth campaign on his behalf.
“There’s a reason the Clintons have been called in to spend a week campaigning for McAuliffe and that Bloomberg is pouring in millions with 2 weeks to go,” Brian Baker, President of Ending Spending Action Fund, which commissioned the poll told Breitbart News. “Their internals must be showing what our poll indicates -- that his unfavorables are high and they must try to suppress Cuccinelli turnout to prevail. All indications are that the numbers are closing, especially post shutdown. The focus will be where the undecideds go and what will Sarvis draw. With the race this close, the poll indicates a vote for Sarvis is a vote for McAuliffe.”
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
ping
Thanks!
Ripping the pollsters, saying they're in the Dem camp, under polling conservatives, et.al.
Then, on Election Day, we're all aghast to discover most of them were accurate.
Demographics. VA has been trending blue since 2004. NoVA has become the electoral tipping point. It is by far the fastest growing portion of the state. Immigration and domestic migration from mainly the Northeast has resulted in a liberal bastion where more than one-third of the voters live. It is also one of the wealthiest areas of the country.
Immigrants, legal and illegal, total 911,119 or 11.4 percent of the total population of Virginia up from 5% in 1990 and 8.1%in 2000. 378,626 of the 911,119 have arrived since 2000. 45% of the immigrant population are citizens. Virginia has the 9th highest number of immigrants in the country—more than states like Arizona and Nevada.
In Fairfax County, the largest county in the state with over a million people, the foreign-born population comprises 30% of the residents up from 15% in 1990. In the Fairfax County school system, which has an annual budget of $2.4 billion, there were about 31,500 ESOL students in FY-2012, an increase of nearly one-third from the previous year, requiring an additional per capita cost of $3,300 to provide ESOL services for a total of $104 million. And in FY 2011, the number of students eligible for free or reduced-price meal services was 42,204 (24.1 percent of all students). Yet, Fairfax County is among the five wealthiest counties in America.
VA is following a similar pattern that made CA a solid blue state. Demography is destiny.
McDonnell barely won 50% in NoVA and the Dems had an historically low turnout. Aproximately 2 million votes were cast for all candidates in 2009 compared to 3.7 million total votes in 2008 and 3.9 million in 2012.
This is still very much of an uphill fight for Ken. He will need a big turnout from Reps. Unfortunately, Bill Bolling and his ilk are splitting the GOP. Bolling is a sore loser who would prefer to see Cuccinelli lose even if it means McAwful wins.
Virginia is a state you have to fight for as are most states. The GOP too often wants it easy.
A tremendous effort was mounted in VA in 2012 by the GOP. We increased our vote total by almost 100,000 over 2008 compared to Obama's 12,000 vote increase, but we still lost by 150,000 votes.
The real problem is that the Dems outnumber us and the margin continues to increase. It is going to take a small miracle for us to win. We need every vote.
I hope Cuccinelli wins, but I don’t see how it is possible for him to do so. The DC metro area just overwhelms the little people elsewhere.
In other words, VA May Well Be Stuck on Stupid! and can’t be released.
I don’t believe for a second that any MO Republican would have won that Senate seat in 2012; nationwide, Demos won nearly all close Senate races, with hardly an exception.
Yes, Nikita Khrushchev understood the people of VA better than Thomas Jefferson did.
I don’t believe for a second that any MO Republican would have won that Senate seat in 2012; nationwide, Demos won nearly all close Senate races, with hardly an exception.
*******************************************************************
Sorry, Sarah Palin’s endorsed Mama Grizzly Sarah Steelman (my favorite) or John Brunner would have won in a cakewalk.
It would not have been a close election with Steelman or Brunner. That’s why the opposition had Democrats come over and vote for Akin in the primary.
“Reality, it’s the libertarian screwing this up.”
It’s the RINO’s screwing this up. Ken is the real deal. A solid conservative who should be solidly funded by true conservatives in an off year election.
If the republicans can’t get behind his effort then I’m done with them. I won’t support RINO’s again. McCain.., Romney... held my nose and voted for them and against the libs but, if the party can’t help Ken to its fullest then I won’t bother showing up next time.
The problem in 2012 is that Obama demonized Romney in NOVA and Romney did nothing to lay a hand on Obama. I know we increased our vote totals but it could’ve been better had Romney did more to motivate the base. GW Bush knew how to do this. Team Romney didn’t.
Liberals and the taker minorities flooding in from the north, have infested Virginia, especially the northern part as well as Virginia Beach and Richmond.
I believe the Democrat Party is funding his campaign. They have effectively done this type of thing in the past around our Country.
Northern Virginia has been the fastest growing metro area in the country since Obama was inaugurated.
Cuch has run a horrible race and is being grossly outspent. WAKE UP and face reality. We are repeatedly losing with lack of strategy and money, particularly in this race.
You would think people that blindly assume the polls are wrong would learn from past and wrongly held beliefs. However, it is occurring now to me, that this website has low information voters,too.
NoVA doesn't have the same demography as 2004. Oh and by the way, Kerry beat Bush in Fairfax County in 2004.
In 2004 the Reps had 1,716,959 votes compared to 1,822,522 in 2012. The Dems had 1,454,742 in 2004 compared to 1,971,820 in 2012. So the Dems increased their total by over 500,000 compared to our 100,000. Demography is destiny.
Your denial of reality is not good. There is a lot of work Repubs need to do to win and to start they need to communicate better.
He has not run a horrible race. He is facing a candidate who has raised twice as much money and has more voters. The demographics of VA have reached the point where the Reps are outnumbered. It remains to be seen if the Reps can win a statewide race again in the future.
And you must face the reality of the split in the GOP in VA. Bolling and other establishment Reps have worked against Cuccinelli. When you have people like Boyd Marcus endorsing McAwful, you can see how deep that split is.
You and others like you need to wake up and understand the new reality in VA. When you have 30% of the residents of Fairfax County being foreign-born, you must understand the electoral consequences of this rapid change in demographics. The Dems start out with a huge advantage in NoVA and with 20% of the state being black, it makes it very difficult to overcome this huge vote cushion of the Dems.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.